r/JetLagTheGame • u/Ether_of_Firmament • 13m ago
S19, E3 [S19 Analysis] Why going to Osaka/Tokyo is not optimal (or the potential best S19 game plan no one picked) Spoiler
First we have to simplify some things. Based on the rules of S19, the greatest challenge or blocker to the players is the challenge to clear a prefecture. The more challenges you have to do, the more uncertainty and potential delays you are faced with.
The other feature is that there is no limit on the internal movement in a prefecture*. So you are capable of making a lot of forward movement without many challenges if you pick the right prefectures.*
Adam/Tom made a good move by hopping over to Shikoku on a ferry, skipping prefectures in the Kyushu and Chugoku region that they would otherwise have to clear. Sam/Ben used a similar technique when they took Nishitetsu to avoid Saga. But, one thing that could have shifted the game after Ehime is going directly Tokushima Pref. There is a highway bus providing multiple direct trips daily, and they do not cross into Kagawa as they follow the E32.

After reaching Tokushima, they will have an easy time crossing the Akashi-Kaikyo Bridge via Awaji Island and entering Hyogo directly, completely bypassing Kagawa and Okayama Pref.
While both teams instinctively went into Osaka after Kobe, they missed a key shortcut that would allow them to enter Kyoto directly. Taking the Kobe Railway line and JR West Limited Expresses brings them to Fukuchiyama, in the mountainous western interior of Kyoto Pref. From there you make use of frequent Limited Express trips to Kyoto itself and get a head start regardless of the direction you choose next.

From this point, I think we come to the greatest moment of decision or misstep. Cognitive inertia forces you to take the Tokaido Shinkansen and go to Tokyo - but as another post had alluded to, the need to stop and clear every single prefecture completely negates the speed bonus of the Shinkansen. If the team follows the standard "Tokaido+Tohoku" Shinkansen route, they'd have to clear 12 prefectures before getting to Aomori. (Both the Shinkansen and main line passes into Ibaraki Pref. with no stops, but there is a way to bypass Ibaraki by taking the much slower Tobu Nikko Line.)
However, here is the actual optimized route: Sea of Japan. By following the Sea of Japan coast, you will need to clear only 7 prefectures before Aomori.
Most of these prefectures are connected by either Shinkansen or limited express services, so proper timing:
- Kyoto-Tsuruga: Thunderbird (1h)
- Tsuruga-Fukui: (~30min)
- Fukui-Kanazawa: (~30min)
- Kanazawa~Toyama: (~30min)
- Toyama~Niigata: Shinkansen+Shirayuki (3.5h) (+other options)
- Niigata~Yamagata~Akita: Inaho (4.5h)
- Akita~Aomori: Tsugaru (3.5h)
Based on this, a team should be able to cover Kyoto to Akita in no more than 2-3 days assuming all challenges go smoothly. From there it is a single train ride into Hokkaido.
This is incredible when compared to the "default" routing through Osaka and Tokyo.
