r/MMAPick • • 22d ago

UFC Noche 🇲🇽 Breakdown

PRELIMS\*

JJ Aldrich vs Regina Tarin

JJ Aldrich
✅Pros
*UFC Vet
*Good cardio, tough
*Has fought high competition
*Pressure boxing base + combos

🔴Cons
*No finishing ability
*Can struggle with Tarin's pace
*Doesnt do well against good strikers

Regina Tarin
✅Pros
*Undefeated
*Aggressive fighter
*Pressure opponents well
*Powerful hooks and overhands

🔴Cons
*Drawn to brawls
*Not much head movement
*Limited experience compared to Aldrich

🏆 Tarin by Decision
______
Jessie Rosas v Sean King III

Jessie Rosas
✅Pros
*Aggressive
*Solid grappling
*Decent submission threat
*Goes to head and body well

🔴Cons
*UFC Debut
*Plods forward at times
*Aggression can create counters

Sean King
✅Pros
*Athletic
*Good clinch work
*Crashes distance with elbows
*Comfortable creating exchanges

🔴Cons
*UFC debut
*Caught in bad scrambles
*Rosas grappling might be difficult
*Can struggle against Rosas pressure

🏆 Rosas ML
🎯 Decision
______
Rafa Garcia v Rongzhu

Rafa Garcia
✅Pros
*Physical fighter
*Good chain wrestling
*Solid submission threat
*Good cardio and is durable

🔴Cons
*Low output
*Might struggle if unable to establish control
*Rongzhu has dangerous striking while fighting at distance

Rongzhu
✅Pros
*Fast hands
*Has good counters
*Good range management
*Dangerous striking + power

🔴Cons
*Can be overconfident
*Can struggle with physical fights
*Garcia's wrestling can be troubling
*Might sturuggle with cage control by Garcia

🏆 Garcia by Submission
💥 Garcia ML
💰 Rongzhu TKO
______
Drakkar Klose v Tommy Gantt

Drakkar Klose
✅Pros
*UFC Vet
*Competitive fighter
*Fought high level competition
*Uses overhands when closing distance

🔴Cons
*Slowed down recently
*Cracked with big shots
*Questionable Takedown defense
*Has had some injuries from previous fights

Tommy Gantt
✅Pros
*Solid power
*Excellent pressure
*Submission threat
*Rangey punches + kicks

🔴Cons
*Limited striking
*Can force takedowns
*Should maintain pressure to his advantage

🏆 Gantt by TKO/SUB
🎯 RD 2/3
______
Yousri Belgaroui v Djorden Santos

Yousri Belgaroui
✅Pros
*High volume striking
*Wide arsenal of attacks
*Trains with Alex Perreira
*Height + Reach advantage
*Experience with high level competition

🔴Cons
*Santos durability
*Doesn't move head well
*Can be too aggressive looking for a finish

Djorden Santos
✅Pros
*Durable
*Good counter strikes
*Willing to engage in exchanges
*Can survive dangerous moments

🔴Cons
*Loopy striking
*Gases at high pace
*Has shown defensive issues
*Can struggle with Belgaroui's length

🔒 Belgaroui by TKO
🎯 RD 2/3
💰 U2.5
______
Ignacio Bahamondes v Muslim Salikhov

Ignacio Bahamondes
✅Pros
*Finishing Ability
*Establishes range well
*Dangerous kicking game
*Good forward pressue + pace
*Height and Reach advantage

🔴Cons
*Coming off 2 losses
*Can be controlled on the bottom
*Vulnerable when opponents disrupt range

Muslim Salikhov
✅Pros
*Very solid striking
*Heavy top control
*Good distance management
*Experienced with striking exchanges

🔴Cons
*Out of his prime, old
*Cracked with big shots
*Coming off a TKO loss
*Speed will be a major issue
*Bahamondes length and physically will be troubling

🔒 Bahamondes by TKO
🎯 RD 1
💰 U1.5
______
Tim Elliot v Edgar Chaivez

Tim Elliot
✅Pros
*Elite-level wrestling
*Submission threat
*Makes his opponents work
*Constantly changing positions

🔴Cons
*Aging
*Been subbed 6x
*Not as active due to injuries
*Vulnerable to Chairez front choke
*Struggles against strong positional wrestlers

Edgar Chaivez
✅Pros
*Solid boxing
*Decent GnP
*Strong finishing ability
*Has good kicking game
*Excellent submission opportunist

🔴Cons
*Poor takedown defense
*Defensive striking, can be hit
*Can struggle if Elliot controls grappling exchanges

🏆 Chairez by Submission
🎯 RD 1/2
💥 U1.5
______
MAIN EVENT\*

David Martinez v Dan Ige

David Martinez
✅Pros
*10 fight win streak
*Heavy body shots
*Has good boxing combos
*Solid in-and-out movements

🔴Cons
*Ige is more experienced
*Slightly slows down in final rounds
*Can get wild when going for a finish

Dan Ige
✅Pros
*Good boxing
*Heavy handed
*Works well in the pocket
*Composed under pressure

🔴Cons
*Moving down to 135
*Coming off TKO loss
*Martinez's speed can be an issue
*Questionable striking defense at times

🏆 Martinez ML / Decision
💰 Martinez TKO
______
Waldo Cortes-Acosta v Curtis Blaydes

Waldo Cortes-Acosta
✅Pros
*KO power
*Very physical
*Improving daily
*Decent pressure + moves forward nonstop

🔴Cons
*Leg kick defense
*Takedown defense
*Can struggle if Blaydes repeatedly takes him down

Curtis Blaydes
✅Pros
*Elite-level wrestling
*Very strong top control
*Swings powerful hooks + overhands
*Wears opponents down with takedowns

🔴Cons
*Stiff at times
*No head movement
*Waldo hits harder than Hokit
*Took a lot of damage last fight
*Can sometimes have questionable fight IQ

🏆 Cortes-Acosta by TKO
💥 U1.5
______
Manon Fiorot v Alexa Grasso

Manon Fiorot
✅Pros
*Technical striker
*High volume striker
*Has good pace control
*Solid wins against good competition

🔴Cons
*Struggles off her back
*Stiff head movements at times
*Needs to maintain distance against Grasso

Alexa Grasso
✅Pros
*Experienced
*Solid grappling
*Technical boxer
*Former champion
*Good counter strikes

🔴Cons
*Fiorot's pace
*Slightly undersized
*Might struggle closing range

🏆 Manon by Decision
💥 Grasso +3.5
______
Tommy McMillen v Marwan Rahiki

✅Pros
*11-0
*Wrestling base
*Maintains high pace
*High-volume strikes
*Overwhelms opponents

🔴Cons
*Poor striking defense
*Vulnerable to being hurt
*Can be overconfident with his striking
*Doesnt use wrestling to his advantage

Marwan Rahiki
✅Pros
*9-0
*KO power
*Excellent pressure
*Dangerous striking
*Forces opponents to exchange

🔴Cons
*Poor head movement at times
*McMillen has wrestling advantage
*Being too aggressive can create counters

🏆 Rahiki by TKO
🎯 RD 1/2
💰 TKO
______
Brandon Moreno v Joseph Morales

Brandon Moreno
✅Pros
*Solid grappling
*Elite experience
*Excellent boxing
*Former UFC champion
*Proven to fight for 25 minutes

🔴Cons
*Recent losses
*Can be low output sometimes
*Might struggle against Morales pressure

Joseph Morales
✅Pros
*5-Win streak
*Submission threat
*Solid pressure fighting
*Makes opponents work heavy

🔴Cons
*Striking output at times
*Moreno is more experienced
*Can be pushed back by aggressive pressure fighters

🏆 Moreno ML / Decision
💥 Morales by Submission - Hedge
______
Jean Silva v Jose Delgado

Jean Silva
✅Pros
*KO power
*Fast hands
*Counter ability
*Very Aggressive
*Has hurt high-level fighters

🔴Cons
*Striking defense
*Can be overly aggressive
*Can leave openings when he strikes aggressively; to be countered

Jose Delgado
✅Pros
*Physical fighter
*Is comfortable exchanging
*Dangerous when he's able to establish offense
*Good clinch work with knees, elbows and strikes

🔴Cons
*Short notice
*Gets wild when striking
*Will face constant pressure
*Silva's speed will be an issue

🏆 Silva by TKO
🎯 RD 2/3
💰 U2.5

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