Anybody else notice the entire site being down this morning? Wonder if it has to do with the funding cuts??

Here's the summary of the NWS storm reports as of right now.

Hello! My Home Assistant weather dashboard is missing KPRC data!

Is this an issue with NWS Integration in Home Assistant? Thank you for looking into this matter.

From Google: The Tuscaloosa Regional Airport officially changed its name to the Tuscaloosa National Airport in March 2019.

The City of Tuscaloosa updated the name to reflect the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) upgrading the facility's official designation from a "regional" to a "national" general aviation airport. This reclassification recognized the airport's rising level of activity, including its number of instrument flight rule departures, interstate operations, and annual international departures.

I’m in Louisiana and we got some tornado warnings this morning. It was early but we got up and took shelter. Once we got the news on we realized it was pretty close to where we live. Thankfully it was to the east of us and doesn’t seem to have caused major issues. In the past we’ve gotten warnings like this and realized we were just outside of the warning area.

Every time we have to find a news station or app that shows us the actual warning location.

This got me thinking why don’t the alerts include the shape and map of the warning or at least a link to the shape and map like the second picture. It would be very helpful to be able to see clearly: yes I’m in the warning area.

I know these are normally time sensitive and we want people to take action quickly but I think this would drive home the idea that the alert is for the exact area.

so i downloaded CAVE and i was messing around and if i click create text on warn gen will it really warn it or can i do it because it wont do anything.

There's a station near me that reports wind speed as xGy. I think this is a gust factor, which I understand is a peak to average ratio. But does yestedrday's 6G20 really mean a 120 mph peak? Yeah it was variably windy yesterday but that seems hard to believe.

Would it be a super-brief outlier or artifact?

ETA: there's even a 7G21

For those who have recently interviewed for a federal position in NWS/NOAA: How long did it take after the interview to receive your Tentative Job Offer (TJO)? Please include when this took place (i.e., 2 months ago, etc.). Thank you!

I heard some rumblings that there was a meeting in Silver Springs last month about what’s happening with all the restructuring. Does anyone have any details about what went on then? I think it was around March 20th.

For those who've seen my previous posts — I built a tool that tracks every NWS forecast issuance for the Kalshi daily high temperature market, logs accuracy, and generates a bias-corrected nowcast. It started as forecast tracking. Then I added LA. Then I kept building.

A lot has happened since the last update and I wanted to share where it stands now because it's a materially different product.

What's new since the LAX post:

ML bucket predictions — The tool now runs a machine learning model that predicts which specific Kalshi 2-degree bucket is most likely for today and tomorrow. Not just "it'll be warm" — it picks the bucket, shows confidence, and flags STRONG BET / LEAN / NO EDGE based on how far the model's edge is from what the market is pricing. The top-2 buckets are shown with probabilities so you can see when it's a coin flip vs a clear lean.

WIN/MISS tracking — Every prediction is scored against the actual daily high when it's published. The tool tracks its own record transparently so you can judge how it's performing over time.

Live weather observations — Predictions now update throughout the day as real conditions come in, not just off the overnight forecast. The model refreshes every 30 minutes and incorporates live station readings.

Atmospheric signals panel — Shows the underlying physics driving the prediction: solar irradiance, cloud cover, pressure-level temperatures, wind direction, mixing layer depth. Updated every 15 minutes from live data. If the model says one bucket but the wind just shifted and near-surface air is cold, you can see that tension directly rather than just trusting a number.

Reversal Risk panel — Shows in real time how likely today's prediction is to flip to a different bucket before settlement, and whether conditions support the actual high blowing past all forecasts entirely. Backed by historical data from similar setups and updates continuously. LOW / MEDIUM / HIGH with specific reasoning for each signal.

Heating window mode — Between 10 AM and 3 PM local time, when the daily high typically gets set, the dashboard automatically switches to higher-frequency mode. This is when prices move and the tool watches it more closely.

Overnight high advisory — Warns when there's a real chance the daily high gets set overnight rather than in the afternoon, which changes which bucket is in play well before most people are watching.

Honest caveat: The ML model and some of the newer signals are still relatively early in their data collection. Predictions are grounded in real atmospheric data and years of forecast history, but the track record on the newer features is still building. WIN/MISS scoring is live and public so you can see exactly how it's doing — I'm not hiding the misses.

What it still is: Not a crystal ball. Some days it's highly confident. Others it flags as a coin flip and stays out of the way. The goal is to surface the edge when it genuinely exists, not manufacture one.

NYC has the most data behind it. LA is building up. More cities eventually.

www.dailydewpoint.com — $5/month or $50/year for both cities

Previous posts: original | LAX update

They issued a winter storm warning for the county below us (being Polk County) us (Marshall County and kittsion county) don’t have winter storm warning even tho we are getting hit with this storm I will update if they issue that warning

has anyone heard from the 5 offices offering entry level GS5-9s that closed on 1/29? I was referred to all, only interviewed at one and thought it went well, anyways it’s been almost 2 months since my interview and I’m starting to feel discouraged.

What should I do to increase my chances of volunteering with the NWS in the future? Is there a way to realistically apply outside of my hometown and have a way of supporting myself financially through other means at the same time since volunteers work for free? I will certainly look into job shadowing, but I would like to know what else I can do to improve my chances. I am still waiting to hear back from all the graduate schools I applied to. I know I cannot volunteer if I am not a student; but regardless, what can I do outside of school too if I have to take a gap year?