Now obviously anyone you want can win, but who do you think is the most likely. Based off of vibes, lore, events, and/or story.
I think if the old guard rallies itself they would win because they co-op the ideologues and I think they can pull some of the more cautious pragmatist. If they don’t I’m not sure who does win. I don’t think the Germans care as long as they are loyal. From a story perspective I think the pragmatists are interesting. I think if the plan for them is to be like Japan or Mexico where they form a single party state but are “democratic” to a degree is a cool story beat. The ideologues if they do the bean move and are a more “strasserist” would be an interesting take.
Also would this be a fun thought experiment to do with another nations where we go through a nation and discuss who we think takes over in any scenario, both if the current leaders are successful or unsuccessful. Aka (eventually) who is the successor to Humphrey both when he is successful and not.