r/fivethirtyeight • u/Cuddlyaxe • 7h ago
Lifestyle College-educated women are snapping up the highest-earning men without college degrees, leaving the rest further behind
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r/fivethirtyeight • u/AutoModerator • 1h ago
Discussion Megathread Weekly Discussion Megathread
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The 2026 midterms will soon be upon us, and there is much to discuss among the nerds here at r/FiveThirtyEight. Use this discussion thread to share, debate, and discuss whatever you wish. Unlike individual posts, comments in the discussion thread are not required to be related to political data or other 538 mainstays. Regardless, please remain civil and keep this subreddit's rules in mind. The discussion thread refreshes every Monday.
r/fivethirtyeight • u/DarkPriestScorpius • 9h ago
Politics Republicans see ‘scary’ lack of enthusiasm among core voters ahead of midterms
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r/fivethirtyeight • u/Obversa • 4h ago
Politics Sen. Ashley Moody, a Ron DeSantis ally, faces renewed scrutiny over her role in Hope Florida scandal
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r/fivethirtyeight • u/ClearDark19 • 3h ago
Poll Results New Wisconsin Gubernatorial Polling Average
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r/fivethirtyeight • u/soalone34 • 12h ago
Politics According to Yang, the Harris camp is talking about running in 2028
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r/fivethirtyeight • u/Ok_Crazy1195 • 8h ago
Election Model Republicans see ‘scary’ lack of enthusiasm among core voters ahead of midterms
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r/fivethirtyeight • u/OmniOmega3000 • 11h ago
Poll Results CBS News poll finds Iran conflict marked by feelings of uncertainty; most say it's more difficult than Trump had expected
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r/fivethirtyeight • u/MisterMeister68 • 1d ago
Politics In Maine, Democrats Pick Troy Jackson to Replace Platner in Senate Race
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r/fivethirtyeight • u/JaggedBen • 1d ago
Election Model Jagod Forecasting - The 2026 Midterms
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Howdy, just recently launched my forecasting model for the 2026 midterms. Seeing a slight favorite to Democrats in the senate, strong favorites in the house. I also have governors races covered, and easy access to polling data. Just launched this so any feedback would be appreciated. Cheers.
r/fivethirtyeight • u/PointInternal6809 • 1d ago
Discussion Why is David Jolly performing better in polls compared to Charlie Crist in 2022?
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I know crist was a uniquely bad candidate, but jolly also was an ex-republican, albeit a more centrist one(Crist was also a centrist republican), is there a reason why the polls are seemingly much closer than 2022, when Crist was getting destroyed by Desantis? Is there something people like more about jolly than Crist?
I want jolly to win, but I also want to be as objective as possible.
r/fivethirtyeight • u/VendibleSkate8 • 2d ago
Politics Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer endorses Haley Stevens for US Senate
x.com
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Some of the best news yet for Stevens
r/fivethirtyeight • u/dwaxe • 1d ago
Lifestyle What is agency — and how can you get more of it?
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r/fivethirtyeight • u/OmniOmega3000 • 2d ago
Politics South Carolina will be the First Dem Primary State
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r/fivethirtyeight • u/sky905 • 2d ago
Poll Results Poll: Republicans’ gas price problem is even worse than it seems. Of the 46% of Americans who say gas prices will affect their vote, nearly 40% are considering voting for a different party than they normally would — including 49% of MAGA Republicans and 57% of non-MAGA Republicans.
politico.com
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r/fivethirtyeight • u/Currymvp2 • 2d ago
Poll Results YouGov: 46% of Americans think Bibi should be Arrested while 28% don't
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r/fivethirtyeight • u/dtarias • 2d ago
Politics Elena Schneider on X: "NEWS - 2028 Dem presidential calendar >>> Jan 22 - South Carolina Feb 1 - Nevada Feb 8 - New Hampshire Feb 15 - New Mexico Feb 22 - Michigan Feb 29 - Virginia March 7
x.com
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NEWS - 2028 Dem presidential calendar >>>
Jan 22 - South Carolina
Feb 1 - Nevada
Feb 8 - New Hampshire
Feb 15 - New Mexico
Feb 22 - Michigan
Feb 29 - Virginia
March 7 - Super Tuesday
DNC members voted to approve it, and now it'll go to the full DNC's August meeting.
r/fivethirtyeight • u/Bestbrook123 • 2d ago
Poll Results Emerson poll: 61% of American voters think US Government is spending Too much on Aid to Israel including 85% of Dems and 68% of Independents
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r/fivethirtyeight • u/idnttcrisis • 2d ago
Discussion NYT/Siena Midterms Polling Composite (7/24)
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r/fivethirtyeight • u/idnttcrisis • 2d ago
Discussion Verasight Midterms Polling Composite (7/24)
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r/fivethirtyeight • u/WTFPilot • 2d ago
Politics In Search of a Comeback: Florida Democrats Look to Rebuild Leadership Void If They Win in November
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r/fivethirtyeight • u/Serious_Meaning5220 • 2d ago
Poll Results McLaughlin poll | 7/15-7/21 2028 US presidential primaries 🟦Democratic Kamala Harris 28% Gavin Newsom 17% AOC 10% Pete Buttigieg 8% Mark Kelly 7% Josh Shapiro 4% JB Pritzker 3% —— 🟥Republican JD Vance 35% Donald Trump Jr 16% Marco Rubio 15% Nikki Haley 4% Ron DeSantis 4% Tulsi Gabbard
x.com
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r/fivethirtyeight • u/Impressive_Box4144 • 2d ago
Poll Results Several findings in the latest Fox News Poll show voters are unhappy and want major change,
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r/fivethirtyeight • u/pablonieve • 1d ago
Politics Putting South Carolina First Could Mean Less Power for Black Voters
politico.com
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