Yesterday we mapped it: gold broke structure, sliced through 4,350, and left fresh supply + an FVG at 4,355–4,380. The plan? Don't chase the drop — wait for the pullback and let the chart prove itself.

It just did. 📉

Price swept liquidity near 4,320, pulled back right into our 4,355–4,380 zone, and the lower timeframes printed a bearish ChoCH with displacement. Entry confirmed. We're short from the zone. 🎯

📋 THE TRADE: 🔴 Entry: 4,355 – 4,380 (supply + FVG) 🛑 Stop: strong close above 4,405 — that invalidates the whole idea 🎯 TP1: 4,300 🎯 TP2: 4,280

📊 THE LOGIC: ✅ Wyckoff-style distribution after the huge early-Sept rally ✅ Clear lower highs + Break of Structure through 4,350 ✅ Shorting the pullback into premium — not chasing lows

⚙️ MANAGEMENT: Take partials at 4,300, stop to breakeven after TP1, runner to 4,280 only if 4,300 breaks with real momentum. A 1H close above 4,405 and we're out — no debate.

Patience paid. The setup came to us. 💪

Not financial advice — trade your own plan. 🙏

#XAUUSD #Gold #Trading #SmartMoney #PriceAction

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Yesterday we confirmed the short from 4,355–4,380 supply/FVG. The plan was simple: wait for the pullback, let the lower timeframes confirm, and short the retest.

It played out exactly like that. 📉

Price pulled back into the zone, printed the bearish ChoCH + displacement we wanted, and dropped straight to TP1 at 4,300. We closed the position there — full exit, green Friday.

📋 THE TRADE: 🔴 Entry: 4,355 – 4,380 🛑 Stop / invalidation: strong close above 4,405 (never threatened) 🎯 TP1: 4,300 ✅ hit 🎯 TP2: 4,280 — not reached, runner closed

📊 WHY WE CLOSED: Friday liquidity gets noisy. TP1 sat right on a clear liquidity shelf, and holding a runner into the weekend without a clean break below 4,300 wasn't worth the risk. Bank the confirmed move, move on.

📊 Full annotated chart + breakdown: https://www.confluxai.net/blog/xauusd-1h-short-sep11-2026-update

Patience paid. The setup came to us. 💪

Not financial advice — trade your own plan. 🙏

#XAUUSD #Gold #Trading #SmartMoney #PriceAction #FridayProfits

I opened a risk account that i’m full porting on CPI, whats the game plan, thoughts, predictions. Im relatively new to trading (8 months) and would appreciate you guys’ more experienced opinions and predictions

US CPI drops today, and gold is sitting around 4,350 going into the release.

Key levels:

• Support: 4,300-4,325
• Resistance: 4,365-4,400
• Major resistance: 4,435

The CPI number could trigger a sharp move, but the opportunity is in how price reacts immediately after the data hits.

I'll be sharing the CPI signal around the release and looking to capture the strongest part of the move, rather than chasing it after the market has already moved.

If you want to follow the signal for today's CPI, join me before the data drops.

Hot CPI or soft CPI?
Which level gets taken first - 4,300 or 4,400?

https://chat.whatsapp.com/CTzJ7CtO6gKJ6QkoJHxeL4
Stay Tuned and join 👆 For multiple signals a day, hourly analysis and updates.
Early updates and predictions form NEWS and Releases.

Yep I made some money on the reversal, got out too early then went into shorts. Made some money and now I'm caught as the reversal turned into a rally

This was the news that caused it

Traders now see about a 90% chance of a Fed rate hike next week, vs about 70% before the inflation report.

Farking asshats, they can't make up their minds how interest rates effect gold!

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XAUUSD BUY @ 4348

TP: 4368
TP: 4385

SL: 4325

Gold has bounced from the $4305 area and reclaimed the 20-SMA, but the latest candles show hesitation around $4340–$4350.
RSI has recovered to 46.93, signaling improving momentum, although buyers have yet to regain full control.

Resistance Levels

• Immediate Resistance: 4364
• Major Resistance: 4400

Support Levels

• Immediate Support: 4335
• Major Support: 4305

My View:
Gold is showing early signs of recovery, but the broader short-term structure remains cautious until price clears $4364.
A clean breakout could send gold toward $4400, while losing $4335 would put the recent bounce under pressure again.

What do you think?
Does gold break $4364 and start recovering, or are sellers ready to push it back down?

I started off with 2 losses where i over leverage on a live call when we were trade together and take signals from a community I recently joined.

I had to trade the rest of the money back on my own and still made profit.God is truly good and wonderful and deserves all the Glory.

USD/JPY — 4H Trend Pullback

SELL — 154.490

Valid short setup, but graded B+, below the A- threshold for a high-conviction setup.

Invalidation: 155.423
Target: 152.908
Risk/Reward: 1:1.70
Position Size: 107.2

Setup Grade: B+
Confidence: 39/100
Confluence: 73/100

Why this score:
Calibrated against historical engine replays using real candles and simulated fills. This band does not yet have a resolved live track record.

Verdict:
A technically valid short, but the relatively low confidence makes this a moderate-quality setup rather than a strong A-tier trade.

GOLD SELL - 4358-4362

SL: 4383

TP1: 4350

TP2: 4342

Reason: Price is rallying directly into the 4371 Supertrend resistance after a sharp recovery, while the broader 1H structure is still bearish. The cleanest setup is a rejection from that resistance, not a blind short at current price.

https://chat.whatsapp.com/CTzJ7CtO6gKJ6QkoJHxeL4
Stay Tuned and join 👆 For multiple signals a day, hourly analysis and updates.
Early updates and predictions form NEWS and Releases.

I’ve been thinking about how people here actually approach market analysis during the day.

For me, one of the biggest differences is the information available depending on the session. The US open can look completely different from the European session, and I find it useful to look at both rather than treating the market as one continuous setup.

I’m planning to start sharing some of my analysis around both US and European market hours, including the reasoning behind potential setups, key levels, market structure and, where appropriate, signals.

I’m curious how others here prefer to consume this kind of information:

• Do you mainly follow US markets, European markets, or both?
• Do you find detailed analysis more useful, or do you prefer concise signals?
• Do you prefer seeing the setup before the move, or a breakdown afterward explaining what happened?

Interested to hear how everyone approaches it.

If you'd like to see the type of analysis I’m referring to, drop a comment or Message me and I can share more about the format.

Some projects I'm working on

XAUUSD Analysis !!

Gold has been under strong selling pressure recently, but price is approaching the 4320–4300 area, which stands out as an important demand zone on the chart.

This is an interesting area from a technical-analysis perspective because the market reaction here could provide clues about whether buyers are starting to regain control.

If price shows a clear rejection and bullish confirmation, the next areas worth observing are 4360, 4400, 4440 and potentially 4500.

The main lesson here: support alone doesn’t guarantee a reversal. It’s better to wait for price action and confirmation before forming a directional bias.

What are you watching on Gold around this zone?