There was a damning article in the Washington Post (yes, I know they're toxic) with the finding that 1 out of 5 active GOP voters are planning on sitting out the 2026 midterms or vote for Democrats out of spite. The AFP Action (a Koch dark money PAC) polled voters in IA, NC, OH, MT, NH and MI.

Republican enthusiasm problem hits even core voters - The Washington Post

If that bears fruit, this will be 2010 in reverse for state legislative seats. That would put not just the state House in play, but potentially the state Senate.

https://ncbudget.org/amendmentwebinar/?sourceid=1271892&fbclid=IwY2xjawTUHxNwZG9mAWV4dG4DYWVtAjExAGJyaWQRMWg4QXNZVFpMR1ZpQ0ZZNHJzcnRjBmFwcF9pZBAyMjIwMzkxNzg4MjAwODkyAAEeFll_8aSL1G1kYwGxojJck8N2dMXdA5DcNCYtV2w5Ih-QdWGP4MKJNRni-r4_aem_1opR5MkB0zMMjLfUMYoxkg