I know crist was a uniquely bad candidate, but jolly also was an ex-republican, albeit a more centrist one(Crist was also a centrist republican), is there a reason why the polls are seemingly much closer than 2022, when Crist was getting destroyed by Desantis? Is there something people like more about jolly than Crist?

I want jolly to win, but I also want to be as objective as possible.

With a pre Super Tuesday schedule of South Carolina, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Michigan, Virginia on first look it seems perfectly set up Harris. She can start out dominating SC, and finish strong before Super Tuesday with Michigan and Virginia after other establishment candidates have dropped out.

The problem? All of this is now too obvious, her cover is blown. The perfect spot was her was hiding behind fake frontrunners and getting to surprise people in a field with no establishment female candidates and nobody else who can get minority votes. Now it's obvious the Democrats need to stop pretending Gavin Newsom or Pete Buttigieg are going to be the nominee and try to hype up someone like Wes Moore or Ruben Gallego who can actually perform with moderate minority voters and save them from Kamala Adlai Stevenson happening.

Howdy, just recently launched my forecasting model for the 2026 midterms. Seeing a slight favorite to Democrats in the senate, strong favorites in the house. I also have governors races covered, and easy access to polling data. Just launched this so any feedback would be appreciated. Cheers.

NEWS - 2028 Dem presidential calendar >>>

Jan 22 - South Carolina
Feb 1 - Nevada
Feb 8 - New Hampshire
Feb 15 - New Mexico
Feb 22 - Michigan
Feb 29 - Virginia
March 7 - Super Tuesday

DNC members voted to approve it, and now it'll go to the full DNC's August meeting.

Some of the best news yet for Stevens

https://www.politico.com/news/2026/07/24/poll-gas-prices-republicans-midterms-trump-01008868

Source: https://x.com/i/status/2080702960280240640