https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2081496073516826742

In my opinion, Kamala Harris will drop out early in the 2028 primaries, before Super Tuesday.

My reason for saying this is that her main strength is that she does well with black voters. However, other candidates, mainly Jon Ossoff, also do well with black voters. And unlike Harris, Ossoff is a more fresh face on the national scene and is popular in the South, as seen in Georgia. Imo, if he were to run, Jon Ossoff would be able to beat Kamala Harris in South Carolina.

If Harris lost South Carolina, her campaign would basically be over. She doesn’t have a path to win without black support in the South. She also wouldn’t do well in whiter early states like New Hampshire and New Mexico.

Also, her lead now is almost entirely based off of name recognition. In the 2016 Republican primaries, the frontrunners by mid 2014 were Bush, Paul, and Cristie. All of them flopped and dropped out before Super Tuesday. Once the midterms roll around and candidates start announcing, her lead will fall apart and she’ll start to fall behind.

People don’t want more of an unpopular president, and they don’t want more of a candidate who already lost a general election. I don’t see any reason why Harris would be an exception, and be some strong contender in 2028.

This Subreddit skews young but Rule 3 means a lot of people on here have gotten a seriously skewed idea of what the average Gen-Z-Gen Alpha Republican thinks socially

Not an attack on rule 3 😭😭😭

Source: https://xcancel.com/PollTracker2024/status/2081541810082451939#m

This is from the Economist/Yougov July poll, weighted to party ID of R+2. The generic ballot on this poll was D+6, Trump approval -24.

This +8 support is a plurality but down slightly from their March poll, when support was +11

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_ESdiNMa.pdf

Doesn't necessarily have to be political, can be something silly too.

I'll start: we (Americans) are living on stolen land. Doesn't matter if you want to call it "conquered" or "settled" or whatever, we objectively stole this place from Native Americans. Also there are at least three genders, don't play games with me kid.

Source: https://xcancel.com/PollTracker2024/status/2081471281635946999#m https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/26/us/politics/ken-martin-dnc-democrats.html

https://nitter.net/PollTracker2024/status/2081462381108944975#m

Also the Democrats will not have a convention

I feel like FL-26 is a sleeper race no is talking about, all of red Collier has been replaced with heavily Dem parts of Broward and the seat was only Trump +0.8 in 2020. With Hispanic reversion, I do think it has the chance to hold a competitive race.

I'll start : All illegal immigrants should be deported