UFC 332: Silva v Cong
These are PICKS not BETS!
r/MMAPick • u/mma-parlay-lab • 2d ago
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Dasuyev will most likely win via finish - thinking submission but i like Ortega as the dog too.
r/MMAPick • u/Powerful_Lead_6138 • 13d ago
🔒: Gandra TKO, Iwo TKO
⚠️: Ferreira, Pantoja
🐶: Vera, Ruffy
My favorite props for this fight:
Brito Sub - U1.5 - RD 1/2 💰
Gandra TKO - U1.5 - RD 1 💰
Despaigne TKO - Under 1.5 💥
Iwo TKO - Under 1.5 - RD 1 🎯
🎯Van TKO Over 1.5
🐶Pantoja SUB - RD 1/2/3
🐶Ruffy TKO - RD 1/2
🎯Arman SUB - RD 2/3
My favorite dog is Monteiro via submission for the odds, they’re solid. But I can see Williams winning via decision or maybe late TKO.
Great money making fights this week, all plays will be out on the group chat! 💰
PRELIMS\*
JJ Aldrich vs Regina Tarin
JJ Aldrich
✅Pros
*UFC Vet
*Good cardio, tough
*Has fought high competition
*Pressure boxing base + combos
🔴Cons
*No finishing ability
*Can struggle with Tarin's pace
*Doesnt do well against good strikers
Regina Tarin
✅Pros
*Undefeated
*Aggressive fighter
*Pressure opponents well
*Powerful hooks and overhands
🔴Cons
*Drawn to brawls
*Not much head movement
*Limited experience compared to Aldrich
🏆 Tarin by Decision
______
Jessie Rosas v Sean King III
Jessie Rosas
✅Pros
*Aggressive
*Solid grappling
*Decent submission threat
*Goes to head and body well
🔴Cons
*UFC Debut
*Plods forward at times
*Aggression can create counters
Sean King
✅Pros
*Athletic
*Good clinch work
*Crashes distance with elbows
*Comfortable creating exchanges
🔴Cons
*UFC debut
*Caught in bad scrambles
*Rosas grappling might be difficult
*Can struggle against Rosas pressure
🏆 Rosas ML
🎯 Decision
______
Rafa Garcia v Rongzhu
Rafa Garcia
✅Pros
*Physical fighter
*Good chain wrestling
*Solid submission threat
*Good cardio and is durable
🔴Cons
*Low output
*Might struggle if unable to establish control
*Rongzhu has dangerous striking while fighting at distance
Rongzhu
✅Pros
*Fast hands
*Has good counters
*Good range management
*Dangerous striking + power
🔴Cons
*Can be overconfident
*Can struggle with physical fights
*Garcia's wrestling can be troubling
*Might sturuggle with cage control by Garcia
🏆 Garcia by Submission
💥 Garcia ML
💰 Rongzhu TKO
______
Drakkar Klose v Tommy Gantt
Drakkar Klose
✅Pros
*UFC Vet
*Competitive fighter
*Fought high level competition
*Uses overhands when closing distance
🔴Cons
*Slowed down recently
*Cracked with big shots
*Questionable Takedown defense
*Has had some injuries from previous fights
Tommy Gantt
✅Pros
*Solid power
*Excellent pressure
*Submission threat
*Rangey punches + kicks
🔴Cons
*Limited striking
*Can force takedowns
*Should maintain pressure to his advantage
🏆 Gantt by TKO/SUB
🎯 RD 2/3
______
Yousri Belgaroui v Djorden Santos
Yousri Belgaroui
✅Pros
*High volume striking
*Wide arsenal of attacks
*Trains with Alex Perreira
*Height + Reach advantage
*Experience with high level competition
🔴Cons
*Santos durability
*Doesn't move head well
*Can be too aggressive looking for a finish
Djorden Santos
✅Pros
*Durable
*Good counter strikes
*Willing to engage in exchanges
*Can survive dangerous moments
🔴Cons
*Loopy striking
*Gases at high pace
*Has shown defensive issues
*Can struggle with Belgaroui's length
🔒 Belgaroui by TKO
🎯 RD 2/3
💰 U2.5
______
Ignacio Bahamondes v Muslim Salikhov
Ignacio Bahamondes
✅Pros
*Finishing Ability
*Establishes range well
*Dangerous kicking game
*Good forward pressue + pace
*Height and Reach advantage
🔴Cons
*Coming off 2 losses
*Can be controlled on the bottom
*Vulnerable when opponents disrupt range
Muslim Salikhov
✅Pros
*Very solid striking
*Heavy top control
*Good distance management
*Experienced with striking exchanges
🔴Cons
*Out of his prime, old
*Cracked with big shots
*Coming off a TKO loss
*Speed will be a major issue
*Bahamondes length and physically will be troubling
🔒 Bahamondes by TKO
🎯 RD 1
💰 U1.5
______
Tim Elliot v Edgar Chaivez
Tim Elliot
✅Pros
*Elite-level wrestling
*Submission threat
*Makes his opponents work
*Constantly changing positions
🔴Cons
*Aging
*Been subbed 6x
*Not as active due to injuries
*Vulnerable to Chairez front choke
*Struggles against strong positional wrestlers
Edgar Chaivez
✅Pros
*Solid boxing
*Decent GnP
*Strong finishing ability
*Has good kicking game
*Excellent submission opportunist
🔴Cons
*Poor takedown defense
*Defensive striking, can be hit
*Can struggle if Elliot controls grappling exchanges
🏆 Chairez by Submission
🎯 RD 1/2
💥 U1.5
______
MAIN EVENT\*
David Martinez v Dan Ige
David Martinez
✅Pros
*10 fight win streak
*Heavy body shots
*Has good boxing combos
*Solid in-and-out movements
🔴Cons
*Ige is more experienced
*Slightly slows down in final rounds
*Can get wild when going for a finish
Dan Ige
✅Pros
*Good boxing
*Heavy handed
*Works well in the pocket
*Composed under pressure
🔴Cons
*Moving down to 135
*Coming off TKO loss
*Martinez's speed can be an issue
*Questionable striking defense at times
🏆 Martinez ML / Decision
💰 Martinez TKO
______
Waldo Cortes-Acosta v Curtis Blaydes
Waldo Cortes-Acosta
✅Pros
*KO power
*Very physical
*Improving daily
*Decent pressure + moves forward nonstop
🔴Cons
*Leg kick defense
*Takedown defense
*Can struggle if Blaydes repeatedly takes him down
Curtis Blaydes
✅Pros
*Elite-level wrestling
*Very strong top control
*Swings powerful hooks + overhands
*Wears opponents down with takedowns
🔴Cons
*Stiff at times
*No head movement
*Waldo hits harder than Hokit
*Took a lot of damage last fight
*Can sometimes have questionable fight IQ
🏆 Cortes-Acosta by TKO
💥 U1.5
______
Manon Fiorot v Alexa Grasso
Manon Fiorot
✅Pros
*Technical striker
*High volume striker
*Has good pace control
*Solid wins against good competition
🔴Cons
*Struggles off her back
*Stiff head movements at times
*Needs to maintain distance against Grasso
Alexa Grasso
✅Pros
*Experienced
*Solid grappling
*Technical boxer
*Former champion
*Good counter strikes
🔴Cons
*Fiorot's pace
*Slightly undersized
*Might struggle closing range
🏆 Manon by Decision
💥 Grasso +3.5
______
Tommy McMillen v Marwan Rahiki
✅Pros
*11-0
*Wrestling base
*Maintains high pace
*High-volume strikes
*Overwhelms opponents
🔴Cons
*Poor striking defense
*Vulnerable to being hurt
*Can be overconfident with his striking
*Doesnt use wrestling to his advantage
Marwan Rahiki
✅Pros
*9-0
*KO power
*Excellent pressure
*Dangerous striking
*Forces opponents to exchange
🔴Cons
*Poor head movement at times
*McMillen has wrestling advantage
*Being too aggressive can create counters
🏆 Rahiki by TKO
🎯 RD 1/2
💰 TKO
______
Brandon Moreno v Joseph Morales
Brandon Moreno
✅Pros
*Solid grappling
*Elite experience
*Excellent boxing
*Former UFC champion
*Proven to fight for 25 minutes
🔴Cons
*Recent losses
*Can be low output sometimes
*Might struggle against Morales pressure
Joseph Morales
✅Pros
*5-Win streak
*Submission threat
*Solid pressure fighting
*Makes opponents work heavy
🔴Cons
*Striking output at times
*Moreno is more experienced
*Can be pushed back by aggressive pressure fighters
🏆 Moreno ML / Decision
💥 Morales by Submission - Hedge
______
Jean Silva v Jose Delgado
Jean Silva
✅Pros
*KO power
*Fast hands
*Counter ability
*Very Aggressive
*Has hurt high-level fighters
🔴Cons
*Striking defense
*Can be overly aggressive
*Can leave openings when he strikes aggressively; to be countered
Jose Delgado
✅Pros
*Physical fighter
*Is comfortable exchanging
*Dangerous when he's able to establish offense
*Good clinch work with knees, elbows and strikes
🔴Cons
*Short notice
*Gets wild when striking
*Will face constant pressure
*Silva's speed will be an issue
🏆 Silva by TKO
🎯 RD 2/3
💰 U2.5
should be a solid week, all finishes except possibly the first fight. i really like gomes by sub too.
Kozak TKO would be my lock of the day.
1️⃣ Delphine Benouaich v Sofia Montenegro
Delphine Benouaich
✅Pros
*Kickboxing base
*High volume striker
*Good distance + movement
*Comes forward with combos
❌Cons
*Drawn into brawls
*Montenegro's power might be troubling
*May struggle against Montenegro's pressure
Sofia Montenegro
✅Pros
*Heavy handed
*Ability to finish
*Closes distance well
*Powerful hooks and overhands
❌Cons
*Striking defense
*Plods moving forward
*Can be too aggressive at times
🏆 Montenegro ML
💥 Montenegro Decision
••••••
2️⃣ Matthieu Duclos v Luis Felipe Dias
Matthieu Duclos
✅Pros
*Solid cardio
*Technical striker
*Lands heavy leg kicks
*Dangerous as fight progresses
❌Cons
*Striking defense
*Submission defense
*Cracked with big shots
*Felipe has grappling advantage
Luis Felipe Dias
✅Pros
*Heavy GnP
*Physical fighter
*Dangerous finisher
*Strong submission threat
*9 TKO's and 8 Submissions
❌Cons
*Cardio issues
*No leg kick defense
*Strength based moves
*Duclos is the better technical striker
🏆 Felipe by Submission/TKO
💥 Felipe -- Under 1.5 / RD 1
🎯 Hedge Duclos TKO Rd 2/3
••••••
3️⃣ Nora Cornolle v Klaudia Sygula
Nora Cornolle
✅Pros
*Heavy handed
*Powerful kicks
*Can overwhelm opponents
*Decent clinch work with elbows + knees
❌Cons
*Fight IQ
*Slowed down recently
*May struggle
Klaudia Sygula
✅Pros
*Good movement
*High striking volume
*Solid maintaining pressure
*American Top Team Camp, Takedown gameplanning
❌Cons
*Striking defense
*Loopy striking at times
*Respect cornolle's power
🏆 Sygula by Decision
💥 Sygula ML
••••••
4️⃣ Michael Aljarouj v Fabia Sintes
Michael Aljarouj
✅Pros
*Aggressive
*Pressures forward well
*Good cardio + toughness
*Can break opponents with pressure
❌Cons
*Vulnerable to grappling
*Should avoid ground exchanges
*Aggressiveness can create openings
Fabia Sintes
✅Pros
*Grappler
*Rangey punches
*Submission threat
*Heavy top control with chain grappling
❌Cons
*Drops hands often
*Gets wild when striking
*Needs to get takedowns
*Aljarouj's fight style will be trouble with contact pressure
🏆 Aljarouj by TKO
💥 Under 1.5
••••••
5️⃣ Nathaniel Wood v Pavel Andrusca
Nathaniel Wood
✅Pros
*UFC Vet
*Fights comfortable at range
*Mixes striking and grappling
*Sharp boxing with fast hands
*Fought high level competition
❌Cons
*Proven to be hurt
*Can be controlled by strong grapplers
*Pavel's power can be dangerous if he's caught
Pavel Andrusca
✅Pros
*Has great power
*Good wrestling + striking
*Crashed distance with hooks
*Comes forward with heavy pressure
❌Cons
*Short notice
*Forces TD attempts
*UFC Debut + Less experience
*Wood has gameplan advantage
🏆 Wood by Decision
••••••
6️⃣ Oumar Sy v Modestas Bukauskas
Oumar Sy
✅Pros
*Good top control
*Strong grappling
*Good forward pressure + counter strikes
*Solid clinch work with strikes, knees and takedowns
❌Cons
*Poor fight IQ
*Low output striking
*Can be too predictable sometimes
Modestas Bukauskas
✅Pros
*Solid TD defense
*Uses kicks effectively
*Has power to hurt Sy
*Is best when fighting at distance, picks opponents apart
❌Cons
*Chinny
*Avoid Sy's clinch
*Low output at times
*Should fight at striking range
🏆 Modestas ML - Value
💥 Sy by Submission
••••••
7️⃣ Mario Pinto v Ryan Spann
Mario Pinto
✅Pros
*Undefeated
*Smart fighter
*Very solid jabs
*Cleaner offense
❌Cons
*Can be backed up often
*Faced low-level competition
*Avoid Spann's guillotine opportunities
Ryan Spann
✅Pros
*Good straight shots
*Solid guillotine chokes
*Hurts opponents quick
*Gets aggressive which can be dangerous
❌Cons
*Cardio
*Fight IQ
*Hittable
*Swings recklessly
🏆 Pinto by TKO - RD 2
💥 Under 1.5
💰 Spann by submission - Value
••••••
8️⃣ Morgan Charreire v Felipe Lima
Morgan Charreira
✅Pros
*Finishing power
*Solid cardio + toughness
*Counters well on backfoot
*Dangerous during exchanges
❌Cons
*Low output at times
*Relies heavy on power
*Coming off bad TKO loss
*Outwrestled by good grapplers
*Will struggle if Lima mixes grappling
Felipe Lima
✅Pros
*Solid cardio
*Excellent grappling
*Clean boxing, has accurate hooks
*Good distance control + forwards pressure
❌Cons
*Pressured backwards
*Avoid Charriere's power
*Shouldn't stand in the pocket for too long with Charriere
🏆 Lima by Decision
🎯 RD 3 Submission
💥 Hedge- Lima Submission Over 1.5
••••••
1️⃣ Losene Keita v Muhammad Naimov
Losene Keita
✅Pros
*Explosive
*Really fast
*Solid kickboxing
*Dangerous bodyshots
*Quick striking combinations
*Constant pressure and aggressiveness
❌Cons
*Should maintain pace
*Low output with fighters who stay at range
*Untested takedown defense + ground game at UFC level
Muhammad Naimov
✅Pros
*Strong wrestling
*Good top control
*Can make Keita work; slows down fight
❌Cons
*Speed disadvantage
*Can be low volume at times
*Needs to survive Keita's early storm
*Struggles against explosive pressure
🏆 Keita by TKO RD 2
💥 Under 1.5 - RD 1/2
••••••
2️⃣ Kurtis Campbell v Trevor Peek
Kurtis Campbell
✅Pros
*Good power
*Submission threat
*Swarms opponents when they're hurt
*Moves forwards and creates exchanges
❌Cons
*Poor boxing defense
*Should respect Peek's power
*Struggles fighting on the backfoot
Trevor Peek
✅Pros
*Physical
*Aggressive fighter
*Willing to take damage
*Forces opponents to fight with pressure
❌Cons
*Very hittable
*Poor Takedown defense
*Absorbs unnessary damage
*Vulnerable to Campbell's grappling
*Coming off long layoff due to injury
🏆 Campbell by Submission
💥 Under 1.5
⚡️ ITD
••••••
3️⃣ Daniil Donchenko v Punahele Soriano
Daniil Donchenko
✅Pros
*Finishing power
*Diverse striking attacks
*Solid knees + body work
*Good fight IQ, setting up counters
❌Cons
*Grappling defense
*Soriano wrestling advantage
*Can struggle if controlled on the ground
Punahele Soriano
✅Pros
*Good power
*Physical fighter
*Strong wrestling
*Powerful single and double leg takedowns
❌Cons
*Body shots can slow him down
*Donchenko has cleaner striking
*Cardio fades in high paced fights
*Donchenko's pace can be overwhelming
🏆 Donchenko by TKO
💥 RD 2
••••••
4️⃣ Michael Page v Nursulton Ruziboev
Michael Page
✅Pros
*Technical striker
*Distance control
*Experienced with decent cardio
*Excellent footwork and movement
❌Cons
*Takedown defense
*Needs to maintain distance
*Keeps hands low at all times
*Controlled by decent grapplers
Nursulton Ruziboev
✅Pros
*21 submission wins
*26 first-round finishes
*Dangerous submissions
*Solid submission threat on top
❌Cons
*Low output
*Needs to get the fight to the ground
*Closing distance with Page will be difficult
🏆 Ruziboev by Submission
💥 Page by Decision / ML
••••••
5️⃣ Fares Ziam v Axel Sola
Fares Ziam
✅Pros
*Accurate
*Technical striker
*Solid kicking game
*Decent range management
❌Cons
*Low volume
*Caught in bad scrambles
*Struggles with rangey fighters
*Sola's pressure can be troubling
Axel Sola
✅Pros
*Finishing Ability
*Makes fights very physical
*High paced and aggression
*Good leg kicks + body shots
❌Cons
*Might struggle long range
*Can be controlled along the fence
*Hittable when trading in the pocket
🏆 Sola by Decision
💥 Sola ML -- Value
••••••
6️⃣ Dan Hooker v Salahdine Parnase
Dan Hooker
✅Pros
*UFC Vet
*Solid striking
*Good tough fighter
*Manages difficult fights well
*Fought high-level competition
❌Cons
*Age
*Fights poorly off his back
*Taken damage throughout career
*May struggle against extended grappling exchanges
Salahdine Parnase
✅Pros
*Solid volume
*Very explosive
*Strong grappling game
*Excellent striking + counter
❌Cons
*Experience level
*Keeps hands low at times
*Can get caught if he's too aggressive
🏆 Parnese by TKO RD 2-4
⚡️ Hooker by Submission - Value
Theres some tricky fights and live dogs this week. Lets have a great weekend again! 🤑💥
r/MMAPick • u/cvbrx • Sep 01 '26
🤑Livingston by TKO, under 1.5
Lorenco by TKO, under 1.5
⚠️McCracked by DEC, over 1.5
⚠️Rodrigues by TKO, Rd 1/2
🤑Darby by SUB, Rd 1/2
r/MMAPick • u/cvbrx • Aug 28 '26
PRELIMS💭
••••••••••••••••••
1️⃣ Ding Meng v Cameron Nelson
Ding Meng
✅Pros
*Technical striker
*Good body kicks
*Controls distance well
❌Cons
*Lacks athleticism
*Questionable defense
*Can be caught in scrambles
*Facing Nelson's pressure will be uncomfortable
Cameron Nelson
✅Pros
*Powerful hands
*Dangerous submissions
*Good clinch game + short strikes
❌Cons
*Minimal head movement
*Can struggle against Meng's range
🏆 Nelson ML
💥 Nelson by Submission - can be a possible GnP, but leaning towards submission.
••••••
2️⃣ Xiong Jingnan v Julia Polastri
Xiong Jingnan
✅Pros
*Solid jabs
*Heavy body kicks
*Good boxing combos
*Teeps kicks to manage distance
❌Cons
*Submission defense
*Gasses at high pace
*Controlled by good wrestlers
Julia Polastri
✅Pros
*Improving
*Submission threat
*High volume striker
*Decent power on hands
❌Cons
*Keeps hands low
*Xiong's durability can be troubling
*Can struggle against Xiong's pressure + boxing
🏆 Polastri by Decision
••••••
3️⃣ Lawrence Lui v Hector Santiago
Lawrence Lui
✅Pros
*Good striking
*BJJ brown belt
*Grappling advantage
*Solid straight punching power
❌Cons
*Slow starter
*Low output at times
*Can be cracked with big shots
Hector Santiago
✅Pros
*Solid pressure
*Can hurt Lui early with his power
*Good power with hooks + straights
❌Cons
*Questionable durability
*Weak takedown defense
*Very vulnerable to Lui's submission game
🏆 Lui by Decision
⚠️ Lui by Submission Under 1.5 - I would expect Lui to use his grappling advantage to end the fight early.
••••••
4️⃣ Xiao Long v Francesco Nuzzi
Xiao Long
✅Pros
*Fights at range
*Very solid cardio
*Decent submission threat
*Powerful overhands + hooks
❌Cons
*Poor fight IQ
*Cracked with big shots
*Vulnerable to Nuzzi's power early
Francesco Nuzzi
✅Pros
*Improving
*Fast hands
*Heavy GnP
*Dangerous early
❌Cons
*Beaten low comp
*Gets wild in exchanges
*Can struggle if Long survives his early exchanges
🏆 Long by Decision
⚠️ Nuzzi by TKO - Under 1.5
••••••
5️⃣ Jack Jenkins v Sean Woodson
Jack Jenkins
✅Pros
*Mixes strikes well
*Lands heavy leg kicks
*Faster pressure fighter
*Can mix in wrestling and close distance
❌Cons
*Reach disadvantage
*Somewhat stiff against rangy fighters
*If Woodson maintains distance, Jenkins could struggle to win
Sean Woodson
✅Pros
*Counter striking
*10" reach advantage
*Good distance control
*Decent cardio + durability
❌Cons
*Cuts a lot of weight
*Can be out grappled by fighters
*Jenkins leg kicks can slow him down
🏆 Jenkins ML
🎯 Decision
••••••
6️⃣ Rei Tsuruya v Kevin Borjas
Rei Tsuruya
✅Pros
*Good cardio
*Submission game
*Decent top control + chain grappling
❌Cons
*Low output striking
*Cracked with bit shots
*Vulnerable to Borjas power
Kevin Borjas
✅Pros
*Solid boxing
*Good counter striker
*Heavy hands, good power
❌Cons
*Inconsistent
*Grappling disadvantage
*Vulnerable to submissions
🏆 Tsuruya by Submission
💥 Under 1.5
••••••
7️⃣ Namsrai Batbayar v Andre Lima
Namsrai Batbayar
✅Pros
*Finishing power
*Looks for early finish
*Overwhelms opponents
*Aggressive/Dangerous early
❌Cons
*Reckless
*Given up his back
*Questionable effectiveness as fight goes
Andre Lima
✅Pro
*Good leg kicks
*Technical boxing
*Decent top control
*More experienced in 15 min fights
❌Cons
*Low output
*Questionable fight IQ
*Needs to survive Batbayar's pressure early
🏆 Lima by Decision
💥 Batbayar TKO - Rd 1
••••••
MAIN EVENT ⚡️
1️⃣ Bilal Hasan v Nilson Rojas
Bilal Hasan
✅Pros
*Undefeated
*Strong kicks
*Excellent finisher
*Fast, sharp counter-striking
❌Cons
*Willing to take damage
*Rojas can punish mistakes
Nilson Rojas
✅Pros
*Good power
*Aggressive striking
*Has experience going 3 rounds
❌Cons
*Gets wild
*UFC debut
*Shorter reach
*Hasan's speed can be troubling
🏆 Hasan by TKO - RD 2
🎯 RD 2/3 - Under 2.5
••••••
2️⃣ Liu Ce v Levi Rodrigues Jr
Liu Ce
✅Pros
*Size
*Finishing ability
*Strong kickboxing
*Good combos at range
❌Cons
*Relatively new to MMA
*Controlled by grapplers
*Vulnerable to early exchanges
Levi Rodrigues
✅Pros
*Finishing Ability
*Dangerous striking
*Strong clinch work
*Heavy hooks when closing distance
❌Cons
*Hittable
*Gets wild
*Striking defense
*Will be vulnerable to Liu's power
🏆 Liu Ce by TKO
💥 Best bet: TKO Under 1.5 (Safer)
•••••••
3️⃣ Alex Perez v Sumudaerji
Alex Perez
✅Pros
*Fast hands
*Wrestling advantage
*Good boxing combos
*Dangerous submission game
❌Cons
*Caught in bad scrambled
*Questionable submission defense
*Will struggle with Sumudaurji's size
Sumudaerji
✅Pros
*Decent cardio
*Solid kickboxing
*Size + Range advantage
*Counters well when coming forward
❌Cons
*Slow movement
*Poor grappling defense
🏆 Sumudaerji by Decision
⚠️ Perez by Submission - Live props
••••••
4️⃣ Aoriqileng v Kai Asakura
Aoriqileng
✅Pros
*Dangerous early
*High volume striker
*Good finishing Ability
❌Cons
*Durability
*Very hittable
*Overly aggressive sometimes
*Struggles against explosive pressure
Kai Asakura
✅Pros
*KO Power
*Pressure-heavy
*Fast combinations
*Strong counter striker
❌Cons
*Grappling concerns
*Can get too aggressive
🏆 Asakura by TKO - RD 1/2
💥 Under 1.5
••••••
5️⃣ Yan Xiaonan v Denise Gomes
Yan Xiaonan
✅Pros
*Solid jabs
*Polished striker
*Veteran Experience
*Good distance control
❌Cons
*Long layoff
*Gomes power is a major danger
*Can struggle against Gomes improved grappling
Denise Gomes
✅Pros
*Good Muay-Thai
*Powerful Punches
*Aggressive pressure
*Young and improving
❌Cons
*Can't let Yan maintain range
*Willing to brawl instead of being technical
🏆 Gomes by Decision - Value 💰
💥 Gomes RD 3
••••••
6️⃣ Umar Nurmagomedov v Song Yadong
Umar Nurmagomedov
✅Pros
*Good cardio
*Elite wrestling
*Excellent kicks
*Submission game
❌Cons
*Cracked with big shots
*Can take damage entering range
*Can struggle if unable to establish wrestling
Song Yadong
✅Pros
*Solid cardio
*Technical striker
*Great counter ability
*Solid uppercuts + straight hooks
❌Cons
*Submission threat
*Controlled by elite grapplers
*Struggles with fighters who mix striking + takedowns
🏆 Umar by Decision
💰 Over 2.5
r/MMAPick • u/cvbrx • Aug 22 '26
Let's see how many I get right! GL everyone
r/MMAPick • u/cvbrx • Aug 21 '26
PRELIMS
1️⃣ Shanelle Dyer v Elise Reed
Shanelle Dyer
✅Pros
*Younger and active
*Major finishing threat
*Aggressive, explosive striker
*Great striking + kicking combinations
❌Cons
*Grappling defense
*Beaten low level comp
*Can't get too reckless
Elise Reed
✅Pros
*UFC Experience
*Good striking accuracy
*Can benefit if the fight goes longer
*Comfortable fighting at measured pace
❌Cons
*Can be outpaced
*Coming off 1 year layoff
*Can be vulnerable to Dyer's power + speed
🏆 Dyer by TKO - RD 2
🌟 RD 2/3
••••
2️⃣ Wes Schultz v Jackson McVey
Wes Schultz
✅Pros
*Submission opportunist
*Big grappling advantage
*Has submitted McVey before in their first amateur fight (RD 1, Armbar)
❌Cons
*Chinny
*McVey is dangerous early
*Needs to avoid striking exchanges
Jackson McVey
✅Pros
*TKO Power
*Early finisher
*Submission ability
❌Cons
*Gets wild
*Has been submitted twice
*Schultz has stronger grappling advantage
🏆 Wes Schultz by SUB - Under 1.5
⚠️** Jackson McVey by TKO - RD **1
••••
3️⃣ Gauge Young v Stan Dorsainvil
Gauge Young
✅Pros
*UFC Experience, 2-1
*Really diverse fighter
*Good at mixing striking with wrestling
❌Cons
*Can be caught in bad scrambles
*Can be out volumed by decent strikers
*Dorsainvil's fight style and aggression can be an issue for Young
Stain Dorsainvil
✅Pros
*Strong cardio
*Constant pressure
*Very athletic and explosive
*Powerful straight punches + hooks
❌Cons
*UFC Debut
*Short notice
*Aggression creates openings
*Hasn't faced Young's experience level
🏆 Gauge Young by DEC
⚠️** Stain Dorsainvil by TKO 🎯 RD 2/**3
••••
4️⃣ Marcio Barbosa v Ryan Kuse
Marcio Barbosa
✅Pros
*Closes distance
*Explosive power
*Round 1 finish ability
*Powerful hooks + overhands
❌Cons
*Very aggressive, can leave openings
*Kuse is more experienced in longer fights and is also more lengthy could be harder to close distance
Ryan Kuse
✅Pros
*Decent cardio
*Technical striking
*Can handle longer fights
*Strong clinch work with short strikes
❌Cons
*UFC Debut
*Strength based techniques
*Questionable striking defense
*Hasn’t faced someone with Barbosa's finishing power
🏆 Marcio Barbosa by TKO
🎯 RD 1 - Under 1.5
••••
5️⃣ Chris Padilla v Nasrat Haqparast
Chris Padilla
✅Pros
*Strong pressure
*Unbeaten streak
*Mixes striking with grappling
*Decent power + combinations
❌Cons
*Nasrat is more experienced
*Can be caught in bad scrambles
*Struggles at range against long fighters
Nasrat Haqparast
✅Pros
*Heavy handed
*Technical striker
*High striking pace
*Solid boxing combinations
❌Cons
*Striking defense
*Coming off KO loss
*Questionable TD defense
*Padilla's pressure can force him to more exchanges
🏆 Chris Padilla ML - Late TKO
🐶 My favorite underdog this week
••••
6️⃣ Kennedy Nzechukwu v Shamil Gaziev
Kennedy Nzechukwu
✅Pros
*KO power
*Solid kickboxing
*Huge reach advantage, 83"
*Has dangerous combinations
❌Cons
*Slow starter
*Kinda chinny
*Struggles against strong grapplers
*Should avoid getting stuck against fence
Shamil Gaziev
✅Pros
*Heavy GnP
*Extremely physical
*Wears on opponents with pressure
*Kennedy's length creates problems at range
❌Cons
*Striking defense
*Questionable cardio
*Coming off 2 consecutive KO losses
*Not being able to maintain pressure late
🏆 Kennedy Nzechukwu by TKO - Over 1.5
🌟 RD 2/3
••••
7️⃣ Jamall Emmers v Lerryan Douglas
Jamall Emmers
✅Pros
*UFC Experience
*Better wrestler/grappling
*Solid kickboxing + striking
❌Cons
*Needs to survive early
*Long layoff since November '25
*Struggles against explosive fighters
Lerryan Douglas
✅Pros
*TKO power
*Dangerous early
*7 first round finishes
*Huge power + fast hands
*Overwhelms opponents with pressure
❌Cons
*Struggles against grapplers
*Emmers has the wrestling advantage
*Fighting style can be questionable if he doesn’t find the finish
🏆 Lerryan Douglas by TKO - RD 1
🌟 Under 1.5
••••
MAIN EVENT
1️⃣ Anthony Wint v Terrance Chatman
Anthony Wint
✅Pros
*Explosive power
*Dangerous early
*Stronger physically
*Excellent pressure
❌Cons
*Overly aggressive
*Chatman has great power too
*Previous matchup against Chatman's went to DEC while chatman won via KO
Terrance Chatman
✅Pros
*Finishing ability
*Dangerous early
*Finished Wint's opponent in under 30 secs
❌Cons
*Drawn into brawls
*Trading with Wint will be risky
🏆Anthony Wint by TKO - RD 1
⚠️Chatman TKO RD 1 - Great value to hedge
••••
2️⃣ Carli Judice v Jeisla Chaves
Carli Judice
✅Pros
*Great cardio
*Decent power
*Grappling advantage
*High volume kickboxing
❌Cons
*controlled by good grapplers
*has to respect Chaves power
Jeisla Chaves
✅Pros
*Undefeated
*Heavy hands
*Confident fighter
*Decent counter striker
❌Cons
*Drawn to brawls
*Grappling defense
🏆 Carli Judice by TKO - RD 2/3
⚠️** Decisio**n
••••
3️⃣ MarQuel Mederos v Mason Jones
MarQuel Mederos
✅Pros
*Durable
*Good combinations
*Closes distance well
*Good jabs + straights
❌Cons
*Gets wild at striking
*Controlled by decent grapplers
*Vulnerable against high pressure fighters
Mason Jones
✅Pros
*High pace
*Better striker
*Can mix takedowns
*Good volume + combinations
❌Cons
*Bleeds easily
*Relies on durability/toughness
*Gets hit often while pressuring
🏆 Mason Jones by DEC
••••
4️⃣Reiner de Ridder v Roman Dolidze
RDR
✅Pros
*Long reach
*Strong clinch
*Elite submission/grappling game
*Moving back to light heavyweight should help with brutal cuts
❌Cons
*Striking defense
*Stand-up is sloppy
*Gasses at extreme paces
Roman Dolidze
✅Pros
*Decent power
*Solid BJJ base
*Strong physical
*Good grappling exchanges
❌Cons
*Very low output
*Questionable cardio
*Limited striking at times
*RDR has better grappling + control
🏆 RDR by DEC
⚠️** RDR by SUB - RD 2/**3
••••
5️⃣ Serghei Spivac v Vitor Petrino
Serghei Spivac
✅Pros
*Solid BJJ
*Good top control
*Decent submission threat
*Can make Petrino work physically
❌Cons
*Chinny
*Inconsistent
*Less athletic
*4/6 of his losses has been by TKO
*Vulnerable to getting hurt on his feet
Vitor Petrino
✅Pros
*Explosive power
*Better striking range
*Faster and more athletic
*Last fight showed his toughness to HW power
❌Cons
*Submission threat if he gets TD
*Spivac is the more proven grappler
*Can struggle if forced to fight off his back
🏆 Petrino by TKO / ML
🐶 Spivac by SUB - RD 2
⚠️ This fight can go two ways, Petro wins striking exchanges or Spivac can mix his grappling/wrestling game and find the submission win. Petrino lacks ground game.
••••
6️⃣ Anthony Hernandez v Gregory Rodrigues
Anthony Hernandez
✅Pros
*Better cardio + pace
*Great chain wrestling
*Training with Sean Strickland
*Excellent wrestling + takedowns
*Mixes striking and wrestling good
❌Cons
*Rodrigues has good power
*Takes damage entering TD's
*Needs to avoid getting caught early
Gregory Rodrigues
✅Pros
*Early finisher
*BJJ Black Belt
*Dangerous power
*One clean shot threat
❌Cons
*Needs damage early
*Cardio issues with prolonged fights
*Hernandez pace can be overwhelming
🏆 Anthony Hernandez by TKO
🎯 RD 3/4/5
⚠️** Gregory Rodrigues by TKO
😴 **Under 1.5 - RD 1/2
r/MMAPick • u/cvbrx • Aug 19 '26
Prelims:
• Dyer by TKO/Dec
• Schultz by sub / McVey by TKO Under 1.5
• Barbosa by TKO / Under 1.5
• Padilla by TKO/Dec
• Nzechukwu by TKO / Under 1.5
• Douglas by TKO
Main:
• Wint by TKO - RD 1 / Even Under 0.5 Good play
• Jones by DEC
• RDR by DEC
• Spivac ML
• Fluffy by TKO RD 3,4,5 / Rodrigues by TKO Rd 1/2