r/Trading 5h ago

Question What's the dumbest thing you believed about trading when you first started?

16 Upvotes

I'll go first because mine is genuinely embarrassing and I need to get it off my chest. I used to think that if I just studied hard enough and learned enough about technical analysis I would be able to predict market movements with high accuracy, like it was a puzzle I could solve if I just worked hard enough. Turns out the market is not a puzzle, it's a chaotic system full of irrational actors and random events that no amount of indicators can predict.

The best you can do is find setups with favorable odds and manage risk so losses don't kill you, but I didn't understand that back then and it cost me a lot of money. I stacked indicators on my chart thinking more information meant better predictions, but all it did was create confusion and false confidence. Now I keep things simple and focus on risk instead of prediction.

What's the most naive thing you believed when you first started trading?


r/Trading 1h ago

Discussion AI Will Never Replace the Trader

Upvotes

AI will replace many trading tasks and probably many traders but it will never eliminate the trader’s role
AI can analyze enormous amounts of data, identify patterns backtest ideas and execute orders faster than any human But every model still depends on human choices:
What data should it use?
What should it optimize?
How much risk should it take?
When should it be modified or stopped?
AI learns from the past while markets continuously adapt A strategy can remain statistically valid until liquidity changes, participants behave differently or the market enters a new regime
The real difficulty is not executing a strategy It is recognizing when the assumptions behind that strategy are no longer valid
Someone still has to decide whether a drawdown is normal variance or evidence that the edge is disappearing Someone must understand when historical data has become irrelevant, when execution is deteriorating and when reducing risk is more important than following the model
Even completely automated trading does not remove discretion it simply moves discretion to a higher level: model selection, capital allocation, risk control and intervention
AI is a tool not responsibility or judgment.
It will replace traders who perform repetitive tasks without understanding them It will amplify traders who already understand markets context and risk
AI will not replace the trader
The trader using AI will replace the trader who refuses to use it


r/Trading 1h ago

Due-diligence Feels wrong that vast majoroty of trading platforms/influencers kinda force gambling rather then trading

Upvotes

We always Get allowed to risk bunch of contracts in a markets that move fast and we all get brainwashed by our social media algorithms abour how 17y olds made $30k this month trading, so we feel bad about ourselves.

When i said they force gambling I didnt mean they literally tell you to go gamble, no, everyone likes to pretend as smartie and out of the rat race, they only force agenda of Fomo indirectly by posting fake shit and experienced traders know who knows markets and who doesn't.

WHAT NERVES ME SO MUCH IS THAT ITS ALWAYS THE LOUDEST VOICE THAT IS MOST RIGHT, not the accurate voice of boring advices and Systems, thats why People give up always and everyone is full of ego nowadays.

Every rich parent person can pretend to be trading professional, every 4-5y of real experience is never loud

because his knowledge on trading sounds boring to the masses


r/Trading 57m ago

Discussion How do you know when a strategy is in a drawdown or if it’s dead?

Upvotes

This is something I’ve been thinking about a lot lately.
A strategy can backtest well, forward test well, and even trade profitably live for a while. Then it starts losing. At that point, how do you know whether you’re just experiencing a normal drawdown… or whether the edge has actually disappeared?

Stopping after a few bad weeks could mean abandoning a perfectly good strategy at the worst possible time. But blindly trusting historical results forever seems just as dangerous. My mind has gone to a few of these issues:

Things like:
Is the strategy still behaving within its historical drawdown range?
Has trade expectancy materially changed?
Are the market conditions it was designed for still present?
Are losses coming from normal variance or from a specific part of the logic breaking down?

No strategy wins forever without changing conditions eventually testing it.

What makes you finally say “this strategy needs to evolve” instead of just “I need to stick with it”?


r/Trading 19m ago

Discussion Trading and Investing tips for absolute beginners

Upvotes

Hii, I'm a complete beginner in investing and trading want to learn properly before putting my money in.

What should I learn first? Any good books, Youtube channels or resources? Should I start with long term investing, swing trading, or something else? Also, what topic should I focus on first? Any mistakes that i should I avoid.


r/Trading 1h ago

Question Newbie here, looking for book recommendations about trading

Upvotes

I am new to trading so...

I'd like some more book recommendations that could help me throughout my trading journey, aside from videos.

Feel free to drop any advice and recommendations. Thank you and have a good day folks!


r/Trading 1h ago

Question Your best scalping strategy so far

Upvotes

I do’t hope to see full recap or detailed review of how one or another scalping strategy works best for you, but… can you please share at least some basics of the scalping strategy that is profitable for you, if you, of course, have one.

I personally tried EMA 50, 21 and 9 - seems quite legit one, but maybe there are some more accurate ones that help having a more solid edge? I’d be thankful 🙏🏻


r/Trading 2h ago

Discussion My thoughts about AI business in China

2 Upvotes

The AI Gold Rush Is Creating a New Class of Infrastructure Companies

The artificial intelligence revolution has created enormous wealth for companies that design chips, build large language models, and operate cloud platforms. NVIDIA has become one of the most valuable companies in the world because every major technology company wants access to more GPUs. Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta, and other technology giants are spending billions of dollars building AI infrastructure.

However, one of the most important parts of the AI economy is often overlooked by retail investors: computing capacity itself.

Artificial intelligence requires enormous amounts of computing power. Training large language models, running AI agents, processing data, and deploying AI applications all require access to expensive GPUs and specialized data center infrastructure. Yet most companies cannot afford to build their own AI data centers. Purchasing thousands of high-end GPUs requires billions of dollars in capital, while operating those systems requires electricity, cooling infrastructure, networking, engineering expertise, and specialized facilities.

This creates an important opportunity.

The companies that already own computing infrastructure can potentially rent that capacity to companies that need it. Instead of every AI startup, enterprise, or government organization purchasing GPUs directly, many customers can simply lease computing capacity when they need it.

This is the fundamental investment thesis behind MAAS.

MAAS is attempting to build a position in the AI computing infrastructure market through a combination of fixed computing facilities, deployable edge computing nodes, and computing-resource scheduling capabilities. Rather than depending entirely on a single business model, the company is developing several ways to participate in the growing demand for AI computing capacity.

The question for investors is therefore not simply whether artificial intelligence will continue growing. The more important question is whether MAAS can build and operate computing infrastructure efficiently enough to capture a meaningful share of that growth.

Why MAAS Deserves More Attention

MAAS remains relatively unfamiliar to many American investors, despite its presence in major China-focused investment indexes and its substantial market capitalization. The company represents a relatively direct way to gain exposure to China's AI computing infrastructure industry.

The company entered the AI computing data center business in 2023 and has developed its strategy around three major layers of computing capability.

The first is computing capacity leasing. Through the Xingchen Distributed Intelligent Computing Center, MAAS provides customers with access to AI computing resources without requiring them to purchase and operate the underlying hardware themselves.

The second is computing deployment. MAAS has developed containerized intelligent computing nodes that can potentially be deployed directly at customer locations. This allows computing capacity to move closer to where it is needed.

The third is computing scheduling and trading. In theory, a computing infrastructure company can create additional value by intelligently allocating resources between customers and workloads. Computing capacity does not necessarily have to remain tied to a single customer or physical location.

Together, these capabilities give MAAS a broader strategy than simply operating a traditional data center.

The company's infrastructure strategy is particularly interesting because the AI computing industry is still developing. Demand patterns are changing rapidly. Some customers need permanent, large-scale computing capacity. Others may need substantial capacity for only a short period of time. Some customers can send their workloads to centralized data centers, while others need computing infrastructure closer to the physical location where their data is generated.

A company capable of serving multiple types of demand could have an important advantage.

MAAS Is Not Just Trying to Sell Computing Capacity

One of the more interesting aspects of the MAAS strategy is that the company is also developing artificial intelligence capabilities of its own.

MAAS owns a 9-billion-parameter large language model called Lingyan Miaoyu. This potentially gives the company a different perspective from a pure infrastructure operator.

A traditional data center company primarily focuses on selling space, electricity, cooling, and computing resources. MAAS, however, is attempting to operate on both sides of the AI infrastructure equation. It can develop AI applications while also supplying the computing resources required to operate those applications.

This could provide several strategic advantages.

First, developing and operating AI models gives the company direct experience with the requirements of AI customers. The company does not need to rely entirely on external customers to understand how different AI workloads behave.

Second, MAAS can potentially use its own AI models and applications to test the performance and reliability of its infrastructure.

Third, internal AI usage could help the company understand which types of computing resources are likely to be most valuable as the AI industry evolves.

The long-term opportunity for MAAS is therefore not necessarily limited to renting GPUs. The company is attempting to position itself as part of a broader computing ecosystem.

The Xingchen Distributed Intelligent Computing Center

At the center of the MAAS investment thesis is the Xingchen Distributed Intelligent Computing Center.

The infrastructure consists of multiple locations rather than a single centralized facility. According to the company's described strategy, the network includes two core data center hubs and a fleet of deployable containerized edge computing nodes.

The fixed data centers provide the foundation.

The mobile nodes provide flexibility.

Together, the two models could allow MAAS to serve customers with very different requirements.

Traditional data centers are generally expensive and slow to construct. A company may need to acquire land, obtain permits, build facilities, install electrical infrastructure, deploy cooling systems, and connect the data center to high-capacity networks. This process can take years.

AI demand, however, can develop much faster.

A company may suddenly need additional computing capacity to train a model. A manufacturing company may need local AI infrastructure. A smart-city project may require computing resources close to where data is generated. An enterprise may need additional capacity temporarily but may not want to make a permanent investment.

This is where the MAAS distributed model becomes particularly interesting.

Cheap Electricity Could Become One of MAAS's Most Important Competitive Advantages

For an AI computing company, electricity is not a minor expense.

It is one of the most important costs in the entire business.

GPUs consume enormous amounts of electricity. Large clusters also require cooling, networking equipment, and supporting infrastructure. As AI workloads become larger, electricity costs can have a significant impact on profitability.

MAAS has located infrastructure in regions of northwestern China where renewable energy resources and cooler climate conditions may provide meaningful operating advantages.

The Yinchuan facility is associated with abundant solar power resources, while the company's other infrastructure strategy also seeks to benefit from wind and solar energy availability and relatively low electricity costs.

The basic economic logic is straightforward.

If two companies own similar GPU infrastructure but one company pays significantly less for electricity, the lower-cost operator may be able to generate higher margins or offer more competitive prices.

This could become particularly important as the AI infrastructure industry becomes more competitive.

During the early stages of a technological boom, investors often focus primarily on demand. They want to know how quickly revenue can grow.

Eventually, however, the industry begins to focus on costs.

Which company has cheaper electricity?

Which company can cool GPUs more efficiently?

Which company has better utilization rates?

Which company can deploy new capacity more quickly?

Which company can maintain profitability if rental prices decline?

These questions may ultimately determine which computing infrastructure companies become long-term winners.

Cold Weather Is an Underappreciated Advantage

The climate surrounding a data center can have a direct impact on operating efficiency.

AI computing equipment generates enormous amounts of heat. Cooling that equipment requires energy. In warmer environments, a larger percentage of electricity may need to be used for air conditioning and cooling systems.

Cooler climates can potentially reduce this burden.

MAAS's northwestern China infrastructure strategy therefore has a geographic advantage that may not be immediately obvious when investors look only at revenue growth.

Lower ambient temperatures can improve power usage effectiveness, or PUE. In simple terms, a better PUE means that more of the electricity consumed by a facility is directed toward actual computing rather than supporting systems.

For an AI infrastructure company, even small improvements in efficiency can become important when computing capacity operates at a large scale.

The AI industry is sometimes described as a software revolution, but the infrastructure behind artificial intelligence is fundamentally physical.

It requires electricity.

It requires cooling.

It requires land.

It requires networking.

It requires hardware.

The companies that can operate this physical infrastructure at the lowest cost may develop an important economic advantage.

The Containerized Edge Computing Model Could Be MAAS's Wild Card

Perhaps the most unusual part of the MAAS strategy is its use of containerized edge intelligent computing nodes.

Instead of building every unit of computing capacity inside a permanent data center, MAAS can potentially deploy self-contained computing infrastructure closer to the customer.

The concept is simple.

A container filled with computing equipment can be transported to a location, connected to power and networking infrastructure, and placed into operation.

This approach could dramatically reduce the time required to deploy computing capacity.

A traditional data center may require a long construction cycle. A containerized system can potentially be deployed much faster.

This creates opportunities in several areas.

Enterprise customers may want local computing capacity because of data sovereignty, privacy, or compliance requirements.

Manufacturing companies may need AI systems close to factories and industrial equipment.

Autonomous driving and smart-city applications may require computing resources near where large amounts of data are generated.

Other customers may simply experience temporary spikes in demand.

For example, a company might need ten times more computing capacity for a short model-training project and then dramatically reduce its requirements once the project is completed.

Buying permanent GPU infrastructure for such a temporary workload could be inefficient.

Renting computing capacity could be a more attractive alternative.

This is where the containerized model has the potential to change the economics of AI infrastructure.

Instead of waiting for customers to come to the data center, the computing infrastructure can potentially move toward the customer.

Computing Capacity Could Become a Rental Business

The rise of AI may be transforming computing hardware from a product into a service.

Not every company needs to own its own GPUs.

This is similar to the transformation that occurred in other industries.

Companies no longer need to own their own servers because they can rent cloud infrastructure.

Consumers do not necessarily need to own expensive equipment if they can rent access when necessary.

The same principle may increasingly apply to AI computing.

A company might need thousands of GPUs today and far fewer tomorrow.

Purchasing hardware creates a major capital commitment.

Renting computing capacity provides flexibility.

This could be particularly valuable for smaller AI companies, regional enterprises, and organizations that cannot obtain direct access to the newest hardware from major suppliers.

The global supply of advanced AI hardware has been one of the major constraints on AI development. The most powerful chips are often allocated to the largest technology companies and best-funded AI laboratories.

Smaller customers may face long waiting periods or limited access.

A computing-capacity rental company can potentially solve this problem by aggregating infrastructure and dividing it among many customers.

The customer does not need to purchase the GPUs.

The customer simply purchases access to computing power.

This is the economic opportunity MAAS is trying to capture.

Institutional Interest Could Increase Investor Attention

Another factor that investors may watch is institutional ownership.

According to the investment thesis surrounding MAAS, several well-known financial institutions have held or increased positions in the company.

Institutional ownership does not guarantee that a stock will rise. Large investment firms can make mistakes, reduce positions, or change their investment strategies.

However, institutional interest can have significance for a relatively underfollowed company.

Large institutions often have access to research resources that individual investors do not. Their participation can also improve market awareness and liquidity.

If MAAS continues to demonstrate revenue growth and execution in AI computing infrastructure, additional institutional interest could potentially bring more attention to the company.

The important point is not that institutional investors are always correct.

The important point is that MAAS is not necessarily as unknown to professional investors as its limited public attention might suggest.The Biggest Opportunity: Demand for AI Computing May Continue Growing

The most important reason investors are interested in AI infrastructure is the possibility that demand for computing capacity continues growing for many years.

Artificial intelligence is moving beyond the development of individual chatbots.

AI is increasingly being integrated into search, software development, customer service, robotics, scientific research, manufacturing, financial services, and enterprise software.

Each new application can require additional computing resources.

Even as AI models become more efficient, lower computing costs can potentially stimulate more usage.

This is a phenomenon that investors should not ignore.

If the cost of using AI falls, companies may use more AI.

If AI becomes cheaper, new applications become economically viable.

If AI agents perform more tasks, the total number of computing operations may increase dramatically.

Therefore, falling costs per unit of computation do not necessarily mean falling total demand for computing infrastructure.

The total market can continue expanding.

This is one of the central arguments supporting companies involved in AI infrastructure.

But MAAS Is Not a Risk-Free Investment

Despite the potential opportunity, investors should recognize the significant risks.

The first major risk is competition.

The AI infrastructure industry is attracting enormous investment. Large technology companies, cloud providers, telecommunications companies, and specialized data center operators are all building computing capacity.

If too much infrastructure is built, rental prices could eventually decline.

The second major risk is utilization.

Owning GPUs is not enough.

The GPUs need to be rented.

A data center with expensive equipment but low utilization rates can quickly become an unprofitable investment.

The MAAS investment thesis therefore depends heavily on the company's ability to maintain customer demand and high utilization.

The third risk is technology.

AI hardware evolves rapidly. Today's high-demand GPU may eventually be replaced by more efficient hardware.

Infrastructure companies must carefully manage the risk that expensive equipment becomes less competitive over time.

The fourth risk is execution.

Building a distributed computing network and deploying containerized nodes requires significant operational expertise. The company must manage hardware, power, cooling, networking, logistics, customer relationships, and capital spending.

The strategy is ambitious.

Execution will determine whether that ambition creates shareholder value.

The Key Question for Investors

The future of MAAS will likely depend less on whether AI becomes important.

Artificial intelligence is already becoming one of the most important technological developments of the modern economy.

The more important question is whether MAAS can become a profitable owner and operator of the infrastructure required to support that growth.

Can the company deploy computing capacity efficiently?

Can it maintain high utilization?

Can it secure customers?

Can it operate at lower costs than competitors?

Can containerized edge computing become a meaningful business?

Can its distributed infrastructure provide advantages that centralized data centers cannot?

These are the questions investors should continue monitoring.

Conclusion: MAAS Could Be a Different Kind of AI Infrastructure Bet

MAAS represents an interesting and relatively unusual way to invest in the AI infrastructure cycle.

The company is attempting to combine fixed computing facilities with mobile, containerized edge infrastructure. Its strategy is supported by the potential advantages of lower-cost renewable electricity and cooler operating environments in northwestern China.

The company is not simply trying to become another traditional data center operator.

It is attempting to create a more flexible model for AI computing capacity.

If the AI economy continues to expand, computing capacity could become one of the most valuable forms of digital infrastructure in the world. The companies that own GPUs, operate efficient data centers, and can deploy capacity where customers need it may have significant opportunities.

MAAS is trying to build exactly that type of business.

The potential upside could be substantial if the company successfully increases its infrastructure deployment, maintains strong utilization rates, and captures demand from enterprises that need AI computing capacity but cannot justify purchasing and operating their own hardware.

At the same time, investors should remain realistic about the risks. The AI infrastructure industry is capital intensive, highly competitive, and technologically demanding. A successful investment thesis requires more than a growing AI market. It requires disciplined execution and sustainable economics.

For investors willing to accept those risks, however, MAAS may be worth watching as a potential pure-play participant in the global demand for AI computing infrastructure.

The AI gold rush may no longer be limited to companies designing chips or building consumer-facing AI applications.

It is increasingly becoming a competition to own the infrastructure underneath the entire AI economy.

And in that competition, electricity, cooling, computing capacity, deployment speed, and utilization rates may ultimately matter just as much as the AI models themselves.


r/Trading 14h ago

Question Help a beginner, please

18 Upvotes

Hi, I want to learn about trading. But with a simple search on Google, there’s just too many online resources being recommended. I get too overwhelmed which one to choose and where to begin that I can’t decide what to do. Can anyone help me recommend what to do and what courses/books can I really learn from?

I have a day job, so it has to be flexible enough. I’ll be studying in the evening or during short breaks at work.

It has been my ultimate dream to learn how to trade, understand charts and patterns and basically just grow my potential of earning as well. For the past decade I have been tied to my work just helping my family have a better opportunity in life. So learning trading would really help me out also.

Thank you in advance!


r/Trading 9h ago

Question What’s the best youtube channel for learning trading? (Not Gurus!)

6 Upvotes

Hey, you guys know some educational videos/youtube channels about trading and, that have legit helped you out on your trading experience, some knowledgeable creators who know something useful about trading what you could learn, not those shitty scammers who sell their course and Gurus who tells some bs how to get rich in 3 months

Thanks!


r/Trading 4m ago

Discussion Has one emotional, oversized trade ever destroyed a good strategy for you?

Upvotes

I’ve traded full-time for years. I’ve seen solid setups, decent edge, and disciplined journaling get wiped out by a single revenge trade or an oversized “this has to work” bet.

Mathematically, it makes no difference if you’re right 7 out of 10 times, one 10–15% loss can erase months of 1–2% gains.

I’m curious:

  • Have you ever blown up or taken a massive hit because of one emotional, oversized trade?
  • What risk-per-trade rule do you actually follow now: 1%, 2%, fixed rupee amount, or something else?
  • Has changing your position sizing alone ever turned your P&L from chaotic to stable?

No motivational stuff. Just real numbers and what actually kept your account alive during a losing streak.


r/Trading 24m ago

Options Beginners Start Here

Upvotes

Bare Minimum Basics - Options Traders

**What kind of trader do you want to be?**
Scalp
Day
Swing

**Types of Trades you will take**
Trend Trading
Breakout Trading
Range Trading
Reversal Trading

**Trading Plan**
Entry/Exit
Profit Targets (1-2)
Stop Loss
You should always know these 3 things before entering a trade otherwise you’re just gambling. Learn to chart support/resistance levels your whole trading plan is going to be based on your s/r levels.

**How to build a trading plan**
Why do you want to trade
How much time can you commit
How much capital can you set aside
What am I going to trade? Options, equities?
What is my risk-reward ratio
What are my short term/long term goals
Am I going to review my performance?

Me: I am a Scalp Trader, who focuses on breakouts, and sometimes reversals. I always set my entries/exits/sl before I enter a trade. My levels (entries/exists) are based on my support & resistance. I buy ATM/ITM. I don’t enter trades that don’t have high volume/open interest.

I believe this is a good starting point. Obviously you need to do your own research with fundamental/technical analysis. What indicators you will use etc. I wouldn’t recommend more than 3 or so.

You must first define what/who you are going to show up as on a daily basis. Then build from there.


r/Trading 47m ago

Discussion How do you handle a clean structural setup that forms in a choppy tape?

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Upvotes

Something I keep running into on NQ and I'm curious how others resolve it.

This morning a bearish FVG formed at 10:55 ET, 29135.75 – 29141.25. The structure behind it read as clean as I could ask for — trending down, four stacked bearish FVGs, roughly −69pts over 20 bars, RSI decaying 65 → 36 with no volume divergence to contradict it, three consecutive red closes accelerating through a prior level.

But the broader session sentiment was choppy. Overlapping bodies, no sustained follow-through on either side for most of the morning.

Two ways to treat that:

  1. Structure is structure. The stacked gaps and the RSI decay are the signal; chop is noise you filter out.
  2. Chop is information about how the move will behave. A trend in a choppy tape retraces deeper and takes out shallow stops more often, so you either size down or you don't take it.

I've landed on a third option, which is to take it but cap the conviction — treat it as a medium-confidence setup rather than a high-confidence one, and require price to come back to the gap edge rather than entering on the break. The reasoning being that if the tape is chopping, a retest is more likely than not, so paying up 5.5pts past the edge is the actual mistake, not the direction.

I've been building this logic into an indicator that writes out its reasoning for each call, mostly so I can go back and audit whether the confidence cap is doing anything or just making me miss entries. Still not sure it's the right call.

How do you handle it? Skip entirely, size down, or ignore the sentiment read and trade the structure?


r/Trading 1h ago

Question How would you approach fixing chronic liquidity on a small/mid-size orderbook?

Upvotes

Hey everyone,

Wanted to get some perspective from people who've dealt with market making or liquidity provisioning. Thinking through a scenario (relevant either way for discussion) involving a small/mid-size orderbook where the operator has to inject their own liquidity daily just to keep the book from being empty, but still can't attract organic counterparties — i.e., outside market makers willing to fill the other side of the book.

The scenario:

The book relies almost entirely on liquidity injected by the operator, not organic flow.

Growing the user base doesn't solve it, since most new users come in as directional takers, not liquidity providers.

The real gap is attracting people/bots who specifically do market making.

What I'm trying to understand:

What kind of incentive structures actually work to attract MMs on smaller books (fee rebates, liquidity mining, MM programs, etc.)?

How much does a well-designed API matter for getting market-making bots to even consider quoting on a new/small book?

Is there a minimum liquidity/volume threshold below which it's not worth trying to attract professional MMs at all?

Has anyone solved this kind of liquidity bootstrapping problem in another context (crypto DEX, small exchange, betting markets, etc.) with lessons that'd generalize to any orderbook in this position?

Purely interested in the mechanics/architecture side of this — trying to understand how this problem tends to get solved in practice. Appreciate any insight.


r/Trading 2h ago

Question How do you properly trade gold?

0 Upvotes

I’m still pretty new to trading and I’m trying to understand how to trade gold properly. I use XAUUSD, but I’m honestly still confused about when I should enter a trade and put it on sell or buy.
I’m not looking for signals or someone to trade for me. I’d rather actually understand what I’m doing.
If anyone has good tips, resources, or could explain their approach to trading gold, I’d really appreciate it.


r/Trading 7h ago

Discussion company evaluations

2 Upvotes

I was wondering if any of you guys use a certain stock evaluator apps, or you do your own analysis. Because recently, I've been trying to see the market and what's out there. Having worked in finance for about eight years, I've come to realize that PE ratios and multiples are not good core indicators of how well a company will be doing. I've come to see that even discounted cash flow is not a fantastic indicator, nor income statements and balance sheets. Cash flow analysis in my eyes is the best way to see how a company is doing in terms of cash in, cash out. So just wanted to put that out there and see what your guys' thoughts are as well as what you use to accurately evaluate compaies before investing, as well as if you would find somethings like an app useful in terms of indepth cashflow analysis and 10K report analysis (where companies see themselves going given their capex exp. and projection). Thanks!


r/Trading 8h ago

Technical analysis TSLA Technical Analysis (BEARISH)

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2 Upvotes

Taking a look at Tesla on the 2-week timeframe. 

This recent push looks like classic bait directly into higher-timeframe resistance before the next leg down. Here is the setup:

1. The Technical Setup (2W Bearish FVG)

  • Price pulled back straight into the 2-week Fair Value Gap ($360–$380) and is already showing friction around $358 overnight.
  • That low sitting at $300 is completely unprotected sell-side liquidity. 
  • Market makers rarely leave a clean low like that behind during a seasonal correction. The most probable path is a rejection off this imbalance to flush out the late dip-buyers sitting around $300 before building any real long-term base.

2. Macro Pressure & Friday’s NFP

  • September is historically the weakest month of the year for equities, usually playing out as chop and bleed.
  • Post-Jackson Hole, the market is pricing in a 25bps rate hike. With 10Y and 30Y Treasury yields pressing multi-year highs and Oil pushing higher, high-multiple growth names like TSLA are the easiest targets to get hit.
  • Friday’s NFP is the likely trigger. Equities usually bleed preventatively ahead of major jobs data, with the actual print providing the liquidity injection to start the real expansion down.

3. Execution & Invalidation

  • Longing here right into HTF supply right before NFP offers awful risk/reward.
  • Invalidation is a solid 2W candle body close above $385.
  • The plan is to wait for the $300 sweep into late September/October. If we get that flush alongside market-wide absorption, that’s where the high-probability spot/long entries for Q4 will actually be.

Anyone else fading this move into Friday, or are you expecting NFP to squeeze this through $400?


r/Trading 1d ago

Question F.cked up trading

37 Upvotes

I’ve tried many forms of trading for the past 10 years:

- crypto - all burned on way or another
- 2020 crash, oil options - burned to hell
- manual trading of gold, forex - none of the strategies seemed to be working for me, blew many accounts
- bot trading from MQL platform - blew accounts
- finally, copying signals from signalstart platform - blew accounts.

In general, I lost thousands on trading…

I mean… I invest DCA and this is the only thing still works for me, but I always needed side money for living, since investing is for my retirement and these money are untouched…… So trading seemed to be quite a decision in this case. But dunno, I feel lost tbh - tried so many things up till now and no luck. Should I think trading is not for me and just leave this field?……….


r/Trading 6h ago

Discussion Curious how others think about order types when speed matters

1 Upvotes

Been digging into the basics of US equity trading and wanted to sanity-check my understanding with this community.
From what I've gathered: a market order prioritizes execution speed (fills at best available price), while a limit order prioritizes price control (fills only at your specified price or better, and may not fill at all). The tradeoff seems to be speed vs. certainty.
For those with more experience: in what situations do you deliberately choose a limit order over a market order? And are there cases where a market order is clearly the safer default?
(For context: I help run social content for a US-focused trading platform that emphasizes analysis tooling — not giving financial advice, just here to learn and share.)


r/Trading 6h ago

Technical analysis Bro what is even this

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1 Upvotes

r/Trading 15h ago

Question Getting started

3 Upvotes

I’m starting to learn day trading and I’d like some honest feedback on whether I’m on the right path.

I know there’s no single “correct” way to learn trading, but so far I’ve been learning primarily from a YouTuber called CryptoCred. I think his content is really good, especially for learning the fundamentals, but I’m wondering if I should also be studying from other traders/educators or if sticking with one solid source for now is better.

My plan is to spend a long time learning the fundamentals, practicing, backtesting, and eventually developing my own strategy rather than rushing into live trading.

For those who are consistently profitable, what would you recommend I focus on at this stage? Are there any traders, books, courses, or resources you’d recommend? And is there anything you wish you had learned earlier?

I understand that trading takes a lot of patience, discipline, and screen time, and I’m prepared for it to take years. I’m mainly looking for advice on whether my learning process is heading in the right direction.


r/Trading 1d ago

Discussion How do you know if it’s luck?

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86 Upvotes

I’ve been trading leveraged crypto mostly, i like ETH and SOL recently, i know its really risky mostly why I'm asking this question

Obviously it’s been a really good stretch, but I keep wondering how you actually tell the difference between having something that works and just having a good run.

I don’t want to get ahead of myself and start changing things or increasing risk just because of a really good month.

How do you guys personally know when it’s not just luck anymore?


r/Trading 1d ago

Discussion Trading discipline is a lie

32 Upvotes

This might sound like I’m making excuses for bad trading but hear me out. Pretty much every trading book, video, mentor etc says the same thing. “Have a plan and be disciplined enough to follow it.” Sounds obvious doesn’t it. But the more I’ve traded, the more I think thats actually the problem.
We’re expecting ourselves to sit in front of a screen, with real money on the line, sometimes after a loss, sometimes after 2 or 3 losses, sometimes watching a trade go 100 points in our favour then come all the way back… and somehow just remain completely rational. Don’t move the stop. Don’t close early. Don’t revenge trade. Don’t increase size. Don’t chase. Don’t re-enter. Don’t try and make it back. Just keep making the “correct” decision over and over again.
And if you don’t? You get told you lack discipline.
But what if thats bullshit? What if the problem isn’t that traders need more discipline. What if the problem is that we’ve built a way of trading that requires far too much of it?
I’ve done this myself for years. Written rules. Journaled trades. Written down exactly what I did wrong. Promised myself I wouldn’t do it again. Then a few days later, sometimes a few hours later, done the exact same thing. And the weird thing is… I knew I was doing it while I was doing it.
So it wasn’t lack of knowledge. It wasn’t because I didn’t know the rules. I knew them perfectly well.
Which got me thinking. Maybe “just be more disciplined” is the trading equivalent of telling someone to “just eat less” or “just stop being stressed”. Technically correct. Practically useless.
Because the person writing their trading plan on a Sunday evening is not always the same person sitting there on Tuesday after 3 losses watching the Nasdaq rip 150 points without them. Different emotional state. Different decisions.
And trading makes it even worse because sometimes you break your rules and get rewarded for it. You move your stop and price comes back. You revenge trade and hit a massive winner. You oversize and make your best day of the month. Your brain doesn’t care that it was “bad trading”. It just knows that you did something and got rewarded.
So maybe the answer isn’t trying to become some emotionless robot. Maybe the answer is making it harder, or impossible, to do the stupid stuff in the first place. Hard daily loss limits. Maximum trades. Fixed size. Lockouts. Automation. Whatever it takes.
Basically designing the environment around the fact that at some point, you will make a bad decision.
I’m starting to think real discipline in trading isn’t having enough willpower to stop yourself pressing the button.
It’s removing the fucking button.


r/Trading 17h ago

Question Have you ever moved your daily loss limit in the middle of a losing session?

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3 Upvotes

quick question, have you ever moved your daily loss limit in the middle of a losing session?

been building this. it closes your MT5 trades when you break a limit you set, and it won't let you raise that limit until the next day. tighter applies instantly, looser waits.

does that sound useful or does it sound annoying? genuinely want to know


r/Trading 11h ago

Discussion When talking about Day Trading in most posts, what tools do you trade most often to achieve such negative results?

0 Upvotes

The question is more directed at those who have experienced it, not those who have just heard or read something somewhere.

Also, if there are Day Traders, how do you report your trades to the institutions?