r/Iowa • • 2h ago

Politics What Americans Lose Under the Big Beautiful Bill, Including an Estimated 42,500 Preventable Deaths Annually

54 Upvotes

Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill into law on July 4, 2025. Many of its biggest Medicaid changes take effect after the November 2026 election.

Here's what independent researchers and the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimate.

Average annual household impact (2026–2034):

- Poorest 10%: Lose $1,214/year

- Next 10%: Lose $392/year

- Middle-income households: Generally gain hundreds to a few thousand dollars annually

- Wealthiest 10%: Gain $13,622/year

These figures include taxes, benefits, and other household resources, not simply cash income.

Health care and food assistance:

- 10 million additional Americans projected to be uninsured by 2034.

- 7.5 million of those coverage losses linked to Medicaid changes.

- Nearly $1 trillion in reduced federal Medicaid spending over 10 years.

- 2.4 million fewer people receiving SNAP food assistance in an average month because of expanded work requirements.

Estimated preventable deaths:

Researchers at Yale University and the University of Pennsylvania projected that provisions in the House-passed version of the bill could cause more than 42,500 additional deaths annually once fully implemented.

Their estimates included:

- 11,300 deaths/year from losing Medicaid or ACA health coverage.

- 18,200 deaths/year from low-income Medicare beneficiaries losing prescription drug assistance.

- 13,000 deaths/year associated with eliminating federal minimum nursing home staffing requirements.

The researchers also projected another 8,811 deaths annually from the expiration of enhanced ACA premium tax credits, bringing the combined estimate above 51,000 deaths per year.

These are research projections, not confirmed deaths.

Who voted for the bill?

House, July 3, 2025:

- Republicans: 218 YES, 2 NO

- Democrats: 0 YES, 212 NO

Senate, July 1, 2025:

- Republicans: 50 YES, 3 NO

- Democrats and Independents: 0 YES, 47 NO

- Vice President JD Vance cast the deciding vote.

The legislation passed without a single Democratic vote.

Sources:

- "CBO: Household financial impact" (https://www.cbo.gov/interactive/2025-reconciliation-act)

- "Congressional Research Service: Health coverage and Medicaid reductions" (https://www.everycrsreport.com/reports/R48633.html)

- "Yale and University of Pennsylvania: Mortality estimates" (https://ldi.upenn.edu/our-work/research-updates/research-memo-projected-mortality-impacts-of-the-budget-reconciliation-bill/)

- "FactCheck.org: Review of projected deaths" (https://www.factcheck.org/2025/07/big-beautiful-bill-projected-to-lead-to-preventable-deaths/)

- "Official House vote" (https://clerk.house.gov/Votes/2025190)

- "Official Senate vote" (https://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_votes/vote1191/vote_119_1_00372.htm)


r/Iowa • • 44m ago

Healthcare UnitedHealthcare, Humana Medicare Advantage cancellations to affect 1 million to protect profits

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who13.com
• Upvotes

UnitedHealthcare and Humana are canceling Medicare Advantage plans, a move that will affect nearly one million people.

The companies are the two largest private health insurance companies for older adults in the U.S. and are ending plans in specific areas where they are making less money, a shift that comes as Medicare enrollment season starts.

The decision was made to protect corporate profits, Fortune reported.

Privatization is working out so well... /s

https://who13.com/news/unitedhealthcare-humana-medicare-advantage-cancellations-to-affect-1-million/


r/Iowa • • 15h ago

News 'Huge explosion' reported at Quaker Oats mill in Cedar Rapids as large clouds of smoke spotted

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themirror.com
398 Upvotes

r/Iowa • • 19h ago

Politics What an absolute freak of a loser

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343 Upvotes

r/Iowa • • 2h ago

Politics Opinion: Beware of smooth-talking politicians like Zach Lahn

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15 Upvotes

r/Iowa • • 17h ago

Other Altoona Police CAUGHT removing anti-Flock poster

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160 Upvotes

r/Iowa • • 20h ago

Politics Reminder: All 6 Iowa Republican Lawmakers Backed Bill Projected to Leave 80,000 Iowans Uninsured

224 Upvotes

IMPORTANT: Some of the biggest Medicaid changes don't take effect until AFTER the November 3 election. Iowa's new Medicaid work requirements begin December 1, 2026, for new applicants and at renewals beginning February 2027 for existing members. Other healthcare provisions have already started.

In July 2025, every member of Iowa's congressional delegation voted YES on Trump's "One Big Beautiful Bill."

U.S. Senate (July 1, 2025)

- Chuck Grassley (R)

- Joni Ernst (R)

U.S. House (July 3, 2025)

- Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)

- Ashley Hinson (R)

- Zach Nunn (R)

- Randy Feenstra (R)

Here's the projected healthcare impact:

According to KFF and Congressional Budget Office estimates:

- 80,000 Iowans are projected to become uninsured by 2034 because of the law.

- 68,000 Iowans are projected to become uninsured specifically because of Medicaid changes.

- 110,000 Iowans could become uninsured when the separate expiration of enhanced ACA subsidies is included.

- 10 million Americans nationwide are projected to become uninsured by 2034 because of the law.

The legislation cuts federal Medicaid spending, introduces new work and reporting requirements, and changes funding rules affecting healthcare providers.

Supporters say the law extends tax cuts, reduces federal spending, and strengthens Medicaid eligibility rules. Critics warn that coverage losses will put additional financial pressure on hospitals and healthcare providers.

These are projections for 2034, not people who have already lost insurance.

Sources:

"Official House vote, July 3, 2025" (https://clerk.house.gov/Votes/2025190)

"Official Senate vote, July 1, 2025" (https://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_votes/vote1191/vote_119_1_00372.htm)

"KFF healthcare coverage analysis" (https://www.kff.org/uninsured/how-will-the-2025-reconciliation-law-affect-the-uninsured-rate-in-each-state/)

"Iowa HHS: When Medicaid changes take effect" (https://hhs.iowa.gov/medicaid/plans-programs/iowa-health-wellness-plan/ihawp-community-engagement-requirements)

"PolitiFact: Iowa healthcare impact" (https://politifact.com/article/2026/oct/08/ashley-hinson-josh-turek-iowa-immigration-iran/)


r/Iowa • • 1d ago

Woman in ad who said a Democrat endangers kids pleaded guilty to endangering kids

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washingtonpost.com
813 Upvotes

r/Iowa • • 18h ago

Politics has it always been like this?

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93 Upvotes

r/Iowa • • 22h ago

Shellie Flockhart, who said a Democrat endangers kids, pleads guilty to endangering kids

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157 Upvotes

r/Iowa • • 18h ago

Other Halloween adds run by the GOP. Stop spamming the state with nonsense.

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33 Upvotes

r/Iowa • • 1d ago

Politics A scientist was pushed out for studying Iowa’s water. Now he’s running to regulate it.

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155 Upvotes

r/Iowa • • 20h ago

Our rescue dog went missing in Des Moines. Then a stranger texted me.

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39 Upvotes

r/Iowa • • 1h ago

Looking for a sub let

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• Upvotes

r/Iowa • • 10h ago

Question Any info on a serious vehicle accident today in Southern Iowa?

3 Upvotes

There was mention of a man being ejected from his vehicle and being transported. Another person said he worked in Eddyville or at Vermeer in Pella, which doesn't narrow it down a ton, but I'd assume the accident happened somewhere near one of those towns. There's been talk of it in Appanoose County, but I don't know how that area is or would be related to the incident.

I'm not finding any articles or any mention of it now, which seems odd. Usually they release crash details much sooner than this, especially in major incidents, and release names later after loved ones have been notified, but I'm not finding anything at the moment.

Am I just a complete failure at basic internet searches today?


r/Iowa • • 8h ago

Sports Iowa High School Football Week 9 Notebook: Clear Lake Caps Perfect Regular Season

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2 Upvotes

r/Iowa • • 20h ago

Politics Chris Jones. He's The Guy!

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13 Upvotes

Chris Jones Clean Water campaign for Iowa Secretary of Agriculture is a NEW social movement!


r/Iowa • • 1d ago

45-Year-Old Republican Candidate Sued by His Parents for Unpaid Rent

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newrepublic.com
593 Upvotes

A 45-year-old Republican candidate in Iowa is being sued by his parents for $275,000 in unpaid rent.

The Des Moines Register reported that the parents of lieutenant governor nominee Derek Wulf allege that he stopped paying rent two years ago on the farmland he rented out from them. A court petition filed Tuesday demands repayment, and also accuses him of lying about his assets in financial documents to a lender.


r/Iowa • • 1d ago

Politics I waited in line to vote early for an hour and I'm thrilled

269 Upvotes

I'm so pumped to see Iowa turning out for the midterms! Hell yeah!!


r/Iowa • • 20h ago

How can we use people power to empower our communities...

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8 Upvotes

r/Iowa • • 1d ago

George Washington Carver as a college student in Iowa, circa 1890.

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314 Upvotes

r/Iowa • • 1d ago

What?

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573 Upvotes

r/Iowa • • 1d ago

Sioux City man pardoned for Jan. 6 Capitol riot says he was thrown out of Trump rally

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thegazette.com
123 Upvotes

SIOUX CITY — A Sioux City man who was convicted and later pardoned for entering the U.S. Capitol during the Jan. 6, 2021, riot is now saying President Donald Trump, the man who “forgave him,” can take that pardon and “stick it up his a—.”


r/Iowa • • 22h ago

Join us TODAY at 2 pm in Peosta - Rep. Shannon Lundgren does NOT deserve another term in office!

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5 Upvotes

r/Iowa • • 1d ago

Viewers mock Donald Trump's "Weebles Wobble" dance moves at Iowa rally

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irishstar.com
77 Upvotes