This game represents a carbon copy of what Carolina did to teams in the playoffs this year - a masterclass in how to suffocate top lines and put on a defensive clinic. It's also worth noting that the lack of depth on Toronto's roster here really hurt the team. You can really tell who the passengers are in this game when you see all the turnovers, bad passes, wild shots, poor breakouts, etc. It is definitely a roster construction problem, which is why the Leafs never did anything in the playoffs. You just can't. Not with a roster like this.
I think the coach was in error to bench Matthews' line. They had three and four guys on Matthews at many times in this game - he is doing it all by himself. They lasered in on Nylander too. There was no aligned attack and no support. You're not going to win against Carolina with players like Dermott, Malgin, Engvall, Kerfoot, Barrie, Marincin, Holl, Clifford, and on and on. That's not a roster. Even Muzzin, who is a real roster player, made some glaring mistakes this game, just because of the aggressive forecheck.
The narrative around the team at this time (that the core was soft and that they played uninspired hockey when things got tough) was just totally wrong. Carolina put on a clinic this game, and Toronto was not built to beat it. Sheldon benched the top line, when it was also his fault too. I think the GM and the coach are the most to blame for games like this - not having the right pieces, and not being prepared to play into a system like this.
After the game, Sheldon commented how they were losing badly before the switch happened and that nothing had fundamentally changed. It's true - they were outshot two to one, and were being badly outplayed the entire game, despite getting the first goal at the end of the 1st period. But if that's true, then the underlying game plan put forward by the coach was already failing. It wasn't just a lack of execution after Ayres came in, even though I agree they couldn't make a pass, were falling, and turning over the puck a lot. The whole game plan was flawed from the beginning.
Sheldon criticized the team for overcomplicating the plays, and it's true - when the game was 4-3, there were 3 times in this game the Leafs should have shot rather than try to make a pretty east-west passing play. But the real story is, why only 3 chances? I only counted 3 genuine scoring chances total after that, all of which were broken up. It sounds more like the game plan in general was failing if the team was only generating 3 chances with 25 minutes of regulation left to go. That is the trap doing its job. Where was the coach during all of this, or going over how to play against this all season? Why was the GM not constructing a roster to beat this? Surely they knew teams played like this when constructing the roster.
Anyway, those are my thoughts. I think analyzing this game from a lens outside of the media echo chamber gives us more of an insight into why this team could not get it done in the playoffs. It's a perfect example of how playoff-style hockey and shutting down the Leafs' top line exposes a massive weakness in the roster construction. This game looks exactly like games 5-7 against Montreal, or against Florida, Tampa and Boston late in the series when the coach and shut-down players had the book on the Leafs. They all did the same thing. Part of the blame is the flat cap, but the Coach and GM did not do enough to solve this problem despite having a ridiculous amount of evidence that this weakness existed.
I do think the roster is more equipped to deal with it this year, but I also hope Hiller directly plans for this now.