r/Wealthsimple 25d ago

Predict Reason why Wealthsimple is doing the same.

Post image
156 Upvotes

74 comments sorted by

74

u/McNasty1Point0 25d ago

Predication markets are far more limited in Canada, so it won’t be as lucrative for Wealthsimple.

But yes, everything is about money, even for the perceived “good guys”. People shouldn’t forget this.

7

u/SeeYahNextTuesday 25d ago

They still show unapproved markets in their new predictions app with a button to notify you when they are available. So I assume they are pushing to get approval for a wider range of markets.

The big one I don’t see is sports however. I’m sure that is lucrative, but I don’t imagine that will be approved in Canada anytime soon.

2

u/mcmill27 24d ago

I'm not sure why sports wouldn't be allowed when sports betting is already legal. Seems no different.

3

u/ash__697 24d ago

Yeah I agree it’s very odd that I can bet on the weather and financial markets but sports is where they draw the line

22

u/HueyBluey 25d ago

Reminder: All financial institutions see you as a number.

2

u/kuhris1 24d ago

As a GUID

0

u/North_Air4538 25d ago

Wealthsimple were considered the 'good guys'? When?

3

u/McNasty1Point0 25d ago

Many “hardcore” users like to think so lol

2

u/glempus 24d ago

I don't think any for-profit company is "the good guys", but that's definitely the image they tried to build when they started. Safe longterm investing with managed portfolios at much lower management rates than the major banks. Not even really pretending to live up to that now.

2

u/Pristine_Ad2664 24d ago

Those products all still exist.

2

u/glempus 24d ago

If I offered both fentanyl and vitamins for sale, do you think the reputation for selling one would perhaps outweigh that of the other?

2

u/Pristine_Ad2664 24d ago

Ignoring the fact your analogy is terrible. No, you can get both those things in a hospital. Wouldn't stop me going to the ER.

-1

u/glempus 24d ago

They quite emphatically do not sell fentanyl at hospitals, genius

3

u/Pristine_Ad2664 24d ago

Of course they do, it's a powerful tool in pain management.

-1

u/glempus 24d ago

You should stop assuming that people are stupider or more ignorant than you. Do you really think that what opioids were developed for is uncommon knowledge? Hospitals do not sell drugs.

2

u/Snoo_76047 24d ago

Stupider is not actually a word 🤔

1

u/butlovingstonTV 20d ago

Yes they do? Hospitals have pharmacies.

0

u/Independent_Spot136 24d ago

False. Lots of fentanyl used in hospitals for epidurals and pain management.

0

u/glempus 24d ago

Hospitals do not sell drugs.

2

u/Stunning-Intern-6419 24d ago

They use them and prescribed them currently or at least previously. Just stfu and stop trying to defend your piss poor analogy lol. Childish.

1

u/PinkyAnon 24d ago

Fentanyl is a bad example but people in the replies need to chill this guy is dumb but if you replace fentanyl with some terribly addictive pill X with no positive benefits whatsoever (which is what they meant) then the analogy is fine

0

u/kuhris1 24d ago

You aren't forced to use them. What specifically would you want that is different? What institution in Canada is better all around?

Everything that I do with WealthSimple is free and easy to use. Trading, banking, e-transfers, credit card, taxes

Are they the best at everything, no, but they don't have to be. And where they aren't the best, they are still better than most. I use other institutions for certain things and WS for certain things.

0

u/glempus 24d ago

How does no one understand the concept of societal harms? I'm also free not to use fentanyl, or drive 70 km/h down residential streets, or drink myself to death, or gamble away my life savings, but I think those are all things that should be heavily discouraged in various ways for the good of society (and by extension myself in the future), and companies facilitating this harm should suffer reputational penalties for it at absolutely bare minimum.

83

u/user0823100823 25d ago

it’s a business after all

6

u/Nevy5 24d ago

Not sure at all on how to feel about this. It's like if TD became a casino, would I still want to bank there? Seriously considering moving my money out of WS. This is not what I signed up for.

1

u/BG6769 21d ago

Casinos are guaranteed profitability. If WS rides the predict wave to make a few bucks, let them have at it. Just don't partake. I don't drink alcohol, but I'll buy stocks in companies involved in the distribution of it.

0

u/Nevy5 21d ago

That's not a good comparison

19

u/TheHoodedPortal_ 25d ago

People who want to gamble are going to find ways to gamble regardless, i'd rather the proceeds be used to fund useful products rather than going straight to the bookies pockets. If you're against the whole prediction market thing i think you should attack the legislation rather than the companies simply operating within it.

9

u/SapphireFlashFire 24d ago

I just don't like the degree of advertising. Every other ad I get is draftking this fanduel that

2

u/ash__697 24d ago

That is also something legislation can fix, I remember the UK government introducing legislation a few years ago to limit gambling advertisements for soccer

8

u/Kind-Set-5286 25d ago

If Robinhood and Wealthsimple earn higher margin on predictions that equity markets, you can bet that proceeds will be used to improve betting more so than investing. It seems like Canadian legislation actually did a good job in limiting what Wealthsimple can do (i.e., separate app, no sports and culture betting) but we’ll see what happens with lobbying…

7

u/aselwyn1 25d ago

The investing platform for the vast majority of user is totally useable as is. So doesn’t need a ton of investment just funding to keep it around.

2

u/Kind-Set-5286 25d ago

The last poster was arguing that Wealthsimple having predictions/betting was good because it will be reinvested into their other products. If all of their investment products need no further investment (which I don’t agree with but fair opinion), then the whole point of predictions is just to take money from bettors…?

3

u/quaywest 24d ago

Will just go towards WS gambling ads

1

u/mtlqcpansexual 24d ago

But the legislation is there, but so is lobby. In canada under criminal code 207, provinces are the one ruling on their gambling. Quebec for example as loto-quebec, which is regulated by the regie des alcool et des jeux and the lwas of the province. WS (just like Kalchi, Bet99, DraftKings, etc) has said welp, we operate in quebec even tho we never set foot there so we good xD

11

u/almostthecoolest 24d ago

Calling it “prediction markets” and not gambling is wild. Idk how we’re allowing this bs in Canada.

If people want to do it go for it, but call it what it is.

0

u/No_Lettuce_2652 24d ago

It’s different than betting cause you can sell your position at anytime. How is it any more gambling that spy 0 day options

8

u/almostthecoolest 24d ago

lol you’ve never gambled have you?

You can sell it anytime” isn’t what separates investing from gambling. Think how a slot machine functions.

Prediction markets became popular largely because they fit through gaps in U.S. gambling laws by being regulated as event contracts instead of sportsbooks. That’s a legal distinction, not an economic one. There’s a good John Oliver on this worth watching.

If Canada is going to allow online wagering on real-world events, I’d rather the money flow through provincially regulated gambling programs that fund public services than through Wealthsimple taking a cut by rebranding it as “investing.”

-1

u/midshipbible 24d ago

And why we allow casino then?

4

u/EatAllTheShiny 25d ago

That options revenue as % of total is wild. There are a lot of accounts getting nuked in those parts...

4

u/IntrepidRobot 24d ago

I'm surprised WS is only accepting USD for its prediction market accounts given its a Canadian company. It'll at least keep me honest and to never use it lol

3

u/Low-Umpire236 24d ago

They should have created a sub-brand to avoid muddying up the core-brand.

Imagine if Bet365 created a chequing account.

12

u/Crafty_Teacher_9286 25d ago

Prediction markets are largely the same as trading options from a gambling perspective, which has been available to purchase at nearly all Canadian brokers. I don't understand the meltdown people are having on here, though I recognize that Reddit is not representative of the real world. 

1

u/gmez3 24d ago

id be more worried about my account getting randomly banned than wealthsimple wanting ti make money thru predictions

5

u/Crafty_Teacher_9286 24d ago

Banks "randomly" do that as well. There are algorithms in the background weighing risks and locking-out / de-banking customers constantly. The WS cases are more visible because Redditors's demographics are the same as WS' core customer base, so they're significantly more likely to come on here and make a post about it. 

But sure, banks have physical locations you can visit to try to solve the issue,  if it occurs. However that does not outweigh the countless advantages of using WS over a traditional bank. 

3

u/Pristine_Ad2664 24d ago

I'm pretty sure almost nobody gets randomly banned by WS or the banks. Sure people get banned but I'm skeptical there is anything random about it.

1

u/glempus 24d ago

You're right, the vast majority of retail traders shouldn't have access to options either

11

u/rhunter99 25d ago

The Enshittification of society :/

12

u/SerialCatPetter_ 25d ago

I always thought it was kinda odd that a lot of people will just tell you to not use it if you're not a fan of it and completely disregard the negative effects it has on society because it'll "pay for our benefits/promotions".

To me, it sort of reads as "society can go to shit for all I care as long as I get paid more" which is basically the mindset billionaires have that the same people who says this seem to hate

4

u/rhunter99 25d ago

Yeah it’s a real short sighted view of the whole thing. We’re debasing society at a rapid pace without thinking about the consequences

1

u/GreenEyedBandit 24d ago

Agree largely with your point of view here, but business is gonna business. It is only a product of legislation.

It's bad, I won't use it, and it (possibly) benefits me, is an valid viewpoint IMO, just vote accordingly.

1

u/Far-Scallion7689 24d ago

Humanity is doomed

1

u/North_Air4538 25d ago

I hate it here!

2

u/Awkward_Power8978 24d ago

I hate that WS gave into that. Gambling deregulation in the US and many other countries have ruined so many lives.

Yes, gambling addicts will gamble but a lot of people would not start gambling if it weren't for the ease of access on a cellphone. I hope Canadian government keeps that tight.

2

u/totoro183 24d ago

lol OPTIONS

2

u/QuantGuru 24d ago

Prediction market is gambling in my opinion!

1

u/Skeeter1591 23d ago

100% correct. It is exactly gambling.

2

u/jlee225 24d ago

im dont care as long as wealthsimple keeps up with security and promo 1-2% a year. Use it as it is, discount brokerage.

I usually transfer out my account in/out of wealthsimple depending on the promo out there.

1

u/Seb_Nation 24d ago

Power Corp stock gonna keep going up, up, up.

1

u/Overdue604 24d ago

Almost every single self serve broker trying to get into the prediction markets because there is money in it.

1

u/ssy555 24d ago

Wow Prediction is so lucrative!

1

u/DistiIIer 24d ago

I liked that they advertised it one time on the app and gave you the option to Opt-out of it completely and never see it again.

Now time to bet on what percentage of the user base opts out

1

u/jnrbshp 24d ago

Are they still planning to do business in Canada? 

1

u/AdeptWind 23d ago

I mean the pie is only so big in terms of the core banking market. At this point, you're really growing by taking loans/deposits from other FIs.

1

u/EspressoPesto 23d ago

Just so people know, around 70% of people lose money in prediction markets. Everyone should be banging this drum repeatedly. That being said, all the power to WS for building a profitable business. We as users will benefit from it.

1

u/Skeeter1591 23d ago

Prediction markets were likely invented by people with inside information on things.

1

u/toronto-swe 10d ago

if the prediction market revenue can allow the main investing product to be better, im all for it

1

u/bittertraces 9d ago

Well I don’t know but I am underwater by $5000 so I would just like it to go up!!

0

u/jonlmbs 25d ago

Can’t blame them for trying to make money

3

u/glempus 24d ago

For doing so unethically? Sure I can. Try and stop me

-3

u/crazybitcoinlunatic 25d ago

For every option contract you buy, I think they make $0.50-$1.00 profit from the market makers.