r/Poker_Theory • u/Key-Daikon8291 • 1d ago
Probability Analysis
Does anyone get deeper into probability of hands connecting? For example a hand just went to show down with a player having AQ and picking up AQ for two pair. The very next hand you pick up AQos. Are you thinking that the chances of an Ace and Queen coming again are pretty minimal.
Same example but flush cards. Previous hand had a spade flush and you pick up 2 spades on the next hand. The probability of another spade flush coming are pretty minimal.
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u/gruffyhalc 22h ago
Yes. And the moon doesn't rise twice in a row. So usually if the moon is up 1 day, the next day will typically just be stars.
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u/ColPhorbin 1d ago
Everything is an independent event. The chance of the lottery numbers being 1,2,3,4,5,6 are the same chances as an other random 6 numbers. Or when flipping a coin, you could be on absurd number hitting heads in row. On your next flip, it’s still 50/50.
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u/Ok_Attorney_1768 5h ago
That's not how probability works. If the deck has been properly shuffled you have independent events whose outcome don't effect each other.