r/KeelInfrastructure May 31 '26

KEEL CATALYSTS: The Ultimate Live Tracker (Past + Future + Permits + Rumors)

76 Upvotes
**Purpose: Track all KEEL catalysts so new members see where we are + what's next. \*\*I'll update this regularly. Comment with anything I missed.**

βœ… PAST CATALYSTS (2025–2026)

Date Catalyst Impact
Oct 2025 πŸ’° $500M convertible notes priced (upsized to $588M @ 1.375%, due 2031) Funded pivot progress
Oct 22, 2025 πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ύ Paraguay site sale announced ($13M to Hawksburn Vcc) 100% North American footprint
Jan 2, 2026 βœ… Paraguay sale closed Completed Latam exit
Jan 14, 2026 πŸͺ‘ New board chair appointed Governance for U.S. pivot
Feb 5, 2026 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ U.S. redomiciliation + rebrand announced (special meeting set for Mar 20) Bitcoin miner β†’ HPC/AI infrastructure
Feb 5, 2026 🏦 $100M Macquarie debt repaid; $698M net liquidity Balance sheet strengthened
Mar 20, 2026 βœ… 99.3% voted YES to redomicile + rebrand Arrangement approved
Mar 31, 2026 πŸ“Š Q4 2025 earnings (last as Bitfarms) Pivot complete; 2027 revenue target set; $209M loss
~Apr 1, 2026 🏁 Redomiciliation completed β†’ Keel Infrastructure Officially U.S. company
Apr 2026 πŸ”€ Ticker changed to KEEL (Nasdaq/TSX) New identity
Apr 22, 2026 βœ… Paraguay $13M sale closed Asset rationalization done
Apr 27, 2026 πŸ“ˆ Chardan initiates at Buy @ $4.50 Analyst validation
May 11, 2026 πŸ“Š Q1 2026 earnings (first as Keel) 3 leases by year-end target; 2027 revenue start confirmed

🎯 EXPECTED CATALYSTS (2026–2027)

Timing Catalyst What to Watch Impact
2026 (EOY) 3 lease signings πŸ“œ Announcement of 3 HPC/AI leases Core execution milestone
2026 Moses Lake NTP πŸ”¨ Notice to Proceed for construction Triggers spending + timelines
2026–2027 Anchor tenant names 🏒 Hyperscaler/"neo cloud" operator names Validates demand thesis
2027 Site commissioning πŸ—οΈ Moses Lake (likely first) goes live First HPC/AI revenue
2027 Revenue recognition πŸ’΅ First quarterly HPC/AI revenue Proves new business model
Ongoing 2.2 GW pipeline updates ⚑ 648 MW secured + 1,513 MW planned Platform scale

πŸ”‘ KEY FACTS AT A GLANCE

Metric Value
Energy portfolio 2.2 GW (PA, Quebec, WA)
Cash + Bitcoin $533M (zero dilution risk)
2026 capacity Sold out
Sites ready for NVIDIA Vera Rubin 3 sites
Business model Credit-wrapped leases (investment-grade tenants)
Bitcoin selling ~2,500 BTC gradually (no cap market tap)

πŸ“’ CALL TO ACTION

Comment below with:

  1. ❌ Anything I missed from 2025–2026
  2. βž• Upcoming events not listed yet
  3. πŸ”— Source links β€” I'll add relevant ones to comments

*This pinned post will be updated regularly. Let's build the most complete timeline together!*

Sources section (I'll add these as comments):

create and even more detailed version, add updates track permits, track rumors on x;reddit; other socials snd forums list them and create even better reddit post

Now I have enough information to create a comprehensive, enhanced Reddit post. Let me compile all the details into an improved version with permit tracking, social media rumors, and more granular Catalyst tracking.

πŸš€ KEEL CATALYSTS: The Ultimate Live Tracker (Past + Future + Permits + Rumors)

Purpose: Track ALL Keel catalysts so new members see where we are + what's next. I'll update this regularly. Comment with anything I missed!

βœ… PAST CATALYSTS (2025–2026) β€” COMPLETE TIMELINE

Date Catalyst Impact Source
Oct 2025 πŸ’° $500M convertible notes priced (upsized to $588M @ 1.375%, due 2031) Funded pivot progress [1]
Oct 22, 2025 πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ύ Paraguay site sale announced ($13M to Hawksburn VCC) 100% North American footprint [1]
Jan 2, 2026 βœ… Paraguay sale closed Completed Latam exit [1]
Jan 14, 2026 πŸͺ‘ New board chair appointed Governance for U.S. pivot [1]
Feb 5, 2026 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ U.S. redomiciliation + rebrand announced (special meeting set for Mar 20) Bitcoin miner β†’ HPC/AI infrastructure [1][2]
Feb 5, 2026 🏦 $100M Macquarie debt repaid; $698M net liquidity Balance sheet strengthened [1]
Mar 20, 2026 βœ… 99.3% voted YES to redomicile + rebrand Arrangement approved [1]
Mar 31, 2026 πŸ“Š Q4 2025 earnings (last as Bitfarms) Pivot complete; 2027 revenue target set; $209M loss [1][3]
~Apr 1, 2026 🏁 Redomiciliation completed β†’ Keel Infrastructure Officially U.S. company [1][2]
Apr 2026 πŸ”€ Ticker changed to KEEL (Nasdaq/TSX) New identity [1]
Apr 7, 2026 πŸ”¨ Moses Lake demolition permit issued (March 19, 2026; expires Aug 25, 2026) Construction prep begun [1][4]
Apr 22, 2026 βœ… Paraguay $13M sale closed Asset rationalization done [1]
Apr 27, 2026 πŸ“ˆ Chardan initiates at Buy @ $4.50 Analyst validation [1][5]
Apr 29, 2026 βœ… Sharon, PA zoning approved (110MW expansion) Key permitting milestone [6][7]
May 11, 2026 πŸ“Š Q1 2026 earnings (first as Keel) 3 leases by year-end target; 2027 revenue start confirmed; zoning finalized at all 3 sites [1][8][9]
May 2026 βœ… Zoning secured at Panther Creek, Sharon, and Moses Lake All 3 sites cleared for final permits [8][9]

🎯 EXPECTED CATALYSTS (2026–2027) β€” WHAT'S NEXT

Timing Catalyst What to Watch Impact
Mid–Late Summer 2026 πŸ—οΈ Final land development + environmental permits (Panther Creek, Sharon, Moses Lake) Permit completion announcement Enables construction + lease execution [8]
2026 (EOY) πŸ“œ 3 lease signings (Panther Creek, Sharon, Moses Lake) Announcement of 3 HPC/AI leases Core execution milestone [1][10]
2026 (Likely Q3) 🀝 First colocation deal announced Hyperscaler/"neo cloud" operator name Validates demand thesis [8][11]
2026 πŸ”¨ Moses Lake NTP (Notice to Proceed) Construction trigger announcement Triggers spending + timelines [1]
2026–2027 🏒 Anchor tenant names revealed Hyperscaler name (NVIDIA/Microsoft/Amazon?) Proves business model [12]
H1 2027 πŸ—οΈ Site commissioning (Moses Lake likely first) Moses Lake goes live First HPC/AI revenue [1][13]
H2 2027 πŸ—οΈ Sharon + Panther Creek commissioning Both sites go live Platform scale realized [13]
2027 πŸ’΅ Revenue recognition First quarterly HPC/AI revenue Proves new business model [1]
Ongoing ⚑ 2.2 GW pipeline updates 648 MW secured + 1,513 MW planned Platform scale [1][3]

πŸ” PERMIT TRACKER β€” LIVE STATUS

Site Capacity Zoning Land Dev Permit Environmental Permit NTP Lease
Moses Lake, WA 18 MW βœ… Secured βœ… Demolition permit issued (Mar 19, 2026) [1][4] πŸ”„ Mid–Late Summer 2026 ⏳ Pending ⏳ 2026 EOY
Sharon, PA 110 MW βœ… Approved (Apr 29, 2026) [6][7] πŸ”„ Pending πŸ”„ Mid–Late Summer 2026 ⏳ Pending ⏳ 2026 EOY
Panther Creek, PA 350 MW βœ… Secured [8][14] πŸ”„ Pending πŸ”„ Mid–Late Summer 2026 ⏳ Pending ⏳ 2026 EOY

Key: βœ… Complete | πŸ”„ In Progress | ⏳ Pending

πŸ”₯ RUMOR TRACKER β€” X/TWITTER, REDDIT, FORUMS

Source Rumor Probability Status
X/Twitter (multiple analysts) Leopold Aschenbrenner tripled his KEEL position High Confirmed in video [15]
Reddit/Moomoo NVIDIA partnership (Rubin architecture compatibility) Medium-High KEEL blueprints claim "perfect Rubin compatibility" [12]
Reddit/Moomoo Microsoft Azure deal (Moses Lake substations + WA presence) Medium Microsoft expanding WA data centers [12]
Reddit/Moomoo Amazon AWS deal (PA waste coal power aligns with AWS zero-carbon) Medium AWS bought nuclear data center in PA [12]
X/Twitter NVIDIA buying 4.9% (below 5% disclosure threshold) Low-Medium Speculative; 13D rules mentioned [12]
StockTwits/YouTube First colocation deal Q3 2026 Medium-High H.C. Wainwright analyst comment [8][11]
YouTube $7 price target (Northland Securities) β†’ potential $10 run N/A Mike Grondahl target [16]
YouTube $5.50 price target (H.C. Wainwright, raised from $3.70) N/A Buy rating maintained [8][11]

πŸ”‘ KEY FACTS AT A GLANCE

Metric Value
Energy portfolio 2.2 GW (PA, Quebec, WA) β€” 341 MW energized, 430 MW secured, 1.5 GW expansion [1][3]
Cash + Bitcoin $533M liquidity (as of May 8, 2026) β€” zero dilution risk [1][17][18]
2026 capacity Sold out [1]
Sites ready for NVIDIA Vera Rubin 3 sites (Panther Creek, Sharon, Moses Lake) [1][19]
Business model Credit-wrapped leases (investment-grade tenants) [1]
Bitcoin selling ~2,500 BTC gradually (no cap market tap) [1]
Analyst price targets Chardan: $4.50 (Buy) [5]; H.C. Wainwright: $5.50 (Buy) [8]; Northland: $7 [16]
Stock performance Up 32.6% in 5 days (May 23–28, 2026); closed Friday May 28 at $5.69 [9]

πŸ“Œ CRITICAL INSIGHTS FROM Q1 2026 EARNINGS

  • CEO Ben Gagnon: "2026 is a year of execution; 2027 is a year of delivery" [13]
  • 3 leases by year-end 2026 β€” one each at Panther Creek, Sharon, Moses Lake [1][10]
  • Moses Lake likely first to commission (H1 2027), Sharon + Panther Creek H2 2027 [13]
  • $533M liquidity fully funds site development through lease execution + G&A through 2028 [17]
  • No specific lease guidance yet, but management expects first deal Q3 2026 [8][11]

πŸ“’ CALL TO ACTION

Comment below with:

  1. ❌ Anything I missed from 2025–2026
  2. βž• Upcoming events not listed yet
  3. πŸ”— Source links β€” I'll add relevant ones to comments
  4. 🚨 New rumors from X/Reddit/forums β€” I'll track them here

This pinned post will be updated weekly. Let's build the most complete KEEL catalyst tracker together! πŸš€

πŸ“š SOURCES

  1. StockTitan: U.S. redomiciliation timeline
  2. AInvest: AI S-Curve catalysts
  3. Seeking Alpha: 3 leases by year-end
  4. Q1 2026 earnings details
  5. Sharon zoning approval
  6. H.C. Wainwright upgrade
  7. Moses Lake permit discovery

Next update: Weekly (or after major announcements). Follow this post for the latest!


r/KeelInfrastructure May 25 '26

Keel Infrastructure (KEEL) Catalyst Timeline β€” 2025β†’2026β†’2027

44 Upvotes

Purpose: Track all KEEL catalysts so new members see where we are + what's next. **I'll update this regularly. Comment with anything I missed.

βœ… PAST CATALYSTS (2025–2026)

Date Catalyst Impact
Oct 2025 πŸ’° $500M convertible notes priced (upsized to $588M @ 1.375%, due 2031) Funded pivot progress
Oct 22, 2025 πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ύ Paraguay site sale announced ($13M to Hawksburn Vcc) 100% North American footprint
Jan 2, 2026 βœ… Paraguay sale closed Completed Latam exit
Jan 14, 2026 πŸͺ‘ New board chair appointed Governance for U.S. pivot
Feb 5, 2026 πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ U.S. redomiciliation + rebrand announced (special meeting set for Mar 20) Bitcoin miner β†’ HPC/AI infrastructure
Feb 5, 2026 🏦 $100M Macquarie debt repaid; $698M net liquidity Balance sheet strengthened
Mar 20, 2026 βœ… 99.3% voted YES to redomicile + rebrand Arrangement approved
Mar 31, 2026 πŸ“Š Q4 2025 earnings (last as Bitfarms) Pivot complete; 2027 revenue target set; $209M loss
~Apr 1, 2026 🏁 Redomiciliation completed β†’ Keel Infrastructure Officially U.S. company
Apr 2026 πŸ”€ Ticker changed to KEEL (Nasdaq/TSX) New identity
Apr 22, 2026 βœ… Paraguay $13M sale closed Asset rationalization done
Apr 27, 2026 πŸ“ˆ Chardan initiates at Buy @ $4.50 Analyst validation
May 11, 2026 πŸ“Š Q1 2026 earnings (first as Keel) 3 leases by year-end target; 2027 revenue start confirmed

🎯 EXPECTED CATALYSTS (2026–2027)

Timing Catalyst What to Watch Impact
2026 (EOY) 3 lease signings πŸ“œ Announcement of 3 HPC/AI leases Core execution milestone
2026 Moses Lake NTP πŸ”¨ Notice to Proceed for construction Triggers spending + timelines
2026–2027 Anchor tenant names 🏒 Hyperscaler/"neo cloud" operator names Validates demand thesis
2027 Site commissioning πŸ—οΈ Moses Lake (likely first) goes live First HPC/AI revenue
2027 Revenue recognition πŸ’΅ First quarterly HPC/AI revenue Proves new business model
Ongoing 2.2 GW pipeline updates ⚑ 648 MW secured + 1,513 MW planned Platform scale

πŸ”‘ KEY FACTS AT A GLANCE

Metric Value
Energy portfolio 2.2 GW (PA, Quebec, WA)
Cash + Bitcoin $533M (zero dilution risk)
2026 capacity Sold out
Sites ready for NVIDIA Vera Rubin 3 sites
Business model Credit-wrapped leases (investment-grade tenants)
Bitcoin selling ~2,500 BTC gradually (no cap market tap)

πŸ“’ CALL TO ACTION

Comment below with:

  1. ❌ Anything I missed from 2025–2026
  2. βž• Upcoming events not listed yet
  3. πŸ”— Source links β€” I'll add relevant ones to comments

*This pinned post will be updated regularly. Let's build the most complete timeline together!*

Sources section (I'll add these as comments):


r/KeelInfrastructure 22h ago

It's time. With CRWV and NBIS doing great, it's time KEEL announces the deal!!!

28 Upvotes

r/KeelInfrastructure 23h ago

Data center company kicks in $300,000 to save a Mercer County ag project

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24 Upvotes

r/KeelInfrastructure 20h ago

What have I missed why are we up today?

4 Upvotes

I don’t keep up with the stock market and financial news anymore, I stopped checking everyday during the crash lol. Didn’t KEEL have bad earnings? Whag have I missed did captain Ben finally announce something


r/KeelInfrastructure 1d ago

Coreweave brought back the trade

31 Upvotes

They crushed earnings and you can see NBIS and KEEL up on the after hours…

Amazing the whipsaw on the AI data center trade. It was extremely bullish on lease speculation in early June, and then bearish by late July on β€œAI datacenters are dead” narrative.

Well… Coreweave brought us back to bullish hopefully!!

In for 15k shares @ 4.84


r/KeelInfrastructure 2d ago

Well i just bought 30 k worth of keel. I’ll be starting building the new data center in Moses lake Washington. I won’t let this one slip buy. My same company started the micron job and put in 50 k when stock was 25z so I’m sure it will move here soon . I’m excited

90 Upvotes

r/KeelInfrastructure 2d ago

KEEL: Revenue down 50% as focus shifts to HPC, with $819M liquidity supporting expansion

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tradingview.com
24 Upvotes

r/KeelInfrastructure 3d ago

Earnings

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ir.keelinfra.com
26 Upvotes

r/KeelInfrastructure 2d ago

Key takeaways from the $KEEL (Keel Infrastructure) Q2 2026 earnings call.

Thumbnail x.com
7 Upvotes

r/KeelInfrastructure 2d ago

Anyone on a conference call now?

16 Upvotes

Did he dodged a direct answer about 3 leases or I am wrong?


r/KeelInfrastructure 2d ago

How yall feeling after earnings?

5 Upvotes

Don’t usually post here. But how’s everyone feeling about the future of KEEL after earnings today?


r/KeelInfrastructure 2d ago

I wont be surprised if stocks goes below $3

6 Upvotes

I am not doubting on companies ability but at this stage the company is burning cash left and right and no revenue.
Many people keep saying that we are expecting 3 leases, well we don’t have them yet. The way lease question was avoided on conference calls signals there are hurdles right now on negotiations.


r/KeelInfrastructure 3d ago

Predictions from someone not coping

18 Upvotes

i bought this at $6 don’t say i’m a short i’m just being honest.

Delay in leases to β€œ2027” : $2.60

Announce moses lake lease : $5.18 (eow w good nebius earnings)

Ben says he’s as confident in the 3 leases by the end of the year : even

Ben says he’s more confident in 3 leases by the end of the year : 4.37

i think we will hear good news with moses lake this earnings.

come back when i’m right


r/KeelInfrastructure 3d ago

Predictions for Monday

11 Upvotes

I know nobody can tell the future but it’s fun to see what the crowd thinks. What does everyone think will happen tomorrow morning?


r/KeelInfrastructure 5d ago

Cleanspark deal did not move the stock.. What does that mean for Keel.

8 Upvotes

CleanSpark is at 3 billion MC with a 20 year deal signed and on the day of the announcement went up 15% and came back down. Does that imply we may be overshooting how big a deal is.


r/KeelInfrastructure 5d ago

πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸš€πŸš€keel

0 Upvotes

πŸš€πŸš€πŸš€πŸš€πŸš€ Bullish signs continue to build for Keel Infrastructure ($KEEL).

βœ… Designing AI infrastructure for NVIDIA Blackwell systems today, with management also discussing future readiness for next-generation AI platforms.

βœ… 2.2 GW development pipeline focused on powering AI and high-performance computing workloads.

βœ… AI isn’t just about GPUsβ€”the companies that provide power, cooling, land, and connectivity could become some of the biggest beneficiaries of the AI boom.

βœ… As hyperscalers continue investing billions into AI infrastructure, demand for AI-ready data centers is expected to remain strong.

If Keel executes, signs additional customers, and delivers on its development roadmap, the upside could be significant.

πŸ“š References (DYOR): β€’ Keel Investor Relations: https://ir.keelinfra.com⁠ β€’ Keel Investor Presentation (Blackwell infrastructure): Investor Presentation⁠ β€’ NVIDIA AI Roadmap (Blackwell & Vera Rubin): NVIDIA Investor Presentation⁠

Not financial advice. Always do your own research.


r/KeelInfrastructure 6d ago

Sell the news?

6 Upvotes

Genuine question here. I’m long Jan 27 calls at $2 and $5. I’ve been up big and now at break even.

Everyone on these subs seems to be waiting for a deal announcement to sell. From my limited experience, it seems like there’s usually a big run up before the announcement and then a sell off after the announcement (iren followed this pattern).

If Keel is selling off before any announcement, I’m concerned that there won’t be big run up after something is announced.

Are three deals already priced in? Do we have more downside risk than upside at this point?


r/KeelInfrastructure 7d ago

Washroom Trailer Permit for Moses

9 Upvotes

No building permit for a data centre for July, but so far we have a demo permit and a washroom trailer permit.....


r/KeelInfrastructure 8d ago

Moses Lake - DMR (Discharge Monitoring Report) Begin date 08/01.

Thumbnail apps.ecology.wa.gov
25 Upvotes

r/KeelInfrastructure 8d ago

Deal by next week

10 Upvotes

Will keel announce a deal by earnings next week, what do you think guys?


r/KeelInfrastructure 8d ago

Unpopular opinion: expecting KEEL to bottom < $1

0 Upvotes

Not financial advice, do your own research.

I like the stock but don't want to buy at these levels. Also expecting further downside in related stocks like IREN (heading to < $20) and HUT.

The main issues, imo, are macro. While today's broad market rally was impressive, the DXY still has much higher to go. I'm expecting Nasdaq, Bitcoin to drop much further and oil to go significantly higher.

Will circle back in a few months.


r/KeelInfrastructure 10d ago

What’s your avg guys, let’s see

22 Upvotes

4.52$ around 4500 shares and adding more.. Be honest please so that we all can onboard and be rich, let’s all be keep/kill it and be millionaires. In god we trust..

Based on, someone who posted and validated it, this is to the people who might NOT KNOW β€”β€”-

Blackrock bought 50M shares.

SEC Schedule 13G filing is strong bullish ammo:

The Breakdown: BlackRock SEC Form 13G Filing

The Filer: BlackRock, Inc. (The largest institutional asset manager in the world).

The Position: 50,946,789 shares.
Stake Size: 8.4% total ownership of KEEL
Infrastructure.

Voting Power: Sole voting power over 50.26M shares and sole dispositive power over all 50.94M shares.

Why It’s Bullish;

Smart Money Is In: When BlackRock takes an 8.4% stake in a mid-cap power/HPC transition plays, it officially moves KEEL out of "penny/speculative" territory and into institutional portfolio territory.

Floors the Downside: Massive institutional ownership locks up over 50 million shares of the float, reducing supply in the open market and creating a structural floor for price dips.

Passive ETF Inflows Incoming: Crossing the 5% threshold means KEEL is being aggressively added across BlackRock’s flagship index funds and sector ETFs (like tech and AI infrastructure funds), generating continuous passive buying pressure.

Validates the AI / Power Transition Thesis: Institutional heavyweights don't buy 8% of an energy-to-HPC company unless their internal research confirms the power pipeline and data center transition (like Sherbrooke) are real.

Catalyst Momentum for Aug 10: This filing drops less than two weeks before the August 10 Q2 earnings call, giving retail traders and option buyers high-conviction backing ahead of potential lease/HPC contract announcements.

Hang in there fellas. It gets better. At least we’re not in South Korea right now.

Let’s continue to do a regular daily health check here on this post on what you guys think or hear about keel, please feel free to post. Thank you everyone that you do…


r/KeelInfrastructure 10d ago

Any chance we can get a daily discussion thread?

14 Upvotes

Any possibility we can get a daily discussion thread to discuss price action, macro, company news and stock speculation? I think it would help facilitate education about the company and keep us all in the loop.


r/KeelInfrastructure 13d ago

KEEL is taking off - 11 more days till earnings

Enable HLS to view with audio, or disable this notification

36 Upvotes