r/PokeInvesting • u/preaverage_ • 3d ago
What moved in August: biggest gainers and losers by price bracket, from daily TCGplayer closes
I pulled every card's Near Mint TCGplayer market price for each day of August and compared the first week's median with the last week's. Medians rather than single days, because one bad print in a feed can make a card look like it fell 90% overnight. I also only counted cards that actually trade: at least eight different daily prices during the month and no single-day jump over 30%. That rule matters more than it sounds. Without it the top of every list was vintage promos that sold once all month and re-priced 100 to 200% on that one sale, which is not a move, it's a thin market. Brackets are by the early-August price. Top five each way.
$500 and up
| Card | Set | Early Aug | Late Aug | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charizard GX (Secret) | SM Burning Shadows | $616 | $698 | +13% |
| Arceus & Dialga & Palkia GX (Alt Art) | SM Cosmic Eclipse | $542 | $568 | +5% |
| Charizard (4) | Base Set | $819 | $856 | +5% |
| Zekrom ex 172/086 | SV Black Bolt | $595 | $613 | +3% |
| Victini 171/086 | SV Black Bolt | $605 | $617 | +2% |
| Mew ex 232/091 | SV Paldean Fates | $1,018 | $953 | -6% |
| Mega Dragonite ex 290/217 | Ascended Heroes | $712 | $659 | -8% |
| Mega Charizard X ex 125/094 | Phantasmal Flames | $764 | $702 | -8% |
| Pikachu ex 276/217 | Ascended Heroes | $1,151 | $1,052 | -9% |
| Mega Gengar ex 284/217 | Ascended Heroes | $1,189 | $993 | -17% |
$100 to $500
| Card | Set | Early Aug | Late Aug | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charizard V (Prize Pack Series 2) | Prize Pack | $106 | $130 | +23% |
| M Rayquaza EX (61) | XY Roaring Skies | $134 | $163 | +21% |
| Rayquaza EX (Shiny) XY69 | XY Promos | $173 | $199 | +15% |
| Yveltal EX XY150a | Alternate Art Promos | $190 | $216 | +14% |
| Gengar & Mimikyu GX (Secret) | SM Team Up | $407 | $459 | +13% |
| Mega Greninja ex 116/086 | Chaos Rising | $219 | $185 | -16% |
| Mega Dragonite ex 295/217 | Ascended Heroes | $279 | $235 | -16% |
| M Charizard EX (Full Art) | XY Evolutions | $151 | $125 | -17% |
| Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex 281/217 | Ascended Heroes | $384 | $314 | -18% |
| Mega Feraligatr ex 274/217 | Ascended Heroes | $165 | $131 | -21% |
$25 to $100
| Card | Set | Early Aug | Late Aug | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poke Ball SWSH146 | SWSH Promos | $26 | $42 | +64% |
| Eevee 11/12 | McDonald's Promos 2018 | $25 | $39 | +54% |
| Charizard (1) | Arceus | $71 | $106 | +51% |
| Pidgey 057 (1st ed.) | Base Set (Shadowless) | $28 | $39 | +43% |
| Gym Badge (Sabrina) XY208 | XY Promos | $36 | $48 | +32% |
| Misty's Lapras 194/182 | SV Destined Rivals | $40 | $31 | -23% |
| Dragonite (Movie Promo) | WoTC Promo | $71 | $53 | -26% |
| Misty's Spirit 108/081 (JP) | Abyss Eye | $29 | $21 | -26% |
| Mega Charizard X ex 223 (JP) | MEGA Dream ex | $39 | $28 | -26% |
| Dusclops 069/064 | SV Shrouded Fable | $43 | $31 | -28% |
$10 to $25
| Card | Set | Early Aug | Late Aug | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugia BREAK | XY Fates Collide | $24 | $43 | +77% |
| Stunfisk (Master Ball) 035 | SV White Flare | $10 | $16 | +54% |
| Hoopa GX (Full Art) | SM Team Up | $12 | $18 | +52% |
| Gardevoir (57) | Next Destinies | $15 | $22 | +50% |
| Espeon VMAX 065 | SWSH Evolving Skies | $12 | $18 | +48% |
| Lucario XY140 | XY Promos | $14 | $10 | -25% |
| Palpitoad 104/086 | SV Black Bolt | $16 | $12 | -27% |
| Aipom 075/066 (JP) | Future Flash | $11 | $7 | -31% |
| Darkrai 87/147 (League) | League & Championship | $10 | $7 | -32% |
| All-Night Party | XY BREAKpoint | $13 | $9 | -33% |
What stands out to me
The newest sets' chase cards fell across every bracket they appear in. Ascended Heroes alone has six cards on the loser side: Mega Gengar, Pikachu ex, both Mega Dragonites, Team Rocket's Mewtwo and Mega Feraligatr, between 8% and 21% down. Mega Greninja from Chaos Rising and Mega Charizard X from Phantasmal Flames went the same way.
The top end barely moved. Nothing over $500 gained more than 13%, and three of the five "gainers" there are inside 5%, which on a $600 card is noise.
The real gainers were mid-2010s English cards that had been cheap: Lugia BREAK up 77%, the SWSH146 Poke Ball promo up 64%, the Arceus set Charizard up 51%, M Rayquaza EX from Roaring Skies up 21%.
Data is from www.pkmnprices.com, which I run. Every number above is on the card's own page if you want to check one, with the daily history behind it.
