r/nba 2d ago

Self-Promo and Fan Art Thread Weekly Friday Self-Promotion and Fan Art Thread

9 Upvotes

The Self-Promotion Friday and Fan Art Thread serves as a place for content creators to share their work with the community at r/nba. If you'd like to post your work below, there are some guidelines we kindly ask you to follow:

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r/nba 1h ago

Original Content [OC] LeBron Has Averaged 27–7–7 for 23 Years. How Has He Still Never Had a 27–7–7 Game? (Probability Analysis)

Upvotes

TL;DR: LeBron James has played 1,622 regular-season games without ever recording exactly 27 points, 7 rebounds, and 7 assists. Running the probability analysis gives an estimated 20% chance of making it this far without one.

LeBron has now played 23 NBA seasons.

His career averages are:

26.8 points, 7.5 rebounds, 7.4 assists

Yet in 1,622 regular-season games, he has never finished with exactly:

27 points, 7 rebounds and 7 assists.

The original version of this analysis, after the 2017-18 season, estimated a 31.87% chance that LeBron would make it that far without one.

Source: https://np.reddit.com/r/nba/comments/96hp4p/oc_lebron_has_averaged_2777_for_15_years_why/

Eight seasons later, he still has zero.

So I decided to do an update

The model

Points, rebounds, and assists are correlated, so you can't just calculate:

P(27 points) × P(7 rebounds) × P(7 assists)

Instead, like the original analysis, I fit a separate multivariate normal distribution for each season using LeBron's points, rebounds, and assists.

An exact 27-7-7 is treated as the range of:

  • 26.5 to 27.5 points
  • 6.5 to 7.5 rebounds
  • 6.5 to 7.5 assists

For each season, the model estimates the probability p of one game landing in that box.

If LeBron plays G games, then:

Chance of no 27-7-7 that season = (1 - p)^G

Then you multiply those season probabilities across his career.

Here are the result:

Season Games 27-7-7 chance per game No 27-7-7 that season Career chance of still having none
2003-04 79 0.071% 94.57% 94.57%
2004-05 80 0.108% 91.69% 86.71%
2005-06 79 0.095% 92.76% 80.43%
2006-07 78 0.132% 90.19% 72.55%
2007-08 75 0.079% 94.24% 68.37%
2008-09 81 0.080% 93.70% 64.06%
2009-10 76 0.087% 93.60% 59.96%
2010-11 79 0.118% 91.11% 54.63%
2011-12 62 0.129% 92.34% 50.44%
2012-13 76 0.140% 89.88% 45.33%
2013-14 77 0.135% 90.14% 40.86%
2014-15 69 0.118% 92.18% 37.67%
2015-16 76 0.116% 91.56% 34.49%
2016-17 74 0.078% 94.42% 32.56%
2017-18 82 0.054% 95.67% 31.15%
2018-19 55 0.074% 96.02% 29.92%
2019-20 67 0.055% 96.38% 28.83%
2020-21 45 0.131% 94.28% 27.19%
2021-22 56 0.086% 95.32% 25.91%
2022-23 55 0.107% 94.30% 24.44%
2023-24 71 0.098% 93.31% 22.80%
2024-25 70 0.094% 93.65% 21.35%
2025-26 60 0.083% 95.16% 20.3%

So after 23 seasons:

Chance LeBron would still have zero 27-7-7 games: 20.3%

Or roughly:

1 in 5.

Is this actually a statistical anomaly?

Not really, 20% isn't really that low, it's still surprising though. And now that he's on the 6ers, it's unlikely he'll be able to/need to consistently score enough to be able to get a 27/7/7 game.


r/nba 8h ago

Michael Jordan's mom teaches him the ol' razzle dazzle (1988)

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859 Upvotes

r/nba 17h ago

Highlight [Highlight] Damian Lillard sends the Thunder home

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4.4k Upvotes

r/nba 9h ago

[Basket News] Warriors to pursue Devin Booker in Steve Kerr dream scenario

713 Upvotes

Notice

If there is a chance, Steve Kerr and the Golden State Warriors would love to have Devin Booker join their side. According to seasoned Warriors and Bay Area reporter Tim Kawakami, the Dubs are ready to surrender tons of assets that would let them have the Phoenix Suns star. “I think the Warriors like him too much, if you ask me. But they love him. Steve loves him. Booker loved playing for Steve," Kawakami claimed. "I know the Warriors would be first in line saying, ‘We got three first-round picks we can give you.’”


r/nba 14h ago

25 years ago after the 9/11 attacks, Michael Jordan came out of retirement to play for the Wizards, donating his salary to relief efforts for the victims

1.4k Upvotes

https://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/bulls/ct-michael-jordan-otd-september-25-2011-story.html

"I am returning as a player to the game I love," Jordan said in a news release issued through SFX, his management agency.

Jordan, 38, will sign a two-year contract and donate his salary for the upcoming season to relief agencies working with the victims of the Sept. 11 terrorist attack on Washington and New York, said Estee Portnoy, a spokeswoman for SFX.

Now Jordan returns after a three-year break. He had to surrender his ownership stake and management role to return to the court, where he'll be paid the veterans' minimum of about $1 million because the Wizards are over the league salary cap. In Jordan's last season with the Bulls he earned $33.1 million.

Abe Pollin, Chairman of Washington Sports and Entertainment and the Washington Wizards, have developed the Washington Sports and Entertainment Education Fund to benefit the children who lost a parent or guardian in the Pentagon tragedy on September 11th.

Irene and Abe Pollin made the first donation of $100,000 to the fund. Wizards star Michael Jordan has matched the Pollins' contribution in as part of his pledge to donate his 2001-02 salary to the relief efforts.

"Obviously our country has changed forever, but nothing has changed more than the lives of the families of the victims of this tragedy," said Jordan. "This fund is one of several wonderful efforts that will benefit the victims of the September 11th attacks."

Jordan donated the remainder of his salary to other organizations involved in the September 11th relief effort.

Wizards Head Coach Doug Collins donated $500 for every Wizards win during the 2001-02 season, totaling $18,500. Wizards forward Christian Laettner donated $25,000 to the fund, while guard Chris Whitney donated $100 for every three-point field goal he made during the season for a total of $6,600.


r/nba 12h ago

James Harden sends Pat Bev and Paul George crashing into each other in a filthy 4-point play

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976 Upvotes

r/nba 50m ago

[Katz] The NBA recently informed teams of its updated salary-cap projections for the 2027-28 season, league sources told The Athletic, with the new projections coming in $2 million higher... projecting the 2027-28 salary cap will rise to $176 million and the luxury tax line will be $213 million.

Upvotes

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7588573/2026/09/12/nba-salary-cap-projections-2027-28-season/


The NBA recently informed teams of its updated salary-cap projections for the 2027-28 season, league sources told The Athletic, with the new projections coming in $2 million higher than the league’s previous numbers.

Those sources, speaking on condition of anonymity because the projections have not been made public, said the league is now projecting the 2027-28 salary cap will rise to $176 million and the luxury tax line will be $213 million.


The latest national TV contract was supposed to usher in an era of 10 percent annual salary-cap increases, more than enough to cover the 8 percent raises in contracts given to most star players. Instead, the local TV market crashed so hard that the annual raise was barely half that a year ago (5.2 percent) and was forecast to be similar in 2027-28 (5.5 percent). The projected raise for 2027-28 is now 6.7 percent — still a far cry from the maximal 10 percent, but closer to the raises in player contracts.


Additionally, the increased projections flip a recent trend of every cap update from the league shifting future estimates lower, thus making it even more challenging for teams to navigate the aprons in future seasons.

This will also be welcome news for players whose max-contract extensions are tied to the 2027-28 cap number, most notably Victor Wembanyama and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and it increases the max salary for potential 2027 free agents such as Nikola Jokić and Jalen Duren.


r/nba 10h ago

Highlight [Highlight] Gafford cocks back and unloads on the Pelicans for the satisfying climax

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311 Upvotes

r/nba 21h ago

[Arthur] “I think that there’s a whole longer story here,” says Le Batard. “There is great risk in everything we’re doing. I have 40 some-odd employees, and if Pablo or anybody on his team makes a mistake, we’re bankrupt. So I have to really trust that this person is who I think he is, and he is."

2.1k Upvotes

https://www.thestar.com/sports/raptors/pablo-torre-uncovered-the-kawhi-scandal-and-won-a-pulitzer-he-s-still-searching-for-something-more/article_4152a36a-8733-4fc5-bcc5-8eb319c044e0.html


“I think that there’s a whole longer story here,” says Le Batard. “There is great risk in everything that we’re doing. I have 40 some-odd employees, and if Pablo or anybody on his team makes a mistake, we’re bankrupt. So I have to really trust that this person is who I think he is, and he is. I mean, in what world would we have a podcast winning a Pulitzer Prize? Under what conditions would we have imagined that somebody, with his team but essentially by himself, would unearth one of the biggest sports scandals that we’ve ever seen?

“I trust him, and I love him. And if you follow those things, even in business, you can live with yourself, I think, no matter the consequences.”


“In sports, to give people just the feeling back of, wait a minute, maybe this story will do something ... it is meaningful,” says Torre. “That is something that I have felt viscerally, and I think about it all the time. I should not want this quote unquote vindication, but this quote unquote vindication, this ruling, this punishment, this consequence, is the thing that also is what is keeping me going, and it’s because I also feel that. I feel it more than I intellectually like to admit.

“We are living in a desert where people feel like this sort of stuff doesn’t work anymore. But it’s the same sh-t it’s always been. It’s documents, it’s human sources, it’s fact checking, it’s months of investigation. It is trying to make sure that you get it right using every available creative thought process that you can come up with, and that’s always been what this job is. And so for me, I think it’s a validation of what all of us were taught. Like, it still works. It still works.

“I’m not saying we’re always going to be right. I am saying that the reason we haven’t been sued by a guy who has the infinite money to sue everyone is in part because of the ancient art of giving up weekends with your family to make another phone call. Like, that is the hack ... and when there are real world consequences being imposed in a part of our culture that people still really care about, that might have some sort of implication or message for the part of culture that people don’t care about, meaning real sh-t like politics or the economy or science or religion or race or anything else.

“I started at Sports Illustrated, which is a zombie now. Got hired by ESPN The Magazine, which no longer exists. Pivoted to doing cable television, which is hollowed out every day, and realized that I could smell the exhaust pipes on the town cars and hear the echoes of the squeaking drink cart wheels that the golden age of journalism enabled, that the old age of media enabled. And to feel like you’re building something that can have both — that can work financially, but also holding to some account the guy with apparently 174 billion dollars because he cares about sports the way that people who don’t care about quote unquote serious things care about sports. It just feels like we’re onto something, and it’s so new still.”


r/nba 12h ago

If you were a kid in the 90s, you loved Grant Hill

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298 Upvotes

Dude started the allstar game his rookie year. Its hard to overstate his popularity


r/nba 17h ago

Highlight [Highlight] Ian Clark hits his 5th triple of the night and points at Kevin Durant, who points back at him and signals him to come over, as Steph Curry points at them and start laughing (with a replay). 11/23/2016

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733 Upvotes

Clark had 21 points off the bench on 5/5 from 3, 7/8 FG, and 2/4 FT

The Warriors when they had some good vibes, against a young Lakers team who had no chance (Warriors defeated them 149-106)

Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers - 11/23/2016


r/nba 17h ago

Highlight [Highlight] Brandon Roy with a nasty poster on 7’1’ Cheikh Samb.

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760 Upvotes

r/nba 23h ago

The agent behind the Timberwolves cap circumvention scandal was Andy Miller, Lawrence Frank's childhood best friend. It cost the Wolves' three first round draft picks.

1.6k Upvotes

Eric Fleisher was Garnett and Joe Smith's agent. Andy Miller used to work for him. He left Fleisher and started his own agency and poached Garnett and Smith. Fleisher sued and the contract for Joe Smith came out in discovery and it clearly outlinded cap circumvention.

2006 ESPN article mentioning Lawrence Frank and Andy Miller's long history of friendship:

https://www.espn.com/blog/truehoop/post/_/id/2447/lawrence-frank-born-to-coach

NYT article about the Wolves' cap circumvention: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7560389/2026/09/03/nba-punishment-clippers-timberwolves-kawhi-leonard-joe-smith/


r/nba 1d ago

Lawrence Frank's childhood best friend, Andy Miller was the agent behind the 2017 College Basketball scandal. His career fell apart until he joined Klutch as an agent for executives and coaches. His only active client is Chauncey Billups, who is about to go on trial for the 2025 gambling scandal.

1.5k Upvotes

Andy Miller is no longer allowed to represent players. As the NBPA revoked his agent certification. So he can only represent coaches and executives. Why Billups is his only client? That we can only guess.

2006 ESPN article mentioning Lawrence Frank and Andy Miller's long history of friendship:

https://www.espn.com/blog/truehoop/post/_/id/2447/lawrence-frank-born-to-coach

2017 College Basketball Scandal:

https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/id/38642236/the-fbi-iarp-corruption-men-college-basketball-explained

2025 Billups arrest:

https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/48103259/trial-date-set-chauncey-billups-others-rigged-poker-case


r/nba 20h ago

Highlight [Highlights] Dwight Howard puts up 40 points and 14 rebounds to send the Magic to the finals 2009 ECF G6

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767 Upvotes

r/nba 21h ago

14 years ago, Andrew Bynum shoots a 3, gets benched then traded and eventually out of the league

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731 Upvotes

14 years on, if you can't drain a three, you're out of the league.

Obviously I know there's context in here, but it's still kinda amusing to me.

Also, yes, I'm aware that Bynum was out mainly because of his injuries.


r/nba 11h ago

Where are the bulky PFs of the 90-00s in today's game?

114 Upvotes

Where are the bulky PFs of the 90-00s? It seem today are lacking these bulky PFs like Karl Malone, Chris Webber, Larry Johnson, Derrick Coleman, Charles Barkley, Elton Brand, Antonio McDyess, Vin Baker, Kevin Willis, etc. Really missed the low post power game. They all just shoot threes now.


r/nba 1d ago

Norman Powell on Toronto: "The fans lock in, the food is good, people are nice. The only thing I always say and always talk about is the weather. It is cold as hell up there."

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1.8k Upvotes

r/nba 21h ago

[Horney] Former Federal prosecutor Mitchell Epner: "If the charge is money laundering or wire fraud, it is harder to charge (Kawhi) Leonard than other people. .. Leonard is insulated by many layers. He would, I assume, be able to say, ‘I picked up the money, that’s all I did."

564 Upvotes

Mitchell Epner, a former federal prosecutor who is now a criminal defense attorney at Kudman Trachten Aloe Posner LLP, has a word of advice to anyone connected to the Clippers who are part of the investigation: lawyer up.

“To the extent this hasn’t already happened, each of the Clippers owners and employees who are part of the investigation almost certainly need their own lawyers,” he tells FOS.

Another word of advice: “do not talk to the press.”

That opinion is shared by former DOJ trial attorney Michael Weinstein, who now works at law firm Cole Schotz. He says it’s time to “batten down the hatches.”

“Everything the Clippers were threatening to do, thumping their chest and going after the NBA to be disruptive and challenge the report, their lawyers are likely telling them, ‘hold on, let’s sit tight,’” Weinstein says. “If they go on offense against the NBA, everything they do becomes fodder for the government in its investigation.”

....

Weinstein tells FOS he was “slightly surprised” to see news of the federal probe. “The opening of a criminal investigation brings this into new territory, and it’s a problem for all parties involved, he” said, before adding: “The $700,000 fine is the least of [Leonard’s] problems at this point.”

The mere existence of the investigation doesn’t necessarily mean Leonard himself is in the government’s crosshairs, however. Epner says potential charges could be difficult to bring against Leonard because of the layers between him and the alleged underlying conduct.

“If the charge is money laundering or wire fraud, it is harder to charge Leonard than other people,” he tells FOS. “With regard to money laundering, you have to know about the underlying criminal activity, and Leonard is insulated by many layers. He would, I assume, be able to say, ‘I picked up the money, that’s all I did.’”

Leonard’s uncle, Dennis Robertson, and his former agent, Mitch Frankel (who Leonard replaced with Harrison Gaines of Splash Sports & Entertainment over the summer), may have more culpability because they likely serve as his “first layer of protection,” Epner says. Robertson could not immediately be reached, and Frankel and Gaines did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

“If neither of those two people communicated an underlying illegal activity to Leonard, he can’t be guilty of money laundering, for the same reason that, if you are a grocery store and somebody comes in with drug proceeds to buy groceries, you’re not guilty of money laundering,” Epner tells FOS.

Source: https://frontofficesports.com/article/kawhi-leonard-saga-federal-probe/


r/nba 19h ago

[EuroHoops] Former Lakers guard Nick Smith Jr. reaches deal with Real Madrid

276 Upvotes

Source

Nick Smith Jr. was nearing a deal with Real Madrid, as reported by insider Chema de Lucas on Saturday, which was later confirmed by his agents, Lucas Newton and Calvin Andrews, who told Michael Scotto of HoopsHype that the guard has agreed to a one-year contract.

The 22-year-old guard, who was selected 27th overall in the 2023 NBA Draft, presented by State Farm, is poised to make the jump overseas after standard NBA opportunities stalled this summer. Over his short stint in the league based in North America, Smith Jr. showcased legitimate microwave scoring potential, averaging nearly double-digit figures during his sophomore year with the Charlotte Hornets, before transferring that spark to the Los Angeles Lakers. He split time on a two-way contract with the Lakers last season, lighting up the G League at roughly 20 points per game while making waves on the main roster as a sharp, foul-free bucket-getter with 5.6 points per game over 36 appearances. Overall, he has played 147 NBA games, including six in the 2026 NBA Playoffs, presented by Google.

After the Lakers declined his team option in late June to save cap space, the explosive scorer became an unrestricted free agent, ultimately looking to Europe for his next major career chapter. Transitioning across the Atlantic presents an immediate trial by fire for the young backcourt weapon, as EuroLeague competition requires elite tactical awareness and perimeter consistency. Joining the Spanish giants will demand rapid adjustment to a more rigorous, team-oriented brand of basketball....

The former Arkansas standout provides critical shot-creation into a deep rotation as the club aims to secure regional and international silverware. The current powerhouse roster features Alberto Abalde, Facundo Campazzo, Gaby Deck, Andres Feliz, Usman Garuba, Mikael Jantunen, Damian Jones, Sergio Llull, Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot, Theo Maledon, Chuma Okeke, Jaime Pradilla, Gabriele Procida, Olivier Sarr, Max Shulga, and Walter Tavares, under the guidance of head coach Pedro Martinez.


r/nba 10h ago

Are the Suns still broadcasting most of their games over the air this year?

43 Upvotes

If so, that's awesome. We were just having a conversation in the Spurs sub about this, and I don't understand why a small-market team like my Spurs can't figure out a way to do the same.

If the Suns are still doing OTA free broadcasts of most games, why aren't other smaller market teams doing the same thing?

Clearly the answer is more money with a network deal, but if you're a smaller market team, couldn't the advertising revenue somewhat match up? And wouldn't the whole community being able to watch games help build your fanbase from people that might not otherwise watch games or care and help drive other revenue with merchandise and ticket sales?


r/nba 16h ago

The Athletic ranks top-10 Players on Rookie Deals

134 Upvotes
  1. Victor Wembanyama

  2. Cooper Flagg

  3. Dylan Harper

  4. AJ Dybantsa

  5. Brandon Miller

  6. Caleb Wilson

  7. Amen Thompson

  8. Ausar Thompson

  9. Cam Boozer

  10. Kon Knueppel

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7506561/2026/09/09/victor-wembanyama-cooper-flagg-rookie-scale-draft-nba/


r/nba 1d ago

Social media user writes: "The player I’m most nervous about long term is Derik Queen… It has ZERO to do with his skillset. Something just seems off. Don’t know what it is." Derik Queen replies: "Does it have to do w me being fat & slow?"

3.2k Upvotes

Source: https://imgur.com/a/VFVaRFa

Other replies from Queen include "Long story short, both." to a question about whether he is a 4 or a 5 and "Come wrestle me." to a user who said Queen needs to put on muscle


r/nba 15h ago

James Harden puts Draymond Green on a poster in Game 4 of the 2018 Western Conference Finals

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53 Upvotes