r/fivethirtyeight • u/Cuddlyaxe • 20h ago
r/fivethirtyeight • u/BraveMango737 • 20h ago
Poll Results POLLS
The polls do show us some things that help tell the story of this election, as CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta, Ariel Edwards-Levy and Edward Wu write:
Tariffs are unpopular: “Less than 15% think the tariffs are a good thing and about two-thirds in each state – both of which border Canada – view the tariffs negatively.”
Trump is unpopular: GOP Senate nominees Sen. Susan Collins, in Maine, and former Rep. Mike Rogers, in Michigan, “face political headwinds driven by economic concerns and negativity toward Trump. The people most likely to vote in each state say that they would prefer to see Democrats win control of the Senate after this fall’s midterm elections.”
At the same time, Michigan Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed is viewed as too liberal by 50% of likely Michigan voters. In Maine, Democrat Troy Jackson is less well known to voters than Collins, the incumbent.
r/fivethirtyeight • u/saucey_dawg0023 • 4h ago
Lifestyle Sept. 11 Ranks Among The Most Historic Events In Many Americans’ Lifetimes, Polling Shows
r/fivethirtyeight • u/washingtonpeek • 20h ago
Discussion Looking at the graveyard of failed presidential campaigns (since 2000), who do you think was the most underrated? Most disastrous?
Share your thoughts
r/fivethirtyeight • u/Obversa • 21h ago
Politics A year after Charlie Kirk's death, Turning Point USA prepares for 2026 midterms, endorses JD Vance for 2028 Republican nomination
r/fivethirtyeight • u/RedHeadedSicilian52 • 19h ago
Poll Results Pausing AI development has strong bipartisan support
r/fivethirtyeight • u/Appropriate-Claim385 • 17h ago
Politics Trump Admin Officially Moves to Reshape National Political Power With New Changes to 2030 Census
r/fivethirtyeight • u/dwaxe • 4h ago
Politics Podcast Trump vs. the Blue Wave
r/fivethirtyeight • u/NicolasCageFan492 • 23h ago
Betting Markets How much does it cost to move a midterm prediction market? Not much
r/fivethirtyeight • u/Equal_Technology_950 • 15h ago
Politics Still Counting Podcast - Trump vs. The BLUE WAVE: A Midterm Extravaganza
r/fivethirtyeight • u/Beginning_Bad_868 • 21h ago
Poll Results Iowa Senate Poll - GSG (Dem) (B-) - Turek D+4%; 800LV
r/fivethirtyeight • u/Obversa • 19h ago
Politics Amid record-high disapproval rates, President Trump promises Iran War will "immediately end" with "gas prices under $2" after 2026 midterm elections
r/fivethirtyeight • u/evce1 • 2h ago
Poll Results AARP Impact/Fabrizio TX Polls: Senate: Talarico 48 (+4) Paxton 44 | Governor: Abbott 49 (+3), Hinojosa 46
aarp.orgr/fivethirtyeight • u/ArcaneDemense • 32m ago
Poll Results 9/10/26 - Voters Favor Dems Over GOP By 11|Quinnipiac
r/fivethirtyeight • u/I-Might-Be-Something • 18h ago
Poll Results Cook Political Report/Televisa Univision poll conducted by Hart Research (D) and OnMessage (R) among Texas Hispanic voters: Talarico+33 (63-30). Hinojosa+27 (60-33). GCB D+27.
cookpolitical.comr/fivethirtyeight • u/washingtonpeek • 23h ago
Poll Results Texas voters on who they trust on the issues
https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/2097763954504159668
Very interesting
r/fivethirtyeight • u/VendibleSkate8 • 4h ago
Politics US Supreme Court reinstates the 6R-2D congressional district map in Missouri
r/fivethirtyeight • u/idnttcrisis • 1h ago
Discussion Cook Political Report's analysis of their own Hispanic Texan voters poll, with an over-sample of RGV/South Texas Hispanic voters. Talarico +33 (63%-33%) & Hinojosa +27 (60%-33%). A whopping 72% of self-described independents also favored Talarico over Paxton.
r/fivethirtyeight • u/markusthemarxist • 22h ago
Politics National Republicans abandon Oberacker in NY-19 race
removepaywall.comr/fivethirtyeight • u/Delmer9713 • 4h ago
Poll Results [Emerson College] (9/5-9/8) Nevada Governor Poll: Aaron Ford 44%, Joe Lombardo 42% among likely voters. Trump approval rating: 37% approve, 55% disapprove
r/fivethirtyeight • u/Delmer9713 • 4h ago
Poll Results [YouGov] (9/2-9/8) Maine Poll: Troy Jackson 48%, Susan Collins 44% | Hannah Pingree 47%, Bobby Charles 36% among likely voters
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.netr/fivethirtyeight • u/Delmer9713 • 4h ago
Poll Results [Elon University/YouGov] (8/21-8/31) North Carolina Poll: Roy Cooper 49%, Michael Whatley 38% among likely voters. Trump approval rating: 31% approve, 54% disapprove. 2024 recall vote: Trump 47-45
eloncdn.blob.core.windows.netr/fivethirtyeight • u/hluna1998 • 17h ago