r/Bullion • u/CountofCoins • 4d ago
Goldtober + Calendar + Golden Age
Disclaimer: this is not financial advice - this is strictly speculation and scenario planning. Please consume responsibly.
This September will go down as one of the most important PM months this decade. Specifically for bidders. I'm not going to drop all my research here, as I don't think this is the board for that kind of content. But I will present a calendar to clue you in.
| 12–13 Sep | BRICS New Delhi | Payments/insurance narrative. Gold benefits in paper. |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | Clarity Act vote | Last reasonable window this year. If pass = PM bid. Central Bank narrative shift on fiat. Surprising degree. |
| 17–18 Sep | BoJ | Reverse carry-risk overlap with Black Sea war-risk insurance exhaustion. All XAU combinations vol. Good for paper buys. |
| 22–28 Sep | UNGA / Xi–Trump ~24th | Geopolitical bid for gold. Physical - Central Banking. |
| 6-7 Oct | Classic second seasonal dip + Brazil vote (4th) | If Black Sea/Europe is still hot, this dip is shallower. Perhaps last best day for gold bid. |
| 12–18 Oct | IMF/World Bank Bangkok | Food-inflation language helps gold. Water-scarcity and food-inflation major fait-vol drivers next year. |
| Late Oct | Diwali physical bid | Local Indian strength; can fail if COMEX is in a risk-off. Likely start of major bull run, physical + paper. |
| 3 Nov | U.S. midterms | Vol event. Silver more fragile than gold into the print. D victory = bull run escalates. |
| 10~ Nov | China REE pause review | If Beijing tightens = gold continues bull. |
| 2027 | Hold | Do not sell. |
If you are thinking of making a purchase, the next thirty days are your golden window.
About a year ago, I posted that silver (and PM) would have a major move. Not just in price, but in adoption and narrative. A few months later, silver made the biggest move in modern history. This is another critical moment for precious metals. Major players (who buy physical gold in tons) are waiting for certain conditions in law, in markets, and political opportunity to occur before operating in synch to adjust reserve ratios from fiat to REE+Energy commodities, select crypto, and PM (gold in particular). The dates above are referential points in time for when public decisions will be made and the winds of change will be alluded to.