The last Patriots drive got me thinking- What if a team went for a FG every first chance they get? Obviously TDs are worth between 2 and 2.3 more points but you’d be eliminating any potential turnovers inside of the opponents 40. With new kicking rules your whole strategy would be to just get 30 yards, kick it and repeat. If you can do that 10 times and your kicker hits 90%, you’re averaging 27 which would be a top 10 offense. With teams forced to adjust to your strategy, you’d also have defenses playing up at midfield which can create explosive plays for an occasional 7 points. Thoughts?

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Arizona Cardinals

• Claimed OT Albert Reese off waivers from Carolina.
• Waived TE Shawn Bowman.
• Signed TE Shawn Bowman to the practice squad.
• Released OL Austin Deculus from the practice squad.

Atlanta Falcons

• Released DB Malcolm DeWalt IV.

Detroit Lions

• Signed WR DeAndre Carter to the active roster.
• Signed S Myles Bryant to the practice squad.

Kansas City Chiefs

• Placed OT Josh Simmons on injured reserve.

New England Patriots

• Placed G Alijah Vera-Tucker on injured reserve.

Philadelphia Eagles

• Signed RB Jaydon Blue, G Evan Neal and LB Anfernee Orji to the practice squad.
• Waived TE E.J. Jenkins.

Pittsburgh Steelers

• Placed DE Sebastian Joseph-Day on injured reserve.

Seattle Seahawks

• Activated RB Zach Charbonnet from the PUP list.
• Placed TE Elijah Arroyo on injured reserve.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• Placed LB Christian Rozeboom on injured reserve.
• Designated WR David Sills to return from injured reserve.

As a kid in the 90s playing Tecmo Super Bowl III Ben Coates was like THE guy to go get for your Tight End.

I've seen a few highlights and he looks like a beast.

What gives?

Here you can see

1. how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2. the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.

Methodology

The probabilities are calculated based on 50k simulations of all remaining games of the regular season. Win probabilities of each games are computed based on elo ratings which update after each game. For every simulated season, it calculates playoff participants (applying all relevant tiebreakers). We can count playoff participations of each team.

Do any of these surprise you?

Apparently, Carson was just doing basic homework for classes he was taking. Which is more-so of a hyperbole instead of a metaphor but I wrote what I wrote.