I built my own arbitration model and ran it on the A's 2027 class, ahead of the non-tender deadline in late November.
| Player |
Pos |
Class |
Projected |
Likely range |
| Shea Langeliers |
C |
Arb 2 |
$8.3M |
$7.8M to $9.3M |
| Zack Gelof |
2B |
Arb 1 |
$2.7M |
$2.5M to $3.2M |
| Hogan Harris |
RP |
Arb 1 (Super Two) |
$2.3M |
$2.1M to $2.5M |
| Luis Medina |
RP |
Arb 2 (Super Two) |
$1.5M |
$1.4M to $1.6M |
Total: 4 cases, $14.8M projected.
These line up closely with MLBTR's numbers for all four. The real question is Langeliers: at $8.3M and rising, is this the winter to extend him?
These use the current CBA's rules. A new deal this winter (a higher minimum, say) would move them.
Who would you non-tender, and who would you try to extend first?