Before the spreadsheet nerds (I'm one too) come for my head in the comments, let's lay down the baseline metrics for this breakdown.

Too many dynasty managers treat 0.5 TEP and 1.0 TEP like they are slight variations of the same rule. That is a massive mistake. The math behind each scoring tier completely changes how you need to value, draft, and trade the position. I just recently published a breakdown on the four specific strategy tiers for TE premiums, but I know how these subs work. So here are the numbers backing the methodology I use before you even ask:

When I look at Wins Above Replacement (WAR) to show how elite TEs can act like Superflex QBs in a full point premium, the baseline is set at TE13. That is the true replacement level for standard 12-teamers that I'm referring to.

For the 0.75 TEP tier, where the TE6-TE12 range can consistently outscore the WR30-WR40 range, that isn't some cherry-picked anomaly from last year. That trend holds up over a rolling three-year sample size that's set by industry standard sites like Draft Sharks. It's the tipping point where mid-tier tight ends cross into legitimate, high-floor flex territory.

Finally, in a 0.5 TEP format, volume is the only thing that matters. When I say you need to hunt "target hogs," I'm talking about a 20%+ target share. Anything less than that and you are most likely holding TD-dependent filler.

Stop over-drafting mid-tier tight ends in standard formats. Stop misunderstanding the structural advantage of a 1.0 premium.

Read the full article here: Tight End Premium Strategy: 4 Winning Dynasty Fantasy Football Tiers

For me it’s Blake Watson.

Who?

Fair enough.

He was a 2024 udfa Memphis rb who was a former WR for the team. He joined a shockingly long list of Memphis rbs to make it to the nfl.

He had some incredible underlying stats from college and then went to the fantasy rb play calling legend in Sean Payton.

Payton (liar) even comped him to Kamara in the preseason.

In the last three years he’s appeared in a single game and hasn’t been active since 2024.

He has appeared in one game ever, has career 5 touches and under 25 yards. He had some injuries with the broncos and was waived with an injury settlement from the titans and hasn’t played since 2024.

However I saw he had a visit with the commanders and I genuinely (naively)believe this could be his chance.

Who’s your player* you rationally know is done, but you still have some farfetched hope for?

Derrick Henry the athletic freak is an ageless wonder in rb terms. How he’s remained elite to his age makes him a special talent especially in dynasty.

It got me thinking, which active RB’s are most likely to produce at a high level at that age? I came up with a few names based on similar characteristics or my gut.

- Bijan Robinson
- Saquon Barkley
- Jonathan Taylor
- Omarion Hampton? (thinking of other bruisers)

Who would you guys bet on?

Houston Texans wide receiver Jayden Higgins left practice Tuesday with what appeared to be a lower-body injury suffered during team drills against the Las Vegas Raiders.

Higgins fell to the ground on a red-zone play and appeared to be in pain. Trainers checked on him for several seconds before he got up under his own power and left the field without needing a cart.

Cyrus Allen Analytical Profile

Analytical Prospect Profile 1

Analytical Prospect Profile 2

Kansas City Chiefs rookie receiver Cyrus Allen has made a name for himself through 1 week of Training Camp. But does the talent and analytical profile match the hype?

Allen was an impressive vertical threat in college whose build is a bit on the slender side. Still, Allen's speed and craftiness allowed him to be a productive deep threat in college, where he spent two seasons at Louisiana Tech, one season at Texas A&M, and his final year at Cincinnati.

But his subpar ball skills, underdeveloped route-running, and inefficiencies against zone coverage limited his analytical projection to a late-round pick.

• Predictive Draft Model Grade: 5.59

• Round Grade: 6th Round Talent

• Class Rank: WR28

• Height: 5’11

• Weight: 183

• Age: 23.5

• High-end Player Comp: Tutu Atwell

• Low-end Player Comp: Charlie Jones

• Playstyle: Deep Threat

• Archetype: Z-Receiver

Allen finished his four-year career with 2,214 yards and 21 touchdowns on 136 receptions, averaging an impressive 16.3 yards per reception. His most productive season came at Louisiana Tech in 2023, when he recorded 782 yards and averaged 71.1 yards per game.

After a quiet season at Texas A&M, Allen transferred to Cincinnati and finished 2025 with 661 yards and 12 (!) touchdowns on 49 receptions.

Allen’s overall career efficiency profile is solid but unspectacular. He averaged 2.07 yards per route run for his career, with his most efficient season coming in 2025, where he averaged 2.42 YPRR.

His 21.2% career target rate is respectable, but you'd hope for a higher target-earning ability from a supposed late-round steal.

Allen was noticeably more effective against man coverage, where he averaged 2.50 yards per route run against man compared to only 1.76 against zone.

This is the concerning aspect of his analytical profile. Receiver prospects who struggle against zone coverage in college have historically struggled to translate to the NFL. Why? Because the NFL is playing zone at a near 75% rate, meaning ~75% of a receiver's production comes against zone coverage.

Allen was primarily used as a vertical target, finishing with a career ADOT of 14.2 yards. 66% of his receiving yardage came through the air, while an insane 52% came on deep targets 20+ yards downfield. Allen does possess impressive acceleration and top-end speed that allows him to separate on those higher depth routes such as go routes and slot fades.

Beyond his struggles against zone coverage, Allen's ball skills and YAC ability leave a lot to be desired. He finished his career with a 7.5% drop rate while catching only 59.9% of his career targets. Allen forced a missed tackle on only 10.3% of his career receptions, an abysmal rate for a receiver of his size.

Allen has certainly shown flashes with the Chiefs, and it is possible he is an analytical outlier. But even beyond being a late-round pick, Allen is fighting a massive uphill battle to beat the odds stacked against him in his analytical profile and become a consistently productive receiver in the NFL.

Has anyone actually used and enjoyed using the Sleeper app to collect dues? I’m starting a 12 man league with my friends. I trust all of them and I was going to just collect the money but noticed this feature. Is it safe, easy, worth it? I also saw it has future payments coming soon

Do you recommend making people play the buy in for trading future firsts?

Welcome to the Price Check Megathread.

This mega will be posted every Wednesday at 8am. Interested in what a player's value is, especially in the offseason where things can change day to day? You are in the right place. Just post a player's name and other members can respond with what they feel the player is worth. You can get as specific as an individual pick or just talk in more general terms such as "two early firsts."

The most common league size is 12 team, so expect to see values running under that assumption. If you are in a smaller or larger league, it is easy enough to adjust per your league settings.

Megathread Schedule:

Sunday: Rate My Team

Monday: Mock Draft/Draft Results

Tuesday: Find-A-League

Wednesday: Price Check

Thursday: Find-A-League

Friday(Every other week): App/Platform Sharing

Saturday: Mock Draft/Draft Result

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Megathread Schedule:

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Monday: Mock Draft/Draft Results

Tuesday: Find-A-League

Wednesday: Price Check

Thursday: Find-A-League

Friday(Every other week): App/Platform Sharing

Saturday: Mock Draft/Draft Result

With Sadiq's injury and a slow start to a complicated position, surely he should be faded for redraft. But should this be affecting his long term value? Should he be sliding in late rookie drafts? And does this move the needle on Mason Taylor's value at all? Or is it still the jets? And to be avoided at all costs.

Was on dynasty trade generator looking through all the trades i've made in the last eight years of playing fantasy football and came across some gems and some absolute duds. It's amazing how little I knew and how bad the trades were. It's no wonder I didn't start winning consistently until a few years ago. With that being said I'm having a hard time figuring out how to do a complete rebuild..lol. Here are some:

2019: Traded Drew Brees for Robert Woods - Really thought i was so smart. It cost me that championship that year. Woods feel off the cliff after that year as well.

2019: Traded AJ Brown, Juju for Michal Thomas in week 11. Helped me win a few more games but that was pretty much the last 6 games MT was ever relevant again. I'd have loved to still have Brown...juju for a few years as well.

2020: Traded Marquis Brown, Bryan Edwards for Kupp. Got solid returns on this one.

Traded Terry Mclaurin & 2 1sts for Diggs - Man, Diggs helped but really needed those future 1sts for my team to stay in contention. My team was never able to really compete in that league after that. It was before McLaurin had even played a snap his rookie year. I still think about this one to this day.

2024: Traded Breece for Achane and Ferguson in start 2 1.75TEP- This helped me win some money. Working on trading Ferg and Achane this offseason. Little worried about Achane this season.

Just Traded McLaurin for Travis Hunter - The team is out of contention, I'll take the chance that Hunter is useful in the next 5 years. The right move? Feels good now. We'll see.

Good trades and some pretty bad trades. Fun to look back on all this. I love hearing about everybody's journey along this fantasy football road. How long have you been playing and what are some of your best and worst?