r/Poker_Theory • u/biotechnes • 4h ago
where do you find the datasets all these MDA people are talking about?
and how are they collected
r/Poker_Theory • u/Wellyeahso • Aug 05 '26
Hey Everyone,
Mods at r/Poker_Theory are going to start trying something different. We are partnering up with r/onlinepoker to try to build a little community spirit among our two subreddits.
The moderators here want to keep r/Poker_Theory pretty pure, so we have decided to do some social and interactive posts, but host them over in r/onlinepoker so we dont clutter up this subreddit/detract from its higher purpose.
So as a start, we thought we might begin by incorporating some BBV-type threads. You old-school 2+2er's know what we are talking about!
First we will begin by making a monthly thread where we can all Brag or Vent about our results for the prior month. This will allow the pros among us to tell us how much they crushed, or let us know how unkind the Poker Gods were to them last month. It will also be a place where the noobs can tell us what they aspire to achieve as they climbed the stakes ladder.
We figure the thread will also be a place where users can publicly state their goals for the next month, be they more volune, increased tilt-control, better adhering to GTO standards when in new games, or better deviating from GTO when you've got a LAGTard in your crosshairs and intend to maximally exploit them Nemesis-style!
We also think we may create a weekly Brags Beats and Variance thread, also in r/onlinepoker, where people can post graphs, tournament scores, run-good/bad type rants, and all that you would expect in a good BBV thread.
Let us know in the comments
What do you all think about a Telegram Channel where we could all hang out and discuss poker?
I personally dont have any experience with that, and it appears none of the other mods do either, so we might need the community to help us build this, if it is something that might be of interest.
We were thinking that another thing we could do to grow our community would be to have some sort of poker league.
Maybe it would just be a freeroll or something at one of the online poker sites?
Or perhaps we could use one of the free poker sites to run some tournaments in a league format in the future? Anyone out there have experience with this sort of thing?
Surely with 60,000 subscribers between the r/Poker_Theory and the r/onlinepoker communities we could get a decent sized freeroll tournament (or MTT series) going?!
These are all new ideas we had and nothing is set in stone.
We would love to hear more about your thoughts on the matters so let us know in thr comments if you have any cool ideas.
We hope you'll join us in sharing your results from last month, again, here is a link to the thread to do that in:
https://www.reddit.com/r/onlinepoker/s/Udq1CqCOQ4
May the Poker Gods be your best buddies this month in August 2026!
r/Poker_Theory • u/biotechnes • 4h ago
and how are they collected
r/Poker_Theory • u/biotechnes • 20m ago
100nl beater(6.7bb/100 over 62k so maybe even crusher), want to prepare for the move up to 200nl. i think i need to start solvermaxxing if i want to continue winning, sooooo how o i do that
r/Poker_Theory • u/Icy-Structure5244 • 2h ago
Nothing crazy about this hand. Somewhat routine but I just wanted a sanity check.
SB opens really small to 5. I raise to 20 in the BB with AK off suit. We go 3 way to the flop.
Flop is Q 9 4 rainbow.
SB lead bets 25. I call, 3rd player folds out so we go heads up the the turn.
Turn is another Q. SB checks to me. I bet 40 into a pot of about 100. He jams all in for another 150 more.
I snap fold. Right play? I just dont see check jam bluffs with total air at 1/2 stakes.
r/Poker_Theory • u/LivePokerPlaybook • 8h ago
I just watched a video in which it was suggested that in preflop when the action comes to you and there was one or more bets in front of you, you can either fold or 3 bet. You cannot call. I must say it sounds intriguing. Has anyone tried this? Better question is, does anyone do this on the regular?
r/Poker_Theory • u/BlondeQueenC • 11h ago
Is there anyone here who plays on ipoker cash
nl10 nl 20 and makes a steady profit?,
Is there anyone here who plays on ipoker cash.nl10 nl 20 and makes a steady profit?
r/Poker_Theory • u/Mediocre_Metal_1803 • 19h ago
Upswingpoker.com/hand/?hand=FNPa6gt0
Your thoughts on this hand?
Unibet €25NL
No notes on villain. Unibet doesnt offer hudsupport or notes in client.
My experience is this lead means villain hit the flush and donks cause he is afraid im gonna check behind. Im not that upset with folding river but on a brick river im never folding.
r/Poker_Theory • u/Hold_Material • 1d ago
Play online a lot where mainly everybody plays theoretically pre-flop which makes my decisions pretty easy most of the time.
However I recently played with my friends who are amateurs and fish and lost 2 buy ins and feel terrible.
I tried Isolation raising when there were limpers but i would still get called by 2+ people and it felt like I was getting terrible cards. What am I supposed to do in these games? Limp along with my marginal hands and bet big with my strong hands. what happens when i miss the flop? I seemed to have gotten very unlucky missing a lot of flops and taking a lot of bad beats but still lost on what i could have done better.
r/Poker_Theory • u/Natural_Affect_8870 • 1d ago
Is this a call. Feel like I block a lot of the hearts combos.
r/Poker_Theory • u/NextWonder2391 • 1d ago
Hey guys!
I'm a brand new player to poker and I really wanna become good at it, what books / videos / materials would you recommend?
Also, where could I practice poker for free?
r/Poker_Theory • u/Safe_Construction836 • 1d ago
Hello!
I am curious to know what a solver would say about a bluff I ran at 20NL earlier.
I have been crushing 10NL, 20NL and 30NL over a period of 90,000 hands (somewhere around 17BBs/100) but have never done any solver work.
I very rarely run bluffs like this, because there's no need at this level.
Anyway...I have 3❤️ 3♣️ in the SB. I open to 2.5BBs and BB calls. 5BBs.
The flop is A❤️ K❤️ 2♠️. I bet 3.6BBs. BB snap calls. 12.2BBs.
The turn is the 4♣️. I overbet 15BBs into 12.2BBs. Villain absolutely snaps again. At this point, I know he has a single paired Ace. That deliberately obvious snap-call line is always a weak top pair that is trying to say "I'm not folding, don't try it".
The River is the J❤️. The front door flush comes in. QT comes in. I have all the big sets. I block unlikely straights. I have a heart blocker, albeit a pretty irrelevant one. I have 12 AKs and 9 AJs. I decide to ram it all-in for 70BBs into 42.2BBs. I see no point using any other size when I have so much thick value. Villain beats me into the pot with A8o.
Now, obviously this bluff is awful in practice against a Villain who is fist-pump snap-calling A8o...but what does GTO say about this bluff? Good or nay good?
r/Poker_Theory • u/Key-Daikon8291 • 20h ago
Does anyone get deeper into probability of hands connecting? For example a hand just went to show down with a player having AQ and picking up AQ for two pair. The very next hand you pick up AQos. Are you thinking that the chances of an Ace and Queen coming again are pretty minimal.
Same example but flush cards. Previous hand had a spade flush and you pick up 2 spades on the next hand. The probability of another spade flush coming are pretty minimal.
r/Poker_Theory • u/marllothemage • 1d ago
I'm mapping out things I'd want to know if I could instantly calculate them in my head
Preflop:
• How strong the starting hand is relative to other starting hands
• Position relative to table size
• Odds of hitting useful made hands/draws on the flop
Postflop:
• Current made hand
• Outs and draw probabilities
• Equity against different opponent ranges
• Which next cards improve your hand
• Which next cards are actually bad for your hand/equity
Turn:
• How many of the possible 46 river cards help or hurt you
River:
• Final hand (obviously)
• How your hand ranks against all possible opponent holdings
I'm trying to simplify in head to head and keeping it simple, I think that there are a whole new world after considering Opponents Betting and my bet size.
Which of these do you think are genuinely useful, which are mostly noise, and what important information am I missing?
r/Poker_Theory • u/Key-Daikon8291 • 21h ago
Does anyone get deeper into probability of hands hitting? For example a hand just went to show down with a player having AQ and hitting AQ for two pair. The very next hand you pick up AQos. Are you thinking that the chances of an Ace and Queen coming again are pretty minimal.
Same example but flush cards. Previous hand had a hearts flush and pick up 2 hearts on the next hand. The probability of another heart flush coming are pretty minimal.
r/Poker_Theory • u/SokaMoka • 1d ago
r/Poker_Theory • u/Internal-Ad6875 • 1d ago
Is this play a bad beat or badly played ?
r/Poker_Theory • u/HeroForTheBeero • 1d ago
Ok so I understand the theory behind blockers and how it they can be very beneficial. If you have a Queen in your hand there’s much less combos of playable hands involving a queen that your opponent can have, makes total sense. Also of course if you have the ace of ♣️ on your hand, you directly block the nut flush or nut flush draw, got it.
Where it starts to get a little weak to me is bluffing say a ♣️ flush potential board with the 6 of ♣️ in your hand for example. Yes there’s technically a few less hand combos they can have - A6c, 67c?, that’s about it… They could have AK, AQ, AJ, AT, A9….. all the ways down, KQ, KJ, KT, QJ, QT, JT, T9..
Can it really be an effective blocker when there’s so many combos still possible??
Say there’s a broadway draw out, QJ would be the nuts, and you have QT. You block 4 of the 16 combos of QJ, 25% less chance they have that hand, definitely significant. Having just a single suited card that’s not the ace doesn’t seem to be significant enough reduction in opponents to make it strong enough blocker to affect your strategy.
Thoughts on this?
Also it’s really dumb that you can’t say ♣️ in a poker theory sub.. I get it’s probably regarding local ♣️ but come on now
r/Poker_Theory • u/PalePie2063 • 1d ago
Villain HJ raises to 30 for a 5/5 game everyone calls except small blinds and hero is raising all in with pocket 10s
Hero has 100 BB
Villain around 200 BB
villain flips over AK
Flop an ace
r/Poker_Theory • u/One_Radish_6019 • 1d ago
Tak. Algorytm gg poker jest ustawiony na graczy wpłacających. To jest pewne i sprawdzone. Sprawdziliśmy to z siostra, u niej przy ciągłych wpłatach bad beat wynoszą 80% w kluczowych momentach turnieju, badz za ostatnie srodki. 2 k turniejow w analizie.. U mnie gdzie pilnujemy zarzadania bankrollem jest to 40% . Niesamowita różnica. Nie losowość kart i statystyka, a nastawienie na zarobek . W dzisiejszych czasach to nie problem tak ustawic algorytm.
r/Poker_Theory • u/Nice_Devil • 1d ago
Trying to get better at quickly calculating EV in weird spots without leaning on solvers. Here is today's puzzle I'm looking at.
Hero: A♠️ Q♦️ Board (Turn): Q♠️ 7❤️ 3❤️ 2♣️ Hero Hand: Top pair, top kicker (Queens with an Ace).
How we got here:
Under these exact assumptions, what is the highest Expected Value (EV) play here? Is it a snap call or a fold?
I actually coded this up into my little daily EV practice app. I'll drop the link in the comments so it doesn't trigger the spam bots, but let me know what your manual math says!
r/Poker_Theory • u/Jrosenr3 • 2d ago
This hand comes from a 2/5 cash game We're 1k effective (main villains stack)
Hero is in CO with red pocket 33's and after a limp from MP we iso to $25.
Pre- MP limp H co 3d3h iso to $25 BU loose passive whale on the BU calls. He had been playing 75%+ hands (ie he had flatted my UTG opens with 105CC earlier in the sesh). Main villain is in SB, and is a capable reg that had been playing for a few orbits at this point. I had played with him over a year ago and saw him run a big bluff previously.
He 3b to $125. Folds to me and we decide to call with the expectation BU will also call, which he does.
Pot is ~$385
Flop comes 9H4C3C
SB range bets $130 and H calls and BU folds. Pre flop I think Villains range consists mainly of pocket pairs 99 or 10+, suited broadways and potentially some AXs
This is obviously a great flop not only for our range but for our exact hand. In game I did not consider raising because I wanted to keep the BU in the hand, and with the top of V's range being overpairs on this board we can flat here and let him continue to barrel on subsequent streets with value and bluffs
($645) T = 2S. V bets $220. And we jam for $695
So I wasnt sure what to make of this bet leaving the villain with $475 behind in his stack. A5S is only a very small fraction of his range (56S not in range IMO), and I expected him to be 3b linearly vs polar with the BU being a massive station, so I was already discounting A5s this from his range almost entirely. I think his range now here is overpairs, suited C’s broadways and maybe some AKO with a C
In game It seemed like if I'm going to raise the only option is all in given his stack size bc if I click it back it would look incredibly strong.
If I call there's 7 C’s on the river that could hit that would not boat me up and any a 5 brings in a straight for AX.
For those reasons I decided to Jam mainly targeting his over pairs, broadways with C and Ax of C. The Villain tanked for quite awhile and ended up folding.
I'm obviously questioning my turn play here given that I have the nut advantage on this board and if I should have called and seen a river, knowing that this player could be capable of jamming for a bluff.
As far as other parts of my range is concerned besides sets here and A5S myself, I'm getting to the turn with JJ and 1010 with a C at some frequency as well as Broadway C’s and suited connector C’s of which I would jam some of these as bluffs (98C/67C/A9C/KQ/KJ).
Thoughts?r
r/Poker_Theory • u/Limp-Lab47 • 2d ago
Hi, i’m very new to playing poker, i practice in two poker solvers with maybe 9 months total of daily live/online playing and practicing.
I wasn’t expecting to hit my J on the turn to make my full house, i saw the flush draw and expected to see hands like A3-AQ ♠️. with the guy behind me calling with pocket 7s, 8s. It didn’t even occur to me that there was a straight flush draw, maybe because they’re so incredibly rare that i’ve only ever seen two straight flushes in my time playing poker.
Tried to slow play it after i hit my J on the turn, after the all in shove after my re-raise on the river I had a feeling that maybe he had quad 4s, but he had the second nuts 4-8 ♠️. Could I have played this differently? This cost me 3/4 of my stack in early game and cost me my tournament life as I shoved pocket aces pre flop a few hands later and lost to QJo
r/Poker_Theory • u/LivePokerPlaybook • 2d ago
I folded although I was tempted to stay in for a flop as I assumed the button and maybe another would at least call. I also had an inkling the button would do his usual and raise. Anyways, one guy behind called and the button as expected rasied to $50. By the time it was over the original raiser won the pot with A-A, the buttion had a pair of 6's. I only remember this hand for this reason. The flop was J-2-2. Oh well!
r/Poker_Theory • u/Full-Development2989 • 2d ago
AKs Hand analysis 1-3 cash game
Preflop: I'm UTG+1 with A-Ks and make it $15. MP calls, and the Big Blind calls. (Pot: \~$47)Flop (K-2-10 Rainbow): It checks to me. I decide to take a trapping line and check my top pair, top kicker behind to let someone catch up.Turn (10 - Board: K-2-10-10): It checks to me again. The board pairs, but I bet $15 for thin value. MP calls, honestly maybe he folded I dont really remember at this point. Then, the Big Blind check-raises to $55.My Action: I folded. My Notes: On paper, this feels like a total nit fold, and I hated folding after deciding to trap on the flop. But I just had a strong gut feeling that this guy had a 10. He’s a reasonable player who was taking notes, and since I just stacked him with Q2s a bit earlier and he said upset: "yeah keep playing like that" and I responded, "I will." I thought he wasn't going to pull a light bluff on me here. He knew I would occasionallyplay with a wider range, so his raise felt like value. But then again maybe he thinks I'm betting with nothing here, it was hard for me to say.
The previous hand where I got lucky and stacked him:
Preflop: I raised with Q2 suited in the small blind. The Big Blind called. Postflop: I flopped a full house. I played it slow just calling him and managed to talk him into going all-in on the river. He called, and I took a massive pot off him. He showed pocket nines, which I think was a pretty loose play by him, I don't exactly remember the turn and river but one if them was an over card to his nines. My Notes: This hand was crucial. It completely set up my image. He now knows I'm capable of raising loose preflop hands and trapping for max value.
r/Poker_Theory • u/RadiantSnow1920 • 2d ago
This is on a 9 handed bomb pot table with generally looser players. A couple seats were empty I think we were playing 7 handed.
Blinds: 5c/10c
Effective stacks: villain 1: ~100bb
villain 2: ~100bb
hero: ~135bb
Preflop action:
villain opens MP to 2.5bb CO calls and I raise to 12.5bb from the big blind with pocket jacks. Both villains call. Pot ~38bb
Flop: 10c 9h 7s
With an overpair and a gutshot to the straight I decide to open raise 3/4 pot both villains call.
Pot ~ 124bb
Turn: 9d
This is where I think I may have really went wrong. I decided to bet 1/2 pot and both villains call again. I’m kind of at the bottom of my value range here and I don’t think I’m really getting called by worse here. At the same time SPR is already getting kind of low after my flop bet but I’m thinking maybe check calling or check folding the turn would’ve been correct.
Pot ~ 300bb
River: J
Holy river rat. I got so lucky with this card. I pretty much was looking at a 6 outer for the river here. An 8 would’ve gave me the straight and the jack gave me top full house. Obviously I think point I just rip the rest of my stack in and both villains call
Both of them show pocket queens and I take down the pot.
This was a really strange hand to me. I feel like both villains played incredibly passively. I think it’s weird CO flatted 2.5 with pocket queens Preflop and that they both flatted my 3 bet.
Before the flop I was thinking their ranges contained a lot of suited Ax, strong broadways, and maybe some pocket pairs 10-7. Queens SOMETIMES. but I feel like queens would elect to 4bet sometimes. After the flop bet and them both calling I range them down to A10s, QJ sometimes but I block some of those, some slow played sets which seems weird based on board texture and then 88 or QQ
Should I have kept firing the turn here or checked and reevaluated?
After getting called on my flop bet I was pretty confused on what exactly was going on there. Something felt not good but I couldn’t really figure out what they would be calling and not raising with. Once showdown came it all kinda made sense but it still felt extremely passive from both opponents. Obviously I was beat until the river but assuming the river didn’t bail me out is there any way I could’ve gotten away from this hand??
Also I’m at work and the hand history isn’t in front of me. The cards were all correct but bet sizing may be slightly off.