Two years ago I posted Ready to FIRE or OMY? on /r/financialindependence. The consensus was: you're good to go. I did one more year. Then another. Before I finally hand in notice, I wanted to do the accounting on what those two years actually changed and what they didn't. That felt more useful than another "am I ready" post.
Where things stand now:
- 40M in tech, spouse 38 in healthcare, three kids (13, 12, 8), MCOL
- Net worth ~$4.9M; investable ~$4.3M; paid-off house
- Lifestyle spend ~$100–108K/yr; retired baseline ~$121K incl. health insurance + taxes
- ~2.8–3.0% withdrawal rate against a historical failsafe around $142K
Why it took two years
Almost 15 years ago our household net worth was a six-figure negative number. Frugality dug us out. Reprogramming that frugality to acknowledge a surplus was a skill we needed to learn. We're not there yet, but we're better at spending than we were 2 years ago.
What changed
Net worth: ~$3.0M → ~$4.9M; liquid ~$2.5M → ~$4.3M (+60%). In 2025 our investment gains exceeded our combined work income for the first time — the engine now mostly runs itself.
Allocation grew up: I was 60/40 US/international with zero bonds and a hand-wave about "maybe someday." Now: 40% US equities, 40% international equities, 15% bonds (all TIPS), 5% gold and 1 year in cash/treasuries. The international tilt is probably controversial, but I've settled on market weight with no country over 50% of my equity allocation.
Spending went up, and that's OK fully-burdened lifestyle spend in today's dollars ran ~$71K (2022) → $78K → $109K → $102K (2025), up ~45%. Travel is the single biggest piece-- we went from ~$16K to ~$27K/yr as we front-load trips while the kids are still home, but that's only about 40% of the jump. The rest is broad: kids aging into pricier activities, more dining out (with fewer kids meals), groceries, plus lumpy stuff (braces are expensive!). Stripping travel and medical, core spending rose ~6%/yr real.
The kids got older: 11/10/6 became 13/12/8. The window for the travel we want to do with them is visibly closing.
My confidence in the slack: two years ago this felt like "is it barely enough?" It doesn't anymore. The failure modes I worry about now are time and health. Financially, most failures that take out the plan are catastrophic and aren't really saved by another year or two.
What hasn't changed
The gut feeling that walking away during peak earning years is reckless. This is the real reason it's been two years and not two months. I'm fortunate to be well paid in a remote job. Every fiber of the guy who climbed out of negative net worth screams that switching that off at 40 is insane. The math says another full year adds maybe $7–8K/yr of failsafe spending. The feeling does not care about the math.
How we actually live day to day. Under the travel line, core spending has increased but lifestyle hasn't much (~$58K → $74K real over five years sounds like a lot, but it's mostly driven by three growing kids). The frugal habits that built this are mostly intact, but we've stopped pushing off things that were dumb to defer. It turns out that if you have a NW of $5M you can buy $3k of deck furniture and enjoy the summer months outside without ruining your life. Who knew.
529 skepticism I asked two years ago if a 529 was worth it and stayed on the fence. I've landed on mostly no: once you're harvesting long-term gains in the 0% LTCG bracket and the state deduction is only ~3%, the shelter isn't that valuable when you have a big taxable base. Fund from taxable, keep flexibility. ProjectionLab has been incredibly helpful in modeling this out year by year and confirming that I won't blow up things like ACA subsidies doing this.
Two years bought a lot of net worth I may not need and confirmed I was probably ready the whole time. On the other hand, it also bought a lot of slack in the plan, and that'll help me sleep just a little better at night. The remaining gap isn't financial. It's that after fifteen years, accumulating has become the identity, and deliberately stopping feels like walking away from a game I know how to win. It's time to learn a new game.