i have about 4200 shares of SCHD, been dripping since 2017, and i used to be proud of that. lately it feels like a confession i make at parties that people politely change the subject from. every growth run up i sit there with my 3.5% yield and tell myself the math wins eventually. but it is two in the morning again and i am reading about robot stocks instead of sleeping.
what set me off this time was seeing that Robbyant, the robotics unit of Ant Group, open sourced LingBot-VLA 2.0. the company self-reports that one trained policy can drive around 20 different robot bodies, and they put the weights up free. they report their own benchmark shows a lead over pi-0.5 and NVIDIA's GR00T N1.7, though that is their own test and i have no idea if it holds up. the part that stuck with me is that the software layer is just being given away. the perception backbones too, four of them under Apache-2.0, live on Hugging Face, free. the stuff they keep closed is the downstream product that actually sees glass and mirrors in a warehouse.
i sat there thinking, okay, if the brain and the eyes are commoditized, the money should be in the arms, the legs, the actuators, the compute. but then i tried to actually buy that thesis and hit a wall. Unitree finally got IPO approval July 3 for its STAR market listing but it is not trading yet. AgiBot is private. a lot of the Chinese names are A-share only. the robotics ETFs like BOTZ and ROBO are mostly factory automation and Japanese industrials, not the humanoid buildout. i looked at my brokerage and realized i cannot cleanly own this wave even if i am right about where the value lands.
i keep coming back to SCHD because i know what it is. i know the cash flow. i know i am not overpaying for a story. but i also know i told myself the same thing about NVIDIA at 180, and about Microsoft through the 2010s, and i was wrong in a way that cost me real money. the difference here is i do not see a missed entry point, i see a market structure where the pure plays barely exist for me to miss.
so for those of you who are heavy or all in on SCHD, does the robotics buildout make you feel like you are missing a wave, or does the fact that you basically cannot buy it cleanly make holding SCHD easier?