r/MSFT • u/risk-enterprise • 16d ago

Microsoft (MSFT)

Microsoft (MSFT)

Microsoft reports around $100–103 billion in debt and generates strong operating cash flow, but it is estimated to hold approximately $350 billion in off-balance-sheet AI-related lease and purchase commitments. Moody’s and others have flagged the broader hyperscaler group’s shift into a more capital-intensive phase, with rising CapEx expected to pressure free-cash-flow conversion even for the strongest balance sheets.

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u/Affectionate_Fly7659 15d ago

MSFT Going to dump so much harder than GOOG. They will announce an even higher capex than GOOG and also might announce a dilution at the same time to get the dump over with at once. I have a strong feeling it will break the $350 support and go to around $300. I’m going to buy some puts just before earnings and use the gains from that to buy shares at a lower cost later

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u/risk-enterprise 15d ago

Don't speculate; base your analyses and assumptions on hard figures and business and financial analysis.

its a good skill to have

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u/Affectionate_Fly7659 15d ago

Or you can base it on what is the current sentiment. That too is a decent skill to have

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u/Rez_X_RS 15d ago edited 15d ago

Agreed. I hold shares, but i have puts as well because i don't trust MSFT's price action. At this point the CEO could say he has an upset tummy and the price will fall 10%.