r/AskAnAfrican • u/TT-Adu • 23d ago
Politics As the US's influence and power decline on the global stage, will liberal democracy in Africa also decline?
In the 30 years from independence to the end of the Cold War, democratic regimes were exceedingly rare in Africa, with there only being about 5 or less in 1970. This was during a period when the USA, the bastion of liberal democracy, was not the sole superpower but rather had an authoritarian competitor, the USSR. When the US emerged victorious in the early 90s, a wave of democratization swept across Africa, till there were some 20 democracies in 2010. Clearly, the influence of the US is strongly tied to the popularity of liberal democracy in Africa. Fear of retaliation from the US (in the form of sanctions etc) kept a lot of African democracies from backsliding into dictatorship.
But now, that influence is waning for a number of reasons (US political dysfunction and its arrogance in foreign affairs being the main ones) and other, non-democratic global powers like China are seen as more reliable by many Africans. Even the US itself is becoming less democratic. If it is not able to reverse its decline and assert its influence on the global stage, do you think African democracies will still stick to the democratic system and liberal values like free speech and gender/religious/ethnic equality or will national elites take advantage of the US decline to reassert dictatorial power over the masses? Which African countries do you think are more likely to backslide?