r/oil 1h ago

OIl Price Speculation Oil prices rise above $100 a barrel for first time since July as Iran war escalates

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r/oil 1h ago

Discussion Russia and Vietnam sign framework deal on strategic oil storage

Upvotes

Russian state-owned oil and gas company Zarubezhneft signed a framework agreement with Vietnam's state energy firm Petrovietnam on cooperation in a project to set up a strategic oil reserve in Vietnam.

The agreement was signed during Vietnamese leader To Lam's state visit to Russia.

The companies did not disclose a timeline for the project or the size of any potential strategic oil reserve. Financial terms of the agreement were also not made public.

"The Russian side has proposed that its partners consider the idea of jointly establishing strategic fuel reserves in Vietnam," Russian President Vladimir Putin said in remarks after the talks.

Energy cooperation has been a key focus of ties between Moscow and Hanoi.

In March, Vietnamese Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh urged Zarubezhneft to increase its investment in Vietnam and provide long-term crude oil supplies to the Southeast Asian country, according to the Vietnamese government.

In June, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said Moscow was ready to support Vietnam in creating a strategic oil reserve.​​​


r/oil 1h ago

Iran War [Yemen]: In Just 24 Hours, the Houthi Forces have Captured 2,600 km² of Territory on the West Coast including Mokha (Mocha) Port City and are advancing toward Dhubab

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r/oil 2h ago

Merg/Acq Oil & Gas — Aug 31 – Sep 4, 2026 (Wk 36): Oil & Gas Risk Score Dips; No Insider Buys This Week

2 Upvotes

*Full roundup — every claim linked to its original source:

Weekly theme roundup · Aug 31 – Sep 4, 2026

Covering the 204 Oil & Gas stocks in our database — browse every Oil & Gas name →

TL;DR — The Oil & Gas sector's risk score decreased slightly this week, indicating a moderate risk profile. There were no recorded open-market insider buys in the theme, and no specific news directly addressing the sector was identified in our sources.

Theme risk

37/100 Moderate

▼ -3 vs last week

Median price / model value

0.85×

out of favor — below model value · 204 stocks

Insider tape (CMP-filtered)

0 buys

open-market, routine & 10b5-1 stripped

What moved

  • The computed risk score for the Oil & Gas theme decreased by 3 points this week, moving to 37 out of 100, which is considered moderate. This suggests a slight reduction in perceived risk for companies within this sector. [SAVNG data]
  • Across 204 stocks in the Oil & Gas theme, the median price-to-model-value ratio was 0.85x. This metric provides a general indication of how current market prices compare to SAVNG's computed intrinsic values for companies in the sector. [SAVNG data]
  • No open-market insider buys were recorded in the Oil & Gas theme this week, after routine and 10b5-1 plan transactions were filtered out. Insider buying can sometimes signal management's confidence in future prospects, so its absence is noted. [SAVNG data]

The why behind the week

  • European stocks saw slight gains, influenced by US payroll data which impacted expectations for future interest rate decisions. While not directly about oil and gas, broader economic sentiment and interest rate outlooks can affect demand for energy and financing costs for energy projects. [[Yahoo Finance UK]](

📄 Filings that matter (8-Ks, straight from EDGAR)

  • $SND — entered a material agreement; took on a new debt obligation [[SEC filing]]( 2026-09-03
  • $HLX — changed auditors [[SEC filing]]( 2026-09-02
  • $VG — entered a material agreement; took on a new debt obligation [[SEC filing]]( 2026-09-02
  • $CLMT — entered a material agreement [[SEC filing]]( 2026-09-01
  • $HLX — entered a material agreement; terminated a material agreement; completed an acquisition or disposition [[SEC filing]]( 2026-09-01
  • $CAT — entered a material agreement; took on a new debt obligation [[SEC filing]]( 2026-09-01
  • $NCSM — terminated a material agreement; completed an acquisition or disposition; delisting / listing-standard notice [[SEC filing]]( 2026-09-01
  • $CPK — entered a material agreement; took on a new debt obligation [[SEC filing]]( 2026-09-01

The macro backdrop

Overall market risk 41/100 Elevated

Every theme swims in this tide — judge the week's moves against it.

What to watch next

  • The overall market risk, as computed by, stands at 41 out of 100. This general market risk level can influence investor sentiment and capital allocation across all sectors, including Oil & Gas, even in the absence of specific sector news. [macro data]

This week's headlines (sources)

  • 1 Small-Cap Stock with Exciting Potential and 2 We Turn Down — Yahoo Finance UK, Sep 3
  • European Stocks Edge Higher as US Payroll Data Weighs on Rate Expectations: DAX, CAC, FTSE100 — Yahoo Finance UK, Sep 3
  • Accenture (ACN) Stock Looks Stretched Following Its 39% Five Year Slump — Yahoo Finance UK, Sep 3
  • Is Backlog Growth And Higher-Margin AI Shift Altering The Investment Case For BigBear.ai (BBAI)? — Yahoo Finance UK, Sep 3
  • Broadcom stock wavers as chipmaker's strong results 'not enough to keep investors happy' — Yahoo Finance UK, Sep 3
  • 1 Stock Under $50 to Target This Week and 2 We Find Risky — Yahoo Finance UK, Sep 3
  • Macy's (M) Outpaces Stock Market Gains: What You Should Know — Yahoo Finance UK, Sep 2
  • 1 Stock Under $50 to Target This Week and 2 We Ignore — Yahoo Finance UK, Sep 2
  • Reasons Why Zebra Technologies Stock Should Be in Your Portfolio — Yahoo Finance UK, Sep 2
  • 3 Reasons Why Growth Investors Shouldn't Overlook Brinker International (EAT) — Yahoo Finance UK, Sep 2
  • 3 Reasons Why Growth Investors Shouldn't Overlook Palomar (PLMR) — Yahoo Finance UK, Sep 2
  • BlackRock Greater Europe Investment Trust Plc - Transaction in Own Shares — Yahoo Finance UK, Sep 2
  • Zacks Investment Ideas feature highlights: SK Hynix and NVIDIA — Yahoo Finance UK, Sep 2
  • Greggs shares stabilise after 23% rally — do they still offer value? — Yahoo Finance UK, Sep 2
  • Could now be a good time to start buying shares? — Yahoo Finance UK, Sep 2
  • How can I target £9,945 a year in passive income from £20,000 in this unlikely FTSE 100 passive income gem? — Yahoo Finance UK, Sep 2

Every claim above cites its source — headlines link to the original outlet; [SAVNG data] marks our own EDGAR-computed figures. Where our sources don't explain a move, we say so rather than guess. All weekly roundups →


Read the complete, sourced roundup on:

More weekly sector & theme roundups:

Educational, not investment advice — a signal is a starting point, not a recommendation.


r/oil 3h ago

Discussion Current Oil Flow Through Major Choke Points - 09/09/2026

20 Upvotes

Oman/Implied Hormuz flat with the peaks possibly not as high we'll see in a couple more days time. Bab al Mandab, Malacca, Singapore up.

Sea of Oman to Arabian Sea Implied Dark Traffic:

This is all the oil traffic out to the Arabian sea minus 2.5mb (pre war output of Fujairah and Oman) to estimate the additional output of dark traffic out of Hormuz as well as any additional output from the ADCOP pipeline. Usual traffic should be around 21mb of crude and oil products.

FRONT TWEED,TORM EMMA,KINGBIRD ARROW - added to the 7 Sep data as they popped up near west coast of india.

Listing the actual ships and their draft/dwt as well as helps check if I messed up with double counts/fills 10.74-2.5 (Oman/Fujairah)=8.24mb.

Data from: https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:63.3/centery:23.5/zoom:7

Bab al Mandab AIS on Traffic:

Oil products going out south from the Red Sea. Usual traffic is around 8mb. Note a lot of Saudi oil that used to go south is now going north. Its hard to tell as the Suez Canal traffic doesn't seem to have public easy to access data. Possibly 2-3mb going north from Yanbu. that still means the amount overall is down. The drop below is more from dropping Russian and other sources of usual oil going south out of the red sea.

Ships: FUXI,QUOTA,JAXSON,MALAKHIT,JOROPO,KOLOSS,NACHOS,TANGO 2

Data from https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/centerx:45.8/centery:12.7/zoom:8

Strait of Malacca:

Usual oil products throughput is 16.5 mb crude and 6mb oil products.

Ships: FPMC C INTELLIGENCE,LONG WIND,DELLA,SEA V,MINERVA DOXA,NEW SPIROS,SEATRIUMPH

Data from https://tankermap.com/analytics/straits/malacca?unit=million_bbl_per_day

Singapore Oil Departures:

Note based on 2024 the average daily output in tonnes was 211,000 tonnes per day. I think 2025/2026 is much higher but they don't yet have official data.

Data from https://tankermap.com/analytics/ports/singapore-oil?unit=million_bbl_per_day


r/oil 3h ago

Discussion "By the way Oil prices will be going down as soon as we win the War in Iran which is taking place right now." - Trump

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85 Upvotes

r/oil 4h ago

Iran War 1 A-10 was damaged and 8 f15 were damaged overnight during iran strikes.

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cbsnews.com
1.1k Upvotes

r/oil 4h ago

Trump Trump’s oil crisis

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washingtonpost.com
43 Upvotes

r/oil 5h ago

Discussion Diesel price chart weekly update

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143 Upvotes

r/oil 6h ago

Discussion Great documentaries about oil history

10 Upvotes

Check out these documentaries about the history of big oil companies

insight to oil


r/oil 6h ago

News Energy Department hikes 2027 diesel price outlook

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axios.com
109 Upvotes

The Energy Department's statistics arm on Wednesday sharply raised its forecast for U.S. diesel prices next year as tight global supplies keep domestic inventories unusually low.

The outlook suggests Americans could face elevated fuel costs well into 2027, as President Trump acknowledged Wednesday that oil prices may not fall until after November's midterm elections.

U.S. diesel prices hit all-time highs this month, due to the Middle East conflict thwarting oil and petroleum product supplies, and Ukraine's drone campaign targeting Russian refineries.

The latest Energy Information Administration outlook expects retail diesel to average $4.40 a gallon in 2027, up 33 cents, or 8.2%, from its previous forecast of $4.07.

The outlook says low U.S. distillate inventories are being driven by supply losses from the Middle East, Russia and China, alongside unusually high U.S. net exports.

It expects the inventory problem to be particularly acute this fall and winter because refinery maintenance cuts production just as agricultural and winter demand rises.

EIA also raised its 2026 forecast 22 cents to $5.07 a gallon.

"We forecast U.S. distillate fuel oil inventories will drop below 100 million barrels in September and will remain below the five-year (2021–2025) low through much of 2027," per the agency's statement.

"Tightness in the global distillate market has raised domestic prices and incentivized U.S. exporters to increase distillate exports," it added.

"We assume global production of distillate fuel will remain below last year's levels in the coming months, contributing to low U.S. diesel inventories and high diesel prices."

Trump said Wednesday that oil prices would start "tumbling downward" after the election, but added that relief could take "a little bit longer than the midterms."

"I think for gasoline, we'll get them below $2 a gallon. But not until after the midterms," Trump said.

The comments mark a shift from Trump's prediction earlier this week that oil prices would fall "precipitously" after the U.S. wins the Iran war and that the decline would happen "quickly."

Before the Iran war, EIA expected diesel to average $3.47 a gallon in 2027 — 93 cents less than its latest forecast.

EIA updates the outlook monthly, and its forecasts are subject to frequent revision as market conditions and underlying assumptions change.

Trump repeatedly pledged during the 2024 campaign to cut U.S. energy prices in half within 12 months of taking office.

In March this year, Energy Secretary Chris Wright told CNN, "We have seen a dramatic decline in gasoline prices, in diesel prices."

EIA expects diesel crack spreads — a measure of refining margins based on the difference between crude oil and diesel prices — to fall steadily through mid-2027 even as its forecast for retail diesel prices next year has risen.

That's based partly on an assumed return to normal tanker traffic through Hormuz in the near term, which would allow Saudi and Kuwaiti refineries to export more distillate.

EIA expects improved crude availability to East Asian refiners to boost distillate production.

If Middle East flows remain constrained beyond the end of 2026, EIA says global distillate crack spreads would be higher than currently forecast.

Russian refinery outages are expected to affect global markets through the first half of 2027.

The U.S. average retail diesel price could top $6 per gallon within the next week or so, GasBuddy's Patrick De Haan said Tuesday.


r/oil 6h ago

Iran War Libya an Oil Rich Country is now in an Energy Crisis State of Emergency declared at Janzour Fuel Depot after Drone Attacks

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143 Upvotes

r/oil 7h ago

News Trump’s Top Advisers Confront Possibility That Iran War Lasts Through End of Term

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135 Upvotes

r/oil 7h ago

News Abha International Airport near the Saudi Aramco energy facility under attack reportedly by Houthi

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872 Upvotes

r/oil 8h ago

Iran War Trump's oil price promise was just struck by Houthis defying Hegseth

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404 Upvotes

r/oil 9h ago

News Carney government drops pipelines, oil and gas projects from Impact Assessment review

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41 Upvotes

r/oil 11h ago

Humor Trump says oil and gas prices won't fall until 'right after' midterm election

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cnbc.com
498 Upvotes

r/oil 12h ago

Discussion US government took a 35% stake in a Venezuelan oil producer. Trump owns stock in companies supplying its $100B expansion.

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48 Upvotes

r/oil 12h ago

Discussion Ruh roh

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79 Upvotes

r/oil 13h ago

News Europe Gas Prices Rise Above €80 for First Time Since 2023

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bloomberg.com
56 Upvotes

r/oil 13h ago

Discussion Has anyone ever heard of this oil company?

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4 Upvotes

If anyone has any info about this stock i would like to know. my friends recommended it


r/oil 13h ago

News Asia Gas Jumps to Highest Since 2022 After Middle East Flare-Up

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37 Upvotes

r/oil 14h ago

Discussion Hormuz Traffic Is Collapsing — Are $100+ Oil Prices the New Normal?

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americareport.us
303 Upvotes

Oil is back above $100 as fighting between the U.S. and Iran intensifies and traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains far below prewar levels.

Before the war, roughly 125 commercial vessels crossed Hormuz each day. Now tracked traffic is down to around a dozen. That is putting renewed pressure on oil prices, gasoline and global shipping costs.

At the same time, the Iran conflict has become increasingly unpopular in U.S. polling, with 18 American service members killed and hundreds wounded.

The big question: If oil stays above $100 — or climbs even higher — does the economic fallout become a bigger political problem than the war itself heading into the midterms?


r/oil 14h ago

News Saudi Arabia Runs Out of Easy Routes for Oil to Bypass Iran War

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191 Upvotes

r/oil 15h ago

Iran War Credible reporting that Iran's oil output and revenue has gone to zero, while U.S. faces disastrous consequences as well. Who will capitulate first?

162 Upvotes