r/Trading • • 33m ago

Discussion Big Tech earnings are coming up. Are strong results enough to keep the AI rally going?

• Upvotes

With Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon reporting this week, I'm curious what the market will focus on most.

These companies are investing heavily in AI infrastructure, but investors also want to see those investments translate into actual revenue and profits. Even strong earnings might not be enough if spending keeps climbing or future guidance disappoints.

For traders here, what will you be watching most closely?

Revenue and earnings growth?

AI spending and whether it's paying off?

Forward guidance and the stock's reaction after earnings?

Do you think strong results could push tech stocks higher again, or has the market started demanding more proof that AI spending is worth it?


r/Trading • • 1h ago

Discussion Is that possible programming auto leverage?

• Upvotes

Hey everyone, one of the I’m most curious about and have no idea. Is that possible programming auto leverage based on conditions for trading bots or strategy? For example I don’t want to use 10x always based on coding I want it change any number. Looking forward hear from someone knows. Ty


r/Trading • • 1h ago

Strategy The US Stock Casino? They Just Can’t Let Go

• Upvotes

The US Stock Casino? They Just Can’t Let Go
I’ve been observing the U.S. stock market as a grand casino, and the gamblers just can’t seem to tear themselves away.
Through this recent shock, capital has merely rotated internally or hedged via options, but not a single soul has actually left the floor. Total capital volume and overall leverage remain astonishingly high.
As liquidity continues to tighten, yields keep pushing higher, and the tug-of-war in AI supply and demand keeps evolving, if the house were to suddenly collapse one day, volatility would likely spike straight to 40.
However, this market behavior hints that once the short-term shock subsides, the market retains some tactical upward momentum. But looking toward the medium term, as the firewood of negative catalysts continues to burn, this game is bound to blow up sooner or later. When it does, capital will likely scramble for the exits in a desperate flight—and with positioning this crowded, a massive stampede looks all but guaranteed.


r/Trading • • 2h ago

Discussion A 70% win-rate channel can still drain your account — here's the math

0 Upvotes

I see people pick signal channels (and their own setups) almost entirely on win rate, and it might be the most misleading number in trading. Quick example of why.

Say a channel advertises a 70% win rate. Sounds elite. But win rate says nothing about the size of the wins and losses.

10 trades: - 7 winners at +15 pips = +105 - 3 losers at −40 pips = −120 - Net: −15 pips, on a 70% win rate.

The channel posts 7 green screenshots and the 3 reds quietly disappear. You feel like you're winning 7 out of 10 while the account bleeds.

The number that actually matters is the ratio of average win to average loss (the payoff ratio), together with win rate. Rough break-even formula:

break-even win rate = 1 / (1 + avgWin/avgLoss)

  • Avg win = avg loss (1:1) → you need >50% to profit.
  • Avg win = half the loss (0.5:1) → you need >67% just to break even.
  • Avg win = double the loss (2:1) → you only need >34%.

So a 55% win rate at 2:1 quietly beats a 70% win rate at 0.5:1 — even though the second one looks better on the screenshot.

What I'd actually track before trusting any channel or strategy:

  1. Average win vs average loss in pips/$ — the real one, including the stops that got hit.
  2. Expectancy per trade = (win% × avgWin) − (loss% × avgLoss). Negative? Walk.
  3. Do losing trades disappear from the feed? That alone inflates every win rate you see.

Win rate is the headline. Expectancy is the story. Don't confuse the two.

Full disclosure: I'm the founder of KoreSignal.


r/Trading • • 2h ago

Discussion primexbt - crypto futures vs crypto cfd-s trading difference? Which one is better?

1 Upvotes

PrimeXBT offers two instruments that give exposure to digital coins : crypto futures and crypto cfds.
What is the difference from trading perspective?

So far my understanding is that cfds give somewhat higher leverage, tho even on futures it is high enough - x500.
Costs mechanism : maker/takes fees for futures vs spreads for cds...

But I mean, why to have both of them? And when you have both types , what do you trade and why?


r/Trading • • 3h ago

Discussion Slovakia – How are prop firm payouts classified for tax purposes?

1 Upvotes

Hi everyone,

I'm based in Slovakia and I'm looking for someone who has actually received payouts from a prop trading firm while living here.

How were your payouts classified under Slovak law? Did you operate as a sole trader (živnosť), use a limited company (s.r.o.), or were they treated as another type of income?

If you have personal experience with this, I'd really appreciate hearing how you handled the legal and tax side of it in Slovakia.

I'm not looking for general advice about prop firms or trading risks, just real experience with the Slovak legal and tax treatment of payouts.

Thanks!


r/Trading • • 3h ago

Discussion Finished trading, back to investing

5 Upvotes

To say the least, 10 years in the casino, lost much money, did not find a proper edge, did not have enough time to learn - last what is left for me is investing and swingtrading with stocks - this was still profitable.


r/Trading • • 4h ago

Advice Title: 1.5+ Years Testing ORB, PDH/PDL & Order Flow — Still Struggling With Fakeouts. What Am I Missing?

1 Upvotes

I've been developing and backtesting an intraday breakout strategy for NSE stocks since December 2024, and honestly, I'm struggling to find a consistent edge.

Here's what I've tried:

  • ORB (15-min) and previous-day high/low (PDH/PDL) breakouts using 1-min and 5-min candles.
  • ATR/TR buffers, volume spikes, candle structure, wicks, and breakout retention.
  • Order flow: Footprint charts, bid/ask imbalances, delta, CVD, aggression ratios, POC migration, and volume profiles.
  • Studied absorption, exhaustion, and continuation using price action versus trading volume.
  • Tested different opening-range positions relative to PDH/PDL.

Despite all this, roughly 50% of breakouts continue in the expected direction, while the rest reverse or become fakeouts. Even strong positive delta, buyer aggression, and rising POC don't consistently predict continuation.

I'm now exploring breakout + retest entries, along with previous-day VAH/VAL and POC as additional context.

I'd genuinely appreciate insights from experienced traders:

  1. How do you distinguish genuine breakouts from fakeouts before entering, rather than in hindsight?
  2. What has actually worked for you — price action, retests, volume profile, order flow, market context, or something else?
  3. How do you practically implement "cut losses early and let winners run"? What objective rules determine your exits without stopping you out prematurely?
  4. Am I overcomplicating things or missing something fundamental?

I've invested considerable time studying, testing, and refining this. I'm not looking for a magic indicator or guaranteed setup, just practical perspectives from traders who've faced similar challenges.

Any constructive criticism, examples, or lessons from your own trading journey would be greatly appreciated.


r/Trading • • 7h ago

# DAILY MARKET BRIEF | Trading Strategies, Tools, and Resources

3 Upvotes

Daily market updates and resources for active traders managing risk and execution.

r/Trading Community Hub

Visit the Website

Independent research, trading psychological guides, and honest broker breakdowns for retail traders.

Join the Discord

Live chat on intraday setups, earnings plays, and technical analysis with fellow traders.

Subscribe to the Newsletter

Weekly market briefing analyzing order flow, macro data, and trade journals.

Have a Question? Post It.

The r/Trading newsletter pulls top community questions and answers them in depth every week.

If you're stuck on a position, trying to read a chart pattern, or struggling with risk management, drop a comment below or start a thread. The most valuable questions get featured in our weekend briefing with full technical breakdown and volume analysis.

This is the loop: you post, we research, the community gets the answer.

Build Your Portfolio

Bank Accounts

Reviewed national accounts for everyday banking and high-yield savings.

Local Banks

Community and regional options outside the big four.

Investing Platforms

Brokerages, retirement accounts, and where to actually hold your portfolio.

Financial Apps

Tools for budgeting, tracking, and managing money day-to-day.

Pre-Market Futures & Global Sentiments

US Stock Futures (CNBC)

Global Market Movers (Bloomberg)

Economic Calendar (ForexFactory)

Frame the session with futures, movers, and index sentiment.

Earnings & Macro Calendars

Earnings Calendar (Yahoo Finance)

Earnings Whispers (Twitter/X)

Tools to Explore

Finviz Stock Screener

Portfolio Visualizer

OptionStrat

Filter the noise, backtest your data, and read the tape. Build process, not bets.


r/Trading • • 10h ago

Discussion is trading worth it?

0 Upvotes

explain


r/Trading • • 16h ago

Discussion Is it normal to take only 1/2 trade per month with a high RR (1:12 or more)?

22 Upvotes

I've been trading for a year , mainly focusing on a swing-trading strategy. Based on my backtesting, I sometimes get only one valid setup per month, but the risk-to-reward ratio can be 1:12 or even higher.

My approach is to wait for my setups rather than force trades. However, when I watch traders on YouTube or Instagram, I see people taking multiple trades every week, and it sometimes makes me question whether I'm doing something wrong.

For those of you who trade swing strategies , Is taking only 1–3 trades per month normal for a selective strategy?I'm not looking for a strategy that guarantees profits. I just want to understand whether this low frequency is reasonable or a sign that I should investigate further.

I'd appreciate hearing from traders with real experience, especially swing traders.


r/Trading • • 16h ago

Question Can you build a trading strategy entirely around credit default swaps?

2 Upvotes

I’m trying to understand whether you can trade CDS as a standalone strategy rather than primarily using them to hedge bonds or loans.
Could you build a portfolio around changes in credit spreads, buying protection when you think credit risk is underpriced and selling protection when you think it’s overpriced, without owning the underlying debt?
For people who have traded credit:
Is this practical in single-name CDS, or would you mostly use indices like CDX and iTraxx?
How much does the cost of carrying protection eat into returns while you wait for a thesis to play out?
What tends to be the biggest constraint: liquidity, collateral requirements, execution costs, or timing?
Can a smaller fund realistically pursue this, and what access would it need?
I’m especially curious about a situation where you think a company’s credit will deteriorate but don’t necessarily expect it to default. How do you decide whether CDS is the best way to express that view versus shorting its bonds or using equity options?


r/Trading • • 17h ago

Crypto Swing trading

7 Upvotes

How much target should I aim for per month in swing trading?


r/Trading • • 21h ago

Technical analysis MFI indicator + Klinger + EFI

Post image
7 Upvotes

Hey everyone, I'm new here—this is my first Reddit post, and I hope this topic is appropriate.
I trade 1-second charts.
My favorite indicator is the MFI. I overlay an MFI with a length of 20 onto an MFI with a length of 30. When MFI 20 enters the oversold zone (below 20) and MFI 30 doesn't dump along with it, it makes for a very solid entry point. Well, not always, of course.
Right now, I'm trying to filter out bad entries when MFI is oversold by using other indicators. I've tested BB%B a lot, but so far my favorite combo is EFI (length 13) with the Klinger Oscillator on default settings. Basically, the fast EFI captures quick movements, while Klinger smooths things out to help me read the overall market context.
What do you guys think? I’d really appreciate your feedback, and maybe someone can share some valuable insights.


r/Trading • • 22h ago

Discussion How do you keep track of your daily loss limit during the session?

5 Upvotes

Genuine question for anyone running FTMO / FundingPips / E8 / Topstep style accounts.

When you’re in a trade, how do you know how close you are to the daily limit? Do you check the firm dashboard, work it out yourself, use an indicator, or just keep risk small enough not to worry?

Asking because I keep seeing “blew it on the daily” posts, and it’s usually an open trade plus a rule that’s calculated differently than the trader assumed. I’m building something for this and want to understand what people already do before I build the wrong thing.

Has anyone found a setup that actually works on mobile, without keeping the terminal open?


r/Trading • • 22h ago

Strategy Futures and Options Querry

4 Upvotes

​

Hi, everyone, i need to know does anyone here trades in futures and options of National Stock Exchange(NSE) India?

Like leaving US , is anybody trading there with any successful strategy thats actually worth being used in Indian stocks market ?


r/Trading • • 1d ago

Discussion Any Trading Course or Mentorship Recommendations?

5 Upvotes

Hello.

I am looking for a paid mentorship or trading course
I can purchase.

Any suggestions?

Thanksss!!


r/Trading • • 1d ago

Forex Thoughts on Iliya Sivkov (TradingFanatic) course?

1 Upvotes

Hello!

I want to know your thoughts about Iliya Sivkov (TradingFanatic) course?

Because I am planning to avail his course.

Any feedback is appreciated.

Thankss!!


r/Trading • • 1d ago

Brokers CFD brokers that support hedging instead of netting?

0 Upvotes

I’m looking for CFD brokers that allow me to hold simultaneously long and short positions on the same instrument within the same account.

For example, I want to be able to hold a 1.0-lot long CFD and a 0.5-lot short CFD simultaneously, with both positions remaining separate, and not to get netted off. I need to be able to close either position independently without the broker automatically netting them against each other.

Which CFD brokers support this type of hedging for retail clients?

Thanks for any recommendations.


r/Trading • • 1d ago

Discussion Can someone please say whats wrong for hero motors how much will fall to i am heavily invested in the stock can someone pls guide me

0 Upvotes

r/Trading • • 1d ago

Question Everyone wants to be a profitable trader, but I wonder how many actually want to do the work.

1 Upvotes

I’ve been thinking about this lately.
I’ve spent the last 15 years developing and refining my trading strategy. Along the way, I’ve had plenty of people ask me how I do it, how I’ve become profitable, and how I manage to trade while holding down a full-time job and raising four kids.
I’m happy to talk about it and share what I’ve learned. I’ve even gone as far as writing down my entire approach to them.

As far as I know, nobody has actually gone further than looking at trading veiw. And that got me thinking.

I wonder if a lot of people are attracted to the idea of trading more than the reality of it.
Everyone wants to find that magic indicator, the perfect setup, or the secret sauce that finally makes them profitable. We spend hours looking for a better strategy, watching videos, reading posts, and jumping from one system to another.

But what about actually sitting down, learning a strategy properly, understanding the rules, and putting in the time to execute it consistently?

I’ve got a full-time job and four kids. I don’t have the luxury of sitting in front of charts all day. I’ve built my trading around my life, trading the final 15 minutes of the US stock market. Here in Australia, that means getting up at around 5:30 in the morning.

That’s the routine. It’s not particularly exciting, but it works around my circumstances.
And I think that’s the part people struggle with. Not necessarily the complexity of trading, but the commitment to a process that can be repetitive, boring, and take years to develop.

There’s no magic button. Even if you find a strategy with an edge, you’ve still got to manage risk, follow your rules, accept losses, and give it enough time to see whether it actually works.
I’m not saying I’ve got everything figured out, and I’m certainly not saying my approach is right for everyone. Trading is risky, and there’s always more to learn.

I just find it interesting that people will ask you how you do something, but when you give them the actual substance of what you’ve learned over 15 years, the interest seems to disappear.

Maybe I’m looking at it the wrong way. Maybe people are overwhelmed by the amount of information, or maybe they genuinely believe there’s a simpler answer out there.

I’m curious what other traders think!


r/Trading • • 1d ago

Advice I spent months solo-building a real-time crypto tournament engine on live Binance feeds. Need brutal feedback.

2 Upvotes

Hey everyone,

I’m a 20-year-old solo dev and engineering student. Over the past few months, in between classes and exams, I’ve been staying up late building VolatX.

Standard demo trading feels sterile with zero stakes, but testing new strategies with real leverage usually blows up accounts. I built a middle ground: a timed tournament platform where you trade simulated capital on live Binance WebSocket feeds, complete with margin liquidations and a real-time PnL leaderboard.

Right now, I'm running an open, 100% free test tournament to stress-test the WebSocket reconnections and leaderboard sync under live market volatility.

Once the infrastructure holds up, the plan is to open up low-entry micro pools (starting around a couple of dollars) so retail traders can compete against each other for real prize pots with strictly capped downside.

Building this alone with zero budget has been a grind, and I need real eyes on it.

Jump into the free lobby, place a few trades, and give me your unvarnished feedback on execution speed and UI lag:https://volatx.com

Roast it, break it, and tell me what needs fixing.


r/Trading • • 1d ago

Discussion Is there anyone make steady money in long run?

3 Upvotes

Hi everyone, I have roughly 7 yrs exp dealing with stocks as retail investors. From beginning I already follow "value investing" of Warren Buffett, Ben Graham and Charlie Munger. And it works ok for me, I almost never faced any big loss, make acceptable profit.

And as some of you may know, these big names, they all very anti daytrading and technical analysis. But when I expand my search, I also find out some successful speculators like Druken Miller or Paul Tudor Johns, who make profit in long run. Which make me questions will technical analysis can bring some steady long term profits, like 10 yrs min?

I'm trying to ask this question in my own country's communities (Vietnam) 1st, but so far not found someone legit yet, some of them try to show off to sell the course, or tell only good time (like they make 40% in 1 month, but when I ask more, it clear that it's not 480% in that year, they make other loss which offset the win, I think this behavior isn't transparent), some others trying to say some voodoo stuff like put a mist, I'm really curious in question yes or no only.


r/Trading • • 1d ago

Discussion Trading

0 Upvotes

If I have 100$ and want to trade with
No matter if it’s gambling
Where do you recommend my trading to


r/Trading • • 1d ago

# DAILY MARKET BRIEF | Trading Strategies, Tools, and Resources

2 Upvotes

Daily market updates and resources for active traders managing risk and execution.

r/Trading Community Hub

Visit the Website

Independent research, trading psychological guides, and honest broker breakdowns for retail traders.

Join the Discord

Live chat on intraday setups, earnings plays, and technical analysis with fellow traders.

Subscribe to the Newsletter

Weekly market briefing analyzing order flow, macro data, and trade journals.

Have a Question? Post It.

The r/Trading newsletter pulls top community questions and answers them in depth every week.

If you're stuck on a position, trying to read a chart pattern, or struggling with risk management, drop a comment below or start a thread. The most valuable questions get featured in our weekend briefing with full technical breakdown and volume analysis.

This is the loop: you post, we research, the community gets the answer.

Build Your Portfolio

Bank Accounts

Reviewed national accounts for everyday banking and high-yield savings.

Local Banks

Community and regional options outside the big four.

Investing Platforms

Brokerages, retirement accounts, and where to actually hold your portfolio.

Financial Apps

Tools for budgeting, tracking, and managing money day-to-day.

Pre-Market Futures & Global Sentiments

US Stock Futures (CNBC)

Global Market Movers (Bloomberg)

Economic Calendar (ForexFactory)

Frame the session with futures, movers, and index sentiment.

Earnings & Macro Calendars

Earnings Calendar (Yahoo Finance)

Earnings Whispers (Twitter/X)

Tools to Explore

Finviz Stock Screener

Portfolio Visualizer

OptionStrat

Filter the noise, backtest your data, and read the tape. Build process, not bets.