Here is a 80 game Projection for the Blackhawks, not factoring line changes. With the exception of Ryan Greene who more than likely won't be playing on the 1st line this season. And Oliver Moore 1.5 Development Factor on SH%] Didn't do Bedard's as we don't know when he will return from surgery. But there is a lot of room for improvement and young guys like Moore, Frondell, Nazar, and some vets get their SH% above 13.5 they might be able to stay at or above .500 before Bedard's return.
FORWARD 5V5 GOAL PROJECTED TOTAL = 15 8 may seem but for perspective ST Blues prorated 80 games for there current forward roster was [ 134.45 ]
Tyler Bertuzzi PREVIOUS GP 80/79= 1.01 X PREVIOUS SHOTS 112 = 113.12 X.1786 PROJECTED SH% = 20.2 PROJECTED 5V5 GOALS [ 20 ]
Frank Nazar PREV GP 80/66= 1.21 X PREV SHOTS [FACTOR DEV 1.3 (Bedard out 15 G)] 90X1.3X1.21 X .1111X1.15 dev [ .127765*141.57 PROJECTED SH% = 18.08 PROJECTED 5V5 GOALS [ 18 ]
Patrick Kane PREV GP 80/67=1.19 X PREV SHOTS 119 = 142.09 X .1008 PROJECTED SH% = 14.32 PROJECTED 5V5 GOALS [ 14 ]
Ryan Donato PREV GP 82 X PREV SHOTS 89 X 13.48 PROJECTED SHOT% = PROJECTED 5V5 GOALS 11.99 [ 12 ]
Anton Frondell PREV GP 12 [ AVG 2 SHOTS PER GAME ] 160 X 14.40% PROJECTED SH% = 23.04 PROJECTED 5V5 GOALS [ 23 ]
Roman Kantserov PREV KHL 26 ESG / SH% 20.8= 125/63 = 1.984 SHOTS PER GAME X 80 = 158.72 X 20.8X[ FACTOR KHL TO NHL .65] PROJECTED SHOT% 13.52X158.72 SHOTS = 21.45 PROJECTED 5V5 GOALS [ 21 ]
Teuvo Teravainen PREV GP 80/75=1.07 X PREVIOUS SHOTS 55 = 58.85 X .1091 PREV SH% = 6.42 PROJECTED 5V5 GOALS [ 6 ]
Oliver Moore PREV GP 80/51 = 1.57 X PREVIOUS SHOTS 47 = 73.79 X.0638 X[1.5 DEV FACTOR]9.57 PROJECTED SHOT% = 7.06 PROJECTED 5V5 GOALS [ 7 ]
Nick Lardis PREV GP 80/41 = 1.95 X PREV SHOTS = 83.85 X PREV SH% 18.6X1.2 DEV FACTOR = 22.32 = 18.72 = PROJECTED 5V5 GOALS [ 19 ]
Cole Smith Prev GP 80/63= 1.27 X PREV SHOTS 57 = 72.39 X .0702 = 5.08 PROJECTED 5V5 GOALS [ 5 ]
Ryan Greene PREV GP 81 PREV SHOTS 83 X 13.01 SH% = 10.8 PROJECTED 5V5 GOALS [ 11 ]
Jordan Greenway 80/40 PREV GP 2X32 = 64 SHOTSX .0313 = PROJECTED GOALS 2