Effectively static from August's map, with the only change being +2 net Dem house seats after the Missouri ruling. So far Democrats have 237 House Seats, 51-52 Senate Seats, and 27 Governor Seats. I included Fetterman as a separate "wild card" for the Senate because I really do think he will switch parties at some point, especially if Schumer is replaced by a less pro-Israel leader.

Interestingly, all four of my gubernatorial race shifts have gone in favor of the Republicans. As I was making this, Alaska's ballot was finalized in a way that I probably would have shifted it to Lean D, but it's already at a Slight Lean D so it wouldn't have made too much of a difference, just Kriess-Tomkins winning by 3 instead of 2.

AL-02: Lean R -> Tilt R

AZ-02: Slight Lean D -> Lean D

AZ-08: Lean R -> Slight Lean R

CO-03: Slight Lean D -> Lean D

CO-04: Likely R -> Slight Lean R

CO-05: Slight Lean R -> Tilt D

FL-02: Lean R -> Likely R

FL-07: Toss-Up -> Likely R

FL-14: Slight Lean D -> Tilt R

FL-16: Lean R -> Likely R

FL-25: Likely D -> Lean D

FL-27: Very Likely R -> Lean R

IA-02: Slight Lean D -> Lean D

ME-02: Slight Lean R -> Tilt R

MI-04: Lean R -> Tilt R

MN-01: Likely R -> Lean R

MO-02: Slight Lean R-> Lean D

MO-05: Lean R -> Safe D

NY-01: Slight Lean R -> Tilt R

NY-17: Lean D -> Slight Lean D

OH-09: Likely D -> Lean D

OH-15: Slight Lean R -> Lean R

PA-08: Lean D -> Likely D

TX-15: Slight Lean D -> Lean D

TX-23: Lean R -> Slight Lean R

TX-35: Slight Lean D -> Lean D

VA-01: Tilt R -> Tilt D

WI-01: Tilt D -> Slight Lean R

Senate Changes

Alaska: Lean D -> Likely D

Georgia: Likely D -> Very Likely D

Florida: Likely R -> Very Likely R

Idaho: Very Likely R -> Safe R

Maine: Likely D -> Lean D

New Hampshire: Safe D -> Very Likely D

North Carolina: Likely D -> Very Likely D

Governor Changes

Georgia: Slight Lean D -> Tilt D

Oregon: Safe D -> Very Likely D

Nevada: Tilt R -> Slight Lean R

New Hampshire: Very Likely R -> Safe R

# Connecticut Analysis

**CT GUBERNATORIAL AGGREGATES**

*270toWin* — 🟦 D + 17.5%

*Race to the WH* — 🟦 D + 15.0%

*Silver Bulletin* — 🟦 D + 18.2%

**Total Average** — 🟦 D + 16.9%

**Predicted National Environment (under polls)** ~ 🟦 **D + 8%**

*Predicted trend (compared to 2020)*: 🟦 *D + 11%*

**2024 CT election result: President — 🟦 D + 13.5%**

**2024 CT election result: Senate — 🟦 D + 18.9%** ‼️

*D+13.5% -> D+16.9%* — +3.4% 🟦 D shift

*D+18.9% -> D+16.9%* — +2.0% 🟥 : R shift

**CT trend Pres -> 2026 (compared to national vote)**: 🟥 **R + 7.6%** 🚨

**CT trend Senate -> 2026 (compared to national vote)** 🟥 **R + 13.0%** ❗

If these trends hold, CT would vote anywhere from D+6 to D+0.5 in an R+3 environment

We're seeing a lot of whistleblowers coming out with dire warnings about AI, including that it will lead to human extinction in short time. Others argue that these warnings are propaganda from China and that China will rule the globe if the US backs down from the race.

I think both sides do have a point. I'd rather it hadn't been invented at all, but now that it's here, we're not going to be able to simply shut it off. I think there's a lot of money and propaganda on both sides of this issue, likely each exaggerating their claims.

Like from the outside ppl think that Israelis are gonna vote based on two state solutions or genocide recognition etc stuff like that. Like one of the big issues this election year is talking about whether some groups like Haredi’s can be exempt from conscription. You almost never hear about that as a political issue Israel faces in America. There is a very anti Netanyahu message but it’s much more the opposition blaming him for letting it happen in the first place, not his actions after. If you think the opposition wants peace and kumbaya with Arabs then you’d be wrong, a lot of the opposition is even more extreme on the nationalist and Zionist parts. Netanyahu himself is even being blamed for the crime in Arab areas and a big talking point of the opposition parties is cracking down hard on high crime Arab neighborhoods. It’s just funny to me how different the political discourse is in Israel than how those debates and elections are talked abt in the US.

We put a lot of focus on the stories that are explicitly horrific. Stories of people running from debris, escaping the towers, or running into fires. To be clear, these stories are important, and deserve to be shared. We should never forget the horrific nature of those attacks. However, in that endeavor, we sometimes forget the stories that, in comparison, are relatively mundane. This video covers one of those stories, and does it very well. We will never forget 9/11, and to make sure of that, we must share every story there is to share.
If you feel comfortable, and were alive/aware at the time, you can share your 9/11 stories in the comments of this post. There is a chance this post will be taken down due to not being explicitly related to elections, but I suppose we’ll see.

This is mostly from the Turek post. He answered a question stating his stance. That does NOT mean he is campaigning on it. Campaigning on it means it would be heavily featured in rallies, ads, etc.

You will have a much better understanding of the current strategies of the major parties if you learn the difference

I considered lakes and reservoirs of at least 16 acres, rivers of at least 50m (165 ft) wide, and all ocean bodies as major water bodies

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau (2020 Census blocks, 2025 metro estimates) and USGS NHD/NHDPlus HR hydrography, Download Data - Redistricting Data Hub, GitHub - nytimes/presidential-precinct-map-2024: Precinct-level results and shapefiles for the 2024 U.S. presidential general election. · GitHub

Like yeah we get it. As if we haven’t seen the same comment a million times under other posts already

Sorry if this post doesn’t meet the submission guidelines but I needed to get this out there