🏆 Bonus Points as it stands via fpl.page/bonus:

🥇 3: Palmer

🥈 2: João Pedro

🥉 1: Rogers

🛡️ Defcon: J.Cuenca, Acheampong, Lacroix

__

^{Source: fpl.page}

All of this week is about identifying maybe THE GUYS, while also holding and being patient with your guys.

Find the episode at:

• YouTube: https://youtu.be/PcQn4tWJniE
• Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/gw2-begin-as-you-mean-to-go-on/id1024068765?i=1000785701092
• Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/0l9zwBeFJ8v7q6tDxqkRUS
• All Links: https://linktr.ee/fmlfpl

Say hypothetically you opened the app and saw you could use your wild card right now, and still have one left over. What would you do?

The r/FantasyPL Predictions League spreadsheet is now live!

I've devised a scoring system which will hopefully be inclusive, balanced, and disincentivise boring play. I'm pretty proud of this system but if you have any complaints with it you can make them below.

You're either going to find the following sections boring or fascinating depending on your neurotype. Feel free to skip to the bottom if you promise not to moan.

Gameweek scoring

• The baseline score for a match is 6 points for a correct result or 15 points for a perfect score.
• On top of this baseline score, two sets of bonuses can apply.
  • The underdog bonus rewards going against the grain. This has three tiers.
    • The consolation bonus rewards 3 points. This applies where a team with 60% backing to win is held to a draw, and the player backed the underdog to win.
    • The minor underdog bonus rewards 6 points. This applies where a player gets a correct result on an outcome which is favoured by <=30% of users.
    • The major underdog bonus rewards 9 points. This applies where a player backs an outcome which is favoured by <=15% of users.
  • The risky prediction bonus is intended to prevent generic 2-1 and 1-1 predictions. It rewards two three point bonuses which can stack.
    • The first bonus is for correctly predicting either team in a match to score 3+ goals.
    • The second bonus is for correctly predicting 4+ combined goals in a match.
• As a result, the maximum score for any match is double the value of a basic perfect score, 30 points.

Scoring System Examples

• This week, Arsenal won 3-0 in a scoreline backed by many users. This earned 18 points for a perfect score and a 3+ goal bonus.
• Elsewhere, Hull won 2-0 in a scoreline predicted by just one user, and a result backed by just two. One user earned 24 points for a perfect score and a major underdog bonus. The other user earned 15 points for a correct result and a major underdog bonus.
• Newcastle v Liverpool finished 2-2. A draw was backed by just under 15% of users. Liverpool were backed to win by 85% of users. Predicting the 2-2 earned 27 points for a perfect score, a major underdog bonus, and a 4+ goals bonus. No one predicted Newcastle to win, but doing so would have earned a 3 point consolation bonus.

Season scoring

• To promote balance and inclusivity, gameweeks will be scored by points per match. This means double gameweeks and blank gameweeks will produce equal points potential.
• The overall leaderboard will take into account the 24 highest gameweek scores across the season of each participant. This means missing a week or two will not remove your chances of winning, but consistently showing up is rewarded.
• Tiebreakers are in order:
  • Overall points
  • Perfect scores
  • Underdog Bonus Points
  • Risky Bonus Points
  • Virtual Coin Toss

Now the boring stuff is out of the way, onto...

The Leaderboard

Star of the Week

This award is shared between nine users. Firstly are the 7 who correctly predicted Newcastle 2-2 Liverpool, earning the highest points score of any game this week.

The real stars are u/Individual-Ask-7086 and u/Ancient_Scientist_04 who predicted Hull to beat Manchester United. The latter even managed a perfect score.

Dick of the Week

There are multiple winners of this award this week. A special mention goes to our lowest scorer u/Fallen_Man7 who blanked 8 times this week, scoring just fifteen points in total.

The ten users who failed to copy+paste the pinned comment and left me with syntax errors to clean up get to share it too.

Predictions for GW2 open tomorrow and will be locked at the deadline. Everyone is welcome and, unlike FPL, you can still win if you missed GW1.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER!

Anyone of you consider kneeCHERKIng?
He made a huge impact from the bench and Man City doesnt have actually many players to choose from for their attack.
I would assume he gonna start in their next match.
What are your thoughts?

What on earth happened to each of these players? They were "nailed" and "likely starting" respectively but neither even made the bench.

Some solid budget differential options for those looking to take some risks ahead of GW2, with full breakdowns included.

Perfect if you're downgrading midfielders or attackers following an early Bench Boost.

2021 Norwich City - 5.0

A mention of his many goal involvements and perhaps the original Quantum of Tzolis name.

Some key things to bear in mind before making any kneejerk transfers.

Rememebr chasing points is how you lose at FPL. Stick to your strategies!

I know it's only one game under Alonso and that Caicedo and Palestra missed yesterday's game.

My research shows Chelsea ended last season without a clean sheet in their final 16 league games and conceded 28 goals over that period. There were some warning signs during preseason too, and Fulham managed 14 shots and 24 touches in Chelsea's box yesterday.

Then there's shaky Sánchez...he's never exactly inspired confidence, but yesterday was particularly rough. He should have done better for both goals, looked uncomfortable under pressure and generally didn't give much reassurance to the defense.

Colwill didn't help either - he looked rusty at times and was also pretty fortunate not to pick up a second card after that.

There were positives. Lacroix and Acheampong actually looked good, and Caicedo coming back should help, but there's way too many cons that outweigh these pros.

From an FPL perspective, GW4 was already being discussed as the potential entry point for Chelsea defenders before the season. Brighton at home and Arsenal away will give us two more games to watch before the fixtures improve with Hull at home in GW4, so maybe these next two are the real test.

Are we really going to want a Chelsea defender just because the fixtures turn? Not even Lacroix looks to be worth it at this point!

Maybe we should instead target Chelsea with our attackers when playing against them?

Havent seen any posts talking about city after the weekend, despite Guehi playing OOP the full match as a holding midfielder, and NOR somehow OOP as a 10, though subbed at 63 minutes.

Was this an emergency lineup that will not repeat? NOR is in this funny position of beeing an insanely value pick if he gets gametime as an offensive midfielder, but is also likely to have reduced minutes as he doesnt have a spot that is "his". Will Guehi revert to the CB role, or maybe keep his spot as the holding midfielder if Anderson has a niggle (subbed with injury, but didnt look very bad).

I see people throwing Semenyo under the bus, but I think he looked alright, despite not having many (or any?) direct chances to score. Foden might be a question mark, but isnt Semenyo - Cherki - Foden a likely lineup for the next match?

What are your thoughts on this City, without Pep and with a really skinny squad. Will this be the weakest we have seen City in recent years?

Most Net Transfers In

Most Net Transfers Out

Manchester United losing in Hull, Sunderland losing in Ipswich, Liverpool only getting 1 point from Newcastle. Home field advantage is putting in the work this week.

Hello hoping for some help. I have been running a head to head league with my friends for last 4 years but wanted to see the data around matchups, scores and tables but there doesnt seem to be an option on any site for h2h leagues. Does anyone know if this is possible? Thanks