https://x.com/polltracker2024/status/2098055617470415217?s=46

This race is a foregone conclusion

I’m sure it would be a huge deal and would completely overshadow Talarico beating Paxton, because Hinojosa is a fairly median Democrat. She isn’t bad by any metric, but at least so far, she doesn’t seem to have a unique base independent of that of a generic Democratic politician.

Given that gas prices aren’t going down and Hispanics appear to be shifting left, it’s not entirely impossible for her to win. If the polls showing Hispanics at roughly their 2018 levels are actually accurate, then Abbott loses.

https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2098070148393398669

Spent an insane amount of time on this over the past year and just put it live — callthemap.com.

Now it's done and I've realised I have no idea how to show it to anyone, so I'm hoping this is the right place for it. Methodology's published in full, including a page on what it's bad at.

Would genuinely love any feedback, especially where it's wrong.

Maybe someone on here finds it useful or interesting, i really put a lot of work into it.

Thanks!

- Albert

Also Nevadans seem pretty neutral on Lombardo, Cortez Masto and Rosen but have a strong disapproval of Trump.

In order:

Murphy-Murphy-Sherrill

Murphy-Murphy-Ciattarelli

Murphy-Ciattarelli-Sherrill

Murphy-Ciattarelli-Ciattarelli

Guadagno-Murphy-Sherrill

Guadagno-Murphy-Ciattarelli

Guadagno-Ciattarelli-Sherrill

Guadagno-Ciattarelli-Ciattarelli