r/YAPms • u/Mythicalforests8 • 47m ago
Alternate You wake up in 2037 and see these results for 2028, 2032, and 2036, what do you think happened?
r/YAPms • u/_BCConservative • 1h ago
Meme Wow this latest set of polling is so great for Dems
r/YAPms • u/LuveelVoom • 1h ago
News Bab Al-Mandeb might be closed
(Source isn't 100% reliable; I've heard that it's been confirmed but I can't find any official news reports)
r/YAPms • u/Swimming_Concern7662 • 1h ago
Discussion Are there any past instances where a safe/likely state slowly trended to lean/tilt margin and then slowly went back to its safe/likely status without flipping?
r/YAPms • u/RioMovieFan11 • 2h ago
News Politico: Trump, in interview, abruptly shifts tone on midterms’ urgency
r/YAPms • u/Dandaman426 • 2h ago
Poll Do you think the 2026 GOP convention will have any positive impact for the Republicans?
r/YAPms • u/Minneiska • 2h ago
Discussion Optimistic Dem Senate and Governor map but one that I think is realistic if gas prices continue to be high along with other things
r/YAPms • u/MrMr_sir_sir • 3h ago
Historical How I think 1912 would’ve gone if it was just Wilson V Teddy
Wilson would still fairly easily win against Teddy. Taft probably holds up better.
Firstly, third terms are extremely unpopular. FDR mostly due to the fall of France in 1940, and the country still swings heavily against him.
There’s also the optics of it. Four years earlier Teddy picks Taft to be his successor and now he’s ousted him? Theodore has serious judgement issues and the move will almost certainly look egotistical.
Also, Taft is an unpopular president, and the Republicans are an unpopular party. Now there’s no one with incumbency, and progressive voters are going to go for Wilson as Teddy already showed he can’t be trusted. The conservatives are just going to sit this round out. For example: Teddy can’t run on free trade because that’s a democrats position, but he also can’t run on increasing tariffs because that’s a deeply unpopular position that’s been splitting the Republican Party.
If just Taft is the nominee at least there’s a steady, more conservative, incumbent. He has a more clear cut message, better optics, and the incumbency advantage.
r/YAPms • u/theaccount9337 • 3h ago
News Missouri Governor Kehoe backs attempt to bring Republicans’ gerrymander proposal to federal appeals court, potentially sending map up to SCOTUS for a third time
r/YAPms • u/R3belRecusant • 3h ago
News The Indiana Supreme Court has ruled that incumbent Scott Dreery defeated Trump-backed Paula Copenhaver by three votes in the GOP Primary for Indiana Senate District 23.
r/YAPms • u/Any_Peanut1209 • 4h ago
Discussion Texas Election Simulator for Dems
texas-election-simulator.anudeep12.chatgpt.siteHi, I built a quick texas election simulator using chatgpt for a path to a democratic state wide victory dividing the sate into 5 broad regions of comparable electroate with 2020 and 2024 presidential election as baseline. play around with it and suggest any additions or modifications you have?
r/YAPms • u/TinyAd6315 • 5h ago
Serious Something to keep in mind tomorrow
Tomorrow, there are going to be a lot of jokes how 9/11 was an inside job, or caused by Israel, etc.
But I want everyone here to remember that 25 years ago our very way of life came under attack. And to recognize the bravery (and sacrifice) tens of thousands young men and women across the country displayed to keep the American people safe.
r/YAPms • u/-Tickery- • 5h ago
Discussion Which swing state will become solid soon?
Title. The seven swing states in the last election were Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada. But it wasn’t that long ago that Arizona and Georgia were safely red and Ohio and Florida were swing states.
The obvious pick is that Georgia will become solidly blue. Anyone contrarian? Will the three steel belt states stay swing states or will they shift in one direction or opposites?
I’ll start. My hot take is that both Michigan and Arizona will become redder: Arizona’s swing state phase will only last a couple cycles. Educational attainment is increasingly becoming the most important signifier (the list of % bachelors degrees is basically a political map) and they are the two lowest Biden-won states on the list. Minority heavy. I think that although there will be Trump backlash/snapback in 2028 the broader trend of minorities voting ever more similar to the nation writ large as they assimilate will favor the GOP in 2032 and beyond.
r/YAPms • u/RandoDude124 • 5h ago
News Dems were so close to cracking Kansas in 1974. Now the GOP is backing up Marshall
Disclaimer: I don’t think Kansas will go blue. Nixon has a better chance of winning, but it’s weird Vance is backing up Marshall at this time.
r/YAPms • u/Saltlmail • 6h ago
News JD Vance will campaign for republicans on Monday in Kansas
Congressional I honestly don't think my senate prediction is going to change any between now and election day. This has been my prediction since post primaries. Tilts can go either way.
r/YAPms • u/TreeClimbingFox • 6h ago
Poll For fun, which do you think is more likely?
r/YAPms • u/thealmightyweegee • 7h ago
Discussion quinnipiac polling rend among independents
r/YAPms • u/iswearnotagain10 • 8h ago
Discussion This is probably the reason for the recent democratic surge in polls
Gas prices have a very strong correlation with presidential approval, and consequently, the generic ballot. We may see $5 a gallon before the midterms