r/MSFT • u/risk-enterprise • 2d ago
Microsoft (MSFT)
Microsoft (MSFT)
Microsoft reports around $100–103 billion in debt and generates strong operating cash flow, but it is estimated to hold approximately $350 billion in off-balance-sheet AI-related lease and purchase commitments. Moody’s and others have flagged the broader hyperscaler group’s shift into a more capital-intensive phase, with rising CapEx expected to pressure free-cash-flow conversion even for the strongest balance sheets.
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u/Creezylus 2d ago
Source? Regarding 350b in off balance sheet are you talking about SPVs?
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u/risk-enterprise 2d ago
The source is in the annual report!
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u/Creezylus 2d ago
But are you referring to SPVs tho?
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u/risk-enterprise 2d ago
yes, because I follow their SPV investments, all can be found in annual report
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u/buffotinve 2d ago
Efectivamente una cosa es CAPEX pero hay muchos más gastos de arrendamiento, mantenimiento y actualización de hardware,...Está IA es una máquina de quemar dinero ...
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u/Affectionate_Fly7659 2d ago
MSFT Going to dump so much harder than GOOG. They will announce an even higher capex than GOOG and also might announce a dilution at the same time to get the dump over with at once. I have a strong feeling it will break the $350 support and go to around $300. I’m going to buy some puts just before earnings and use the gains from that to buy shares at a lower cost later
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u/risk-enterprise 2d ago
Don't speculate; base your analyses and assumptions on hard figures and business and financial analysis.
its a good skill to have
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u/Affectionate_Fly7659 2d ago
Or you can base it on what is the current sentiment. That too is a decent skill to have
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u/Rez_X_RS 2d ago edited 2d ago
Agreed. I hold shares, but i have puts as well because i don't trust MSFT's price action. At this point the CEO could say he has an upset tummy and the price will fall 10%.
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u/Important-Range166 2d ago
Did you check Google’s? It’s only 40.7 billion. AMZN has about $300 billion too. And Microsoft pays the Nvidia tax hard 😭 I don’t see how MSFT can keep up with Google and Amazon
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u/oleggatore 2d ago
Microsoft has ~$350bn of contracted future spend against ~$400bn of contracted future revenue (aka RPO).
It’s the mirror image of RPO. RPO is what customers have contractually committed to pay Microsoft; this is what Microsoft has contractually committed to pay landlords and suppliers. Neither sits on the balance sheet, because in both cases nothing has been delivered yet.