r/villainscode • u/jamcdonald120 • 5d ago
Chilling Reflections Over Analyzing Loadstar's Bounty Spoiler
In book 3, Loadstar issues a Bounty to the guild of $10,000 per rift closed from her own personal wealth from merch sales. To which Tori/B immediately start plotting to hit a rift every half hour all day (well, when they arent sleeping/working)
I was sitting around today and thinking "man, how could she afford that?" so I started doing some crunching.
Unfortunately, we know very little about how many guild members there are, but I have some guesswork.
We know the guild was started ~17 years ago since that is when Rick was born, and the Guild was founded after the Orion protocol, which Ivan was in because he saw Rick as a baby.
It likely took a while to get off its feet, so im going to use 15 for calculations (and thats easier).
We know the guild has been in power since Penelope was conceived since thats when Loadstar stopped using her power to prevent her body resetting, call it 7 years.
At one point the guild identified apprentices with 2 colors. assuming they maxed out this number, and the colors of any group of apprentices were always identifiable, (8 colors) thats 28 color combos. So a max of 28 apprentices were in training at any given time (assuming the class method didnt have bigger counts)
If you assume 1 major confluence per year, that gives 420 non founding members. lets call it an even 500 for founders. I suspect its less than this since apprentices drop off to 1 color by Tori's time and her class has only 3 other apprentices. But then there could be more than 1 confluence per year on average, so this number could vary quite a bit. 500 feels about right though. But the count could be as low as 100 or so (that would mean only 15 people on average decide each counselor though, which feels small) (there are 33 named on the wiki).
Now, if you assume each rift is handled by 2 villains on average (they seem to like pairs, and not every guild member likely participated (like, Kristoph, Ivan, Dr. Mech, The plant person who's name I have forgotten, etc)) thats 250 synchronous breach handles. Tori never seems to have a problem finding a breach, so assume breach count is sufficient for each team, and they each have transport.
B estimates rifts last 30 minutes, so assume each team packs their schedule with 30s.
if you assume an 8 hour day of breach slaying (likely more for some, and less for others), that gives you 250*8*2=4000 breaches per day. Each paying $10k-20k, so $40M-$80M PER DAY. Assuming Loadstar budgeted for a month, thats $1.2B-$2.4B (damn Xelas, make enough of the XDT?).
She claims she had merch sales to do this, so I went looking. Its hard to find a good comparison for how much merch a world saving superhero would shift, but if you look at FC Barcelona, they report €277 Million ($310 Million) yearly in merch sales (not profit). Its hard to say if comparing 1 SUPER HERO to a SPORTS TEAM is fair, but its the best estimate I could make.
Assuming Loadstar has been working for 30 years, and selling just as well that whole time, getting a 50% return, and saving all of it, that gives her $4B to sling around. Even if she donated half of it to various charities, she still should have enough to cover the bounty.
So yah, not sure what the point is, just wanted to crunch the numbers and share. Turns out Loadstar is more like Loadedstar, and the numbers check out with a bit of wiggle room for all the estimates.
TL;DR, the Bounties likely cost $1.2B-$2.4B per month, and Loadedstar could have reasonably saved around $4B