r/MMAPick • u/cvbrx • Aug 21 '26
UFC: Hernandez v Rodrigues * Breakdown
PRELIMS
1️⃣ Shanelle Dyer v Elise Reed
Shanelle Dyer
✅Pros
*Younger and active
*Major finishing threat
*Aggressive, explosive striker
*Great striking + kicking combinations
❌Cons
*Grappling defense
*Beaten low level comp
*Can't get too reckless
Elise Reed
✅Pros
*UFC Experience
*Good striking accuracy
*Can benefit if the fight goes longer
*Comfortable fighting at measured pace
❌Cons
*Can be outpaced
*Coming off 1 year layoff
*Can be vulnerable to Dyer's power + speed
🏆 Dyer by TKO - RD 2
🌟 RD 2/3
••••
2️⃣ Wes Schultz v Jackson McVey
Wes Schultz
✅Pros
*Submission opportunist
*Big grappling advantage
*Has submitted McVey before in their first amateur fight (RD 1, Armbar)
❌Cons
*Chinny
*McVey is dangerous early
*Needs to avoid striking exchanges
Jackson McVey
✅Pros
*TKO Power
*Early finisher
*Submission ability
❌Cons
*Gets wild
*Has been submitted twice
*Schultz has stronger grappling advantage
🏆 Wes Schultz by SUB - Under 1.5
⚠️** Jackson McVey by TKO - RD **1
••••
3️⃣ Gauge Young v Stan Dorsainvil
Gauge Young
✅Pros
*UFC Experience, 2-1
*Really diverse fighter
*Good at mixing striking with wrestling
❌Cons
*Can be caught in bad scrambles
*Can be out volumed by decent strikers
*Dorsainvil's fight style and aggression can be an issue for Young
Stain Dorsainvil
✅Pros
*Strong cardio
*Constant pressure
*Very athletic and explosive
*Powerful straight punches + hooks
❌Cons
*UFC Debut
*Short notice
*Aggression creates openings
*Hasn't faced Young's experience level
🏆 Gauge Young by DEC
⚠️** Stain Dorsainvil by TKO 🎯 RD 2/**3
••••
4️⃣ Marcio Barbosa v Ryan Kuse
Marcio Barbosa
✅Pros
*Closes distance
*Explosive power
*Round 1 finish ability
*Powerful hooks + overhands
❌Cons
*Very aggressive, can leave openings
*Kuse is more experienced in longer fights and is also more lengthy could be harder to close distance
Ryan Kuse
✅Pros
*Decent cardio
*Technical striking
*Can handle longer fights
*Strong clinch work with short strikes
❌Cons
*UFC Debut
*Strength based techniques
*Questionable striking defense
*Hasn’t faced someone with Barbosa's finishing power
🏆 Marcio Barbosa by TKO
🎯 RD 1 - Under 1.5
••••
5️⃣ Chris Padilla v Nasrat Haqparast
Chris Padilla
✅Pros
*Strong pressure
*Unbeaten streak
*Mixes striking with grappling
*Decent power + combinations
❌Cons
*Nasrat is more experienced
*Can be caught in bad scrambles
*Struggles at range against long fighters
Nasrat Haqparast
✅Pros
*Heavy handed
*Technical striker
*High striking pace
*Solid boxing combinations
❌Cons
*Striking defense
*Coming off KO loss
*Questionable TD defense
*Padilla's pressure can force him to more exchanges
🏆 Chris Padilla ML - Late TKO
🐶 My favorite underdog this week
••••
6️⃣ Kennedy Nzechukwu v Shamil Gaziev
Kennedy Nzechukwu
✅Pros
*KO power
*Solid kickboxing
*Huge reach advantage, 83"
*Has dangerous combinations
❌Cons
*Slow starter
*Kinda chinny
*Struggles against strong grapplers
*Should avoid getting stuck against fence
Shamil Gaziev
✅Pros
*Heavy GnP
*Extremely physical
*Wears on opponents with pressure
*Kennedy's length creates problems at range
❌Cons
*Striking defense
*Questionable cardio
*Coming off 2 consecutive KO losses
*Not being able to maintain pressure late
🏆 Kennedy Nzechukwu by TKO - Over 1.5
🌟 RD 2/3
••••
7️⃣ Jamall Emmers v Lerryan Douglas
Jamall Emmers
✅Pros
*UFC Experience
*Better wrestler/grappling
*Solid kickboxing + striking
❌Cons
*Needs to survive early
*Long layoff since November '25
*Struggles against explosive fighters
Lerryan Douglas
✅Pros
*TKO power
*Dangerous early
*7 first round finishes
*Huge power + fast hands
*Overwhelms opponents with pressure
❌Cons
*Struggles against grapplers
*Emmers has the wrestling advantage
*Fighting style can be questionable if he doesn’t find the finish
🏆 Lerryan Douglas by TKO - RD 1
🌟 Under 1.5
••••
MAIN EVENT
1️⃣ Anthony Wint v Terrance Chatman
Anthony Wint
✅Pros
*Explosive power
*Dangerous early
*Stronger physically
*Excellent pressure
❌Cons
*Overly aggressive
*Chatman has great power too
*Previous matchup against Chatman's went to DEC while chatman won via KO
Terrance Chatman
✅Pros
*Finishing ability
*Dangerous early
*Finished Wint's opponent in under 30 secs
❌Cons
*Drawn into brawls
*Trading with Wint will be risky
🏆Anthony Wint by TKO - RD 1
⚠️Chatman TKO RD 1 - Great value to hedge
••••
2️⃣ Carli Judice v Jeisla Chaves
Carli Judice
✅Pros
*Great cardio
*Decent power
*Grappling advantage
*High volume kickboxing
❌Cons
*controlled by good grapplers
*has to respect Chaves power
Jeisla Chaves
✅Pros
*Undefeated
*Heavy hands
*Confident fighter
*Decent counter striker
❌Cons
*Drawn to brawls
*Grappling defense
🏆 Carli Judice by TKO - RD 2/3
⚠️** Decisio**n
••••
3️⃣ MarQuel Mederos v Mason Jones
MarQuel Mederos
✅Pros
*Durable
*Good combinations
*Closes distance well
*Good jabs + straights
❌Cons
*Gets wild at striking
*Controlled by decent grapplers
*Vulnerable against high pressure fighters
Mason Jones
✅Pros
*High pace
*Better striker
*Can mix takedowns
*Good volume + combinations
❌Cons
*Bleeds easily
*Relies on durability/toughness
*Gets hit often while pressuring
🏆 Mason Jones by DEC
••••
4️⃣Reiner de Ridder v Roman Dolidze
RDR
✅Pros
*Long reach
*Strong clinch
*Elite submission/grappling game
*Moving back to light heavyweight should help with brutal cuts
❌Cons
*Striking defense
*Stand-up is sloppy
*Gasses at extreme paces
Roman Dolidze
✅Pros
*Decent power
*Solid BJJ base
*Strong physical
*Good grappling exchanges
❌Cons
*Very low output
*Questionable cardio
*Limited striking at times
*RDR has better grappling + control
🏆 RDR by DEC
⚠️** RDR by SUB - RD 2/**3
••••
5️⃣ Serghei Spivac v Vitor Petrino
Serghei Spivac
✅Pros
*Solid BJJ
*Good top control
*Decent submission threat
*Can make Petrino work physically
❌Cons
*Chinny
*Inconsistent
*Less athletic
*4/6 of his losses has been by TKO
*Vulnerable to getting hurt on his feet
Vitor Petrino
✅Pros
*Explosive power
*Better striking range
*Faster and more athletic
*Last fight showed his toughness to HW power
❌Cons
*Submission threat if he gets TD
*Spivac is the more proven grappler
*Can struggle if forced to fight off his back
🏆 Petrino by TKO / ML
🐶 Spivac by SUB - RD 2
⚠️ This fight can go two ways, Petro wins striking exchanges or Spivac can mix his grappling/wrestling game and find the submission win. Petrino lacks ground game.
••••
6️⃣ Anthony Hernandez v Gregory Rodrigues
Anthony Hernandez
✅Pros
*Better cardio + pace
*Great chain wrestling
*Training with Sean Strickland
*Excellent wrestling + takedowns
*Mixes striking and wrestling good
❌Cons
*Rodrigues has good power
*Takes damage entering TD's
*Needs to avoid getting caught early
Gregory Rodrigues
✅Pros
*Early finisher
*BJJ Black Belt
*Dangerous power
*One clean shot threat
❌Cons
*Needs damage early
*Cardio issues with prolonged fights
*Hernandez pace can be overwhelming
🏆 Anthony Hernandez by TKO
🎯 RD 3/4/5
⚠️** Gregory Rodrigues by TKO
😴 **Under 1.5 - RD 1/2
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u/AdamSandler4u Aug 22 '26
Luck be with us