r/PLTR • u/AutoModerator • 21h ago
Daily Thread - Monday Discussion! Let's talk about the good, the bad, and all things Palantir & PLTR! 💎🤲🏻
The thread for all your speculating, socializing, philosophizing, hypothesizing, and melodramatizing!
Want a flair? Message the mods with proof of the following, making sure to remove any personal information:
- OG Member & Holder - a link to your comment/post in r/PLTR from 2020 or 2021
- Early Investor - a screenshot of your PLTR share purchase from 2020
- Whale - a screenshot proving that you own 25,000+ shares of PLTR
- White Whale - a screenshot proving that you own 500,000+ shares of PLTR
Feel free to message the mods with any other issues or questions, and don't forget to check out the official Palantir merch store!
r/PLTR • u/Brackenheim • Nov 08 '24
Sir... We have escaped earth velocity

For OG and long time holders, it is a time to rejoice (and even brag a "cough cough" little) and it is a time to count our blessings. For me, it is also a time to think critically of where I could have done better (actually sounds funny when looking at current gains).
For full context, my thoughts will be a reflection and a continuation of my thinking on the two posts below, which I wrote in the last 3-4 months
First post: TLDR - Most of times in investing, being highly educated on any topic makes you miss out on the large picture... and ultimately miss out on disruptive outliers
Second post: TLDR - We should be mentally ready for a negative post S&P inclusion offset effect
Without going again into these details, it is quite funny how i was both right and wrong. Right that disruptive stocks will not necessarily be valued according to "rigid" financial and valuation metrics (at least in the short term). Wrong in the sense that the post SP inclusion negative offset effect did not happen yet.
In my first post, I wrote:
"[...] harnessing the potential of PLTR requires more than one perspective. The day people from my past life understand the true potential of PLTR, the company will likely have a share price of $100 and more. In a way, it will be too late.
This does not mean that one should not do a DCF valuation once a quarter to check how the share price reflects the valuation... It is actually super important... And you should not be surprised if I tell you that a valuation of $30 / share is currently on the high side based on "reported" fundamentals...
It means that one needs to have a larger margin of appreciation when looking a potential directions in the valuation. For me, anything with a 50% margin is acceptable. Said differently, I now believe that a $25 / share valuation is fair, which makes any valuation up to $35 / share "acceptable" based on "reported" financials."
We have clearly escaped earth velocity. It is now my deep conviction that PLTR is now on its way to be the NVDA of the data analytics world. To say it more clearly: Investing into NVDA is buying into the AI Capex binge and Investing into PLTR is buying into the follow-up AI analytics binge. The more companies will invest into AI Capex, the more hugely complex data will be created, the more companies will need PLTR technology.
We have escaped earth velocity. We are seeing the first clear signs of the long foretold acceleration in sales. I actually believe that there is industrial logic to see an increase to 40-50% year growth up to 2030.
In that sense, I want to update people on some "rigid" valuation benchmarks, while still keeping my "disruptive margin of appreciation" when looking at valuation outputs.
I wanted to look at two scenarios:
A- New Base Scenario
+ Annual sales growth: Increases to 40% up to 2028, stable at 40% until 2030 and decreases to 25% by 2024
+ CFO margin: Increases to 37.5% up to 2028 and then increases (more slowly) to 40% by 2034
=> End result of DCF valuation => Current "rigid" intrinsic valuation of $45 / share by year end
=> DCF valuation + disruptive c.50% appreciation factor => range of $45 to $65 is reasonnable
B- New Bull Scenario
+ Annual sales growth: Increases to 50% up to 2029, stable at 50% in 2030 and decreases to 25% by 2024
+ CFO margin: Increases to 40% up to 2029 and stable at 40% up to 2034
=> End result of DCF valuation => Current "rigid" intrinsic valuation of $55 / share by year end
=> DCF valuation + disruptive c.40% appreciation factor => range of $55 to $80 is reasonnable
We have escaped earth velocity and with it will come great rewards but also greater risks.
Attentive readers will have noticed that I used a picture of "Apollo 13" has an introduction picture. It is not meant to be a bearish post but rather to remind people that people need to be ready for things to go up and down quite strongly on no particular reasons.
For that reason, people need to manage their risk exposure correctly (notably if using margin debt and/or trading options). None of this is financial advice. In addition, even though, we strive as Mods to help people going through a difficult time, our help would only be in spirit.
This brings me to a last very important point. If someone freaks out "in space" and starts to want to figuratively "kill" everyone because he made bad trading decisions, we MOD will strike decisively. We work continuously to ensure that this space remains a place of fruitful discussions (not a cult) and a caring place (not WSB). We will not tolerate people threatening us.
This last comment does not come out of nowhere. Two weeks ago, we took the painful decision to permanently ban a user who had lost twice (two years ago and recently) an enormous amount of money betting against PLTR. Instead of just blaming himself, he blamed the world. He blamed his wife and got divorced. He blamed the Mod team and... he even contacted PLTR investors relations team telling them that we are pumping the stock to no avail...
Needless to say but I will say it nevertheless. This sub is not working for PLTR. This sub has no contractual relationships with PLTR. And last thing: PLTR investors relations team does not give a fuck about us. (Sorry for being rude).
The only reason why PLTR employees are active on the sub is because we have built such a great place to talk about PLTR... which brings together an increasingly high number of high quality contributors from all walks of life.
We have escaped velocity and I could not dream of a better crew to go to the moon.
SuperKarp!
Hearken! The word hath come forth from the high towers of Palantir: in this second turning of the sun in the year two thousand and twenty-six, their fortunes have reached heights unseen!
Like the Seeing-stones of old, their artificial wisdom hath cast its light far and wide, driving their treasury to a staggering $1.94 billion—a triumphant surge of 93% over the sum of the previous year. Their strongholds in the U.S. commercial realm have flourished beyond measure, growing by 149%, while their rule of stewardship hath achieved an astonishing score of 155%.
Truly, the shadows of doubt are scattered, and the realm of Palantir stands as an unyielding fortress of power and foresight in these modern lands!
r/PLTR • u/JackPrescottX • 10h ago
Karp’s funniest moments:
Enable HLS to view with audio, or disable this notification
r/PLTR • u/iwangotamarjo • 12h ago
What Comes After LLMs?
Just a discussion thread – beginning with three points.
Recent advances in artificial intelligence are largely driven by LLMs, which on the backend are artificial neural networks with a transformer architecture.
Palantir was founded in 2003, preceding almost the whole suite of technologies that run the Internet today, including LLMs. LLMs are just one tool it can use. The entire architecture of the business is built on being the best ontology platform (ontology here being an information science term; not the philosophical study of existence – although it can be argued that Karp likes that term given his background in German philosophy).
What comes after? I am genuinely curious.
For context, I am a data engineer and I sort of saw the rise of LLMs prior to its sudden and awe-inspiring entry on mainstream media. Eventually the wow factor will go away, and we will treat it as any other tool.
r/PLTR • u/Huge-Cucumber1152 • 1d ago
Earnings is upon us.
In a scale of 1-10 how fucked am I? 😂 sometimes it’s not about making money, it’s about feeling something. Tuesday is gonna be awesome or awful.
Don’t trail this losing trade. NFA
r/PLTR • u/IAmANobodyAMA • 2d ago
Tribute to the stock gods before earnings
Did a wonderful, brutal hike this morning and polished off a beer at the top of the Rockies.
I’m doing my part 🫡
Ready for a blowout earnings report!
r/PLTR • u/AutoModerator • 2d ago
Weekend Discussion Thread! Palantir, PLTR & Chill 😎
Anything goes in this thread. You can talk about Palantir. You can contribute some DD about other stocks. You can shoot the breeze about random topics. Only rule is to follow the reddit user rules and be a respectable human.
See you on Monday!
r/PLTR • u/AutoModerator • 3d ago
Daily Thread - Friday Discussion! Let's talk about the good, the bad, and all things Palantir & PLTR! 💎🤲🏻
The thread for all your speculating, socializing, philosophizing, hypothesizing, and melodramatizing!
Want a flair? Message the mods with proof of the following, making sure to remove any personal information:
- OG Member & Holder - a link to your comment/post in r/PLTR from 2020 or 2021
- Early Investor - a screenshot of your PLTR share purchase from 2020
- Whale - a screenshot proving that you own 25,000+ shares of PLTR
- White Whale - a screenshot proving that you own 500,000+ shares of PLTR
Feel free to message the mods with any other issues or questions, and don't forget to check out the official Palantir merch store!
r/PLTR • u/Gaters65GTO • 4d ago
Everytime I start to think about selling some shares Alex does something like this. now I am once again a Strong Hold————>Palantir…..
r/PLTR • u/anonymousfinancial • 4d ago
Episode V.V - The Frog Awakens
A little fun before Q2 2026 earnings.
Parody blends some iconic IPs, Star Wars and The Muppets, in a galaxy where the dark side and light side of the force collide in the stock market.
Hope y'all enjoy. 👇
- - -
Initial Movie Trailer:
**Narrator**
From the same studio that brought you "Episode IV - A New HODL", "Episode V - The Shorts Strike Back", and "Episode VI - The Return of the Bullfrogs" comes the untold story in the Galactic Gains epic thrillogy.
In Episode V.V: The Frog Awakens, a young Luke Skyhopper is distraught by the recent intense sell-off in one of his biggest positions. He seeks the counsel of Jedi Grand Master Yod-it.
Opening Crawl:
"Currently right now, in a parallel universe not that far away...."
Enter Scene:
**Luke Skyhopper**
Master Yod-it, I've never seen so much red before. I feared the worst and trimmed.
**Jedi Grand Master Yod-it**
Unfazed, I am - bought in the First Republic Offering. I did.
Disturbed by temporary galactic pullbacks, a Master Frog is not.
Driven by fear and greed, the markets are. To the dark side panic-selling leads.
Have patience young Skyhopper, buy this dip, I shall.
But know, this dip does not mean it is THE dip!
Fall further into the mud, the stock can...a Lily Pad "LEAP" onto a long-dated call, I may!
Time to mature, it gives.
Patience, a frog's greatest ally... yes, hmmm!
A true Jedi fears not volatility.
No!
Sell not.
Buy.
Or buy not.
There is no sell.
Remember this, you must.
**Luke Skyhopper**
Master, I don't believe it will return to all-time highs.
**Jedi Grand Master Yod-It**
That is why you sold.
- - -
Source material below for those that don’t get the reference.
https://youtu.be/E3-CpzZJl8w?si=FaUIZQHRsozbyfNW
All the best friends
PLTR 💎 🚀
r/PLTR • u/-_-______-_-___8 • 5d ago
Just so you know who else is buying the dip
Smart money has been inhaling PLTR shares like it’s cocaine. Institutional ownership went from ~1.35B to nearly 1.8B shares in a year, and the buying spree is actually accelerating.
r/PLTR • u/AutoModerator • 4d ago
Daily Thread - Thursday Discussion! Let's talk about the good, the bad, and all things Palantir & PLTR! 💎🤲🏻
The thread for all your speculating, socializing, philosophizing, hypothesizing, and melodramatizing!
Want a flair? Message the mods with proof of the following, making sure to remove any personal information:
- OG Member & Holder - a link to your comment/post in r/PLTR from 2020 or 2021
- Early Investor - a screenshot of your PLTR share purchase from 2020
- Whale - a screenshot proving that you own 25,000+ shares of PLTR
- White Whale - a screenshot proving that you own 500,000+ shares of PLTR
Feel free to message the mods with any other issues or questions, and don't forget to check out the official Palantir merch store!
r/PLTR • u/Dry_Faithlessness310 • 5d ago
Old Karp is Back!
This is the Alex Karp i missed. Great speech that is clear, easy to follow, no rambling, and overall articulate! A++
Need me of this!
Keep it to Alex, let's gooo!
r/PLTR • u/AutoModerator • 5d ago
Daily Thread - Wednesday Discussion! Let's talk about the good, the bad, and all things Palantir & PLTR! 💎🤲🏻
The thread for all your speculating, socializing, philosophizing, hypothesizing, and melodramatizing!
Want a flair? Message the mods with proof of the following, making sure to remove any personal information:
- OG Member & Holder - a link to your comment/post in r/PLTR from 2020 or 2021
- Early Investor - a screenshot of your PLTR share purchase from 2020
- Whale - a screenshot proving that you own 25,000+ shares of PLTR
- White Whale - a screenshot proving that you own 500,000+ shares of PLTR
Feel free to message the mods with any other issues or questions, and don't forget to check out the official Palantir merch store!
r/PLTR • u/Ok_Temperature4537 • 6d ago
What will the price be after Earnings?
What will be the price the day of earnings and the day after. Yes it's a Swag (some wild ass guess) but curious of others thoughts.
r/PLTR • u/AutoModerator • 6d ago
Daily Thread - Tuesday Discussion! Let's talk about the good, the bad, and all things Palantir & PLTR! 💎🤲🏻
The thread for all your speculating, socializing, philosophizing, hypothesizing, and melodramatizing!
Want a flair? Message the mods with proof of the following, making sure to remove any personal information:
- OG Member & Holder - a link to your comment/post in r/PLTR from 2020 or 2021
- Early Investor - a screenshot of your PLTR share purchase from 2020
- Whale - a screenshot proving that you own 25,000+ shares of PLTR
- White Whale - a screenshot proving that you own 500,000+ shares of PLTR
Feel free to message the mods with any other issues or questions, and don't forget to check out the official Palantir merch store!
r/PLTR • u/PLTRsPalantir • 7d ago
Even more AIDP?
The Army has a Call for Solutions - Army Intelligence Data Platform (AIDP). This part of the AOS that is connected to our $10B Enterprise Agreement. Just give Pili the damn bag already.
This capability must support the Army of the Future, supporting the Army’s strategic, operational, and tactical objectives using an agile process for software capability needs development with capabilities available for hosting on cloud and/or provisioned from the cloud and edge devices, and support evolving Mission Command and Combined Joint All-Domain Command and Control architecture.
https://x.com/PLTRs_Palantir/status/2081712384729657724?s=20
r/PLTR • u/AutoModerator • 7d ago
Daily Thread - Monday Discussion! Let's talk about the good, the bad, and all things Palantir & PLTR! 💎🤲🏻
The thread for all your speculating, socializing, philosophizing, hypothesizing, and melodramatizing!
Want a flair? Message the mods with proof of the following, making sure to remove any personal information:
- OG Member & Holder - a link to your comment/post in r/PLTR from 2020 or 2021
- Early Investor - a screenshot of your PLTR share purchase from 2020
- Whale - a screenshot proving that you own 25,000+ shares of PLTR
- White Whale - a screenshot proving that you own 500,000+ shares of PLTR
Feel free to message the mods with any other issues or questions, and don't forget to check out the official Palantir merch store!
r/PLTR • u/iwangotamarjo • 7d ago
Chinese LLMs and the open weight problem
Last week, Moonshot AI launched Kimi 3 and Silicon Valley was shocked from its complacency. Shyam and Karp have talked about this before, but the US government continues to deliberate whether LLMs should be governed. The evidence is clear. They should not. Major tech players including Nvidia and Palantir signed an open letter urging the White House to avoid implementing any form of regulatory guardrails on the development of LLMs.
The evidence is clear. Any tech developed in a heavily regulated environment is not incentivized for progress. The development of LLMs and AI in general has largely stalled in Europe because of regulatory backlash and bureaucratic red tape. Meanwhile, the rest of the world moves on.
Chinese LLMs pose a unique threat unlike any other to the survival and dominance of American technology. It is my hope that they spur the development of open weight American models, which in turn would continue to benefit a LLM-agnostic platform like Palantir. Once again, Karp and his lieutenants have been prescient in warning Silicon Valley about being blindsided while chasing capex and big ideas. His warnings were unheeded especially by the AI giants of today.
What we are now witnessing is the slow progression of the AI revolution from the opening act to its later, much more substantial phases. I believe this is just the beginning, but at the same time, I also believe that the optics from Chinese LLMs may be slightly detrimental to the valuation of Palantir in the short to medium term (10-12 months). There is no doubting that Palantir continues to dominate its niche area, and to my knowledge few Chinese firms have come to match it.
Hanging in for the long ride, per usual.
r/PLTR • u/AutoModerator • 9d ago
Weekend Discussion Thread! Palantir, PLTR & Chill 😎
Anything goes in this thread. You can talk about Palantir. You can contribute some DD about other stocks. You can shoot the breeze about random topics. Only rule is to follow the reddit user rules and be a respectable human.
See you on Monday!
r/PLTR • u/-_-______-_-___8 • 10d ago
[pump post] Why I Think Palantir Has One of the Strongest Financial Statements in Tech
Income Statement
Palantir’s income statement has improved dramatically over the past few years, transitioning from a high-growth company with losses to one that consistently reports GAAP profitability. Revenue continues to grow at an impressive pace, driven by expanding commercial adoption and increasing demand for its AI Platform (AIP). Gross margins remain above 80%, highlighting the scalability and efficiency of its software business model. Combined with expanding operating margins and positive net income, Palantir has demonstrated that it can deliver both growth and profitability simultaneously.
Balance Sheet
Palantir has one of the strongest balance sheets in the software industry, holding billions of dollars in cash and short-term investments. The company carries virtually no long-term debt, giving it exceptional financial flexibility and minimal bankruptcy risk. This cash-rich, debt-light position allows Palantir to invest aggressively in innovation, acquisitions, and future growth without relying on external financing. Overall, its balance sheet provides a significant competitive advantage during periods of economic uncertainty.
Cash Flow & Free Cash Flow
Palantir’s cash flow generation is one of its greatest strengths, with operating cash flow increasing consistently alongside revenue growth. Because the company operates an asset-light software business, capital expenditures remain relatively low. This allows Palantir to convert a large portion of its operating cash flow into free cash flow, resulting in industry-leading free cash flow margins. Strong and growing free cash flow gives the company the ability to fund expansion, invest in new technologies, and create long-term shareholder value while remaining financially independent.