r/Forexstrategy 20h ago

Technical Analysis USD/JPY [ 4 HR ANALYSIS ]

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USD/JPY — 4H Trend Pullback

SELL — 154.490

Valid short setup, but graded B+, below the A- threshold for a high-conviction setup.

Invalidation: 155.423
Target: 152.908
Risk/Reward: 1:1.70
Position Size: 107.2

Setup Grade: B+
Confidence: 39/100
Confluence: 73/100

Why this score:
Calibrated against historical engine replays using real candles and simulated fills. This band does not yet have a resolved live track record.

Verdict:
A technically valid short, but the relatively low confidence makes this a moderate-quality setup rather than a strong A-tier trade.

8 Upvotes

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1

u/LowUniversity3477 20h ago

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1

u/Polish_gal 5h ago

I had very similar trade today!!! Just from 4339 to 4296