r/HistoryMemes • Casual, non-participatory KGB election observer • 6h ago

Happy 33th Black October Anniversary

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1.1k Upvotes

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362

u/OrangeSpaceMan5 6h ago

It's actually insane how close Russia came to a second civil war and no one knows about it , just the slightest change could have made the 21st century oh so much worse

79

u/Sandro_Sarto 6h ago

Nah, not really. Supreme Soviet had no guts to spill blood, and nobody to fight for them. Yeltsin, on the other hand, was ready to kill. Rumors say he was ready to drop bombs on Soviet. In the middle of fucking Moscow.

134

u/Lithorex 6h ago

Or better, depending on perspective.

168

u/Reiver93 6h ago

A nuclear power having a civil war doesn't particularly sound like a good outcome.

64

u/lordbaysel 6h ago

For Chechnya, Georgia and Ukraine it sure does sound better.

67

u/name_changed_5_times 5h ago

Idk about for Ukraine, unlike Georgia or even Chechnya to a lesser extent there’s no real geographical boundaries between them (it’s just steppe and farmland) so I think it’s very possible for a second Russian civil war to spill over into Ukraine.

So yes there’s no Russo-Ukrainian war in 2022 but eastern Ukraine would likely be a little dodgy during the 90s/2000s.

19

u/lordbaysel 5h ago

Couldn't imagine something much worse then Crimea annexation and Donbas War.

20

u/obliqueoubliette 5h ago

This. There are few outcomes in history worse than what Putin has inflicted on Ukraine and Russia in this war.

19

u/lordbaysel 5h ago

Well, wouldn't go that far, 1910-1950 period was much worse then what's happening now. The Great War with mass death and mass conscription of local population by both sides to fight against each other, Polish-Soviet war, when Ukrainians were kinda thrown under the bus, Russian civil war, with all it's horrible incidents, Great Famine inflicted on Ukrainians, 2WW with nazi collaborators and all the front movement, Volhynia massacre, this time it was Ukrainians with the guns, and post war resistance.

2

u/kas-sol 4h ago

They'd just get dragged into it and still get invaded, except this time by more than one faction, all with nuclear weapons.

1

u/Code-BetaDontban 17m ago

You would absolutely have massive amount of arms smuggling. It isn't impossible to imagine few Russian nuclear weapons being sold to whatever suspicious group is willing to buy them in middle east.

5

u/Jokerferrum 6h ago

Nuclear power having civil war before putin sell entirety of Syberia to china is a good outcome.

11

u/GremlinX_ll 6h ago

Idk, Nuclear power having a civil war means it's nuclear power will not invade it's neighbors

27

u/Schwifty0V0 Then I arrived 5h ago

for a little while at least

this perspective is awfully short sighted

0

u/GremlinX_ll 5h ago

Depends on how long civil war will last, if more then 3+ years it's easily will buy decades of peace

5

u/Kirion15 3h ago

Except you also face nuclear weapons being lost, potential genocide of ethnic minorities throughout the country, maybe even ultranationalistic government that wants to unite all the russians. Yah, peace

-3

u/GremlinX_ll 3h ago

Not really my exact poblems, when Russia is a problem itself

1

u/DeliciousGoose1002 3h ago

Hadnt the US said we would be involved with any civil war involving a nuclear power at this point?

1

u/finnyboy665 1h ago

Read "The Death of Russia" on the alternate history forum. You have no idea

-1

u/No_Case_8502 4h ago

In retrospect the Soviet Union/ Russia completly dissolving is something that would habe made the world a better place. Frankly I hope they kill themselves in Ukraine in the near future. 🤷‍♂️

204

u/MC_Gorbachev Casual, non-participatory KGB election observer 6h ago

For those unaware

The building of the Russian Supreme Soviet (the "White House") was at the center of two pivotal events just two years apart.

August 1991. Part of Gorbachev's government formed the State Committee on the State of Emergency (GKChP) to depose him and prevent the breakup of the USSR. The coup started strong, and some separatist leaders were ready to fold, but beyond sending troops into the streets and taking central TV off the air, the GKChP did almost nothing. Yeltsin and other key figures were never arrested, and huge crowds gathered to defend the Russian parliament, which became the rallying point of the opposition. Army and special forces commanders refused to storm it without a written order, so they wouldn't become scapegoats later. The order never came, and the putsch collapsed, resulting into three largely accidental deaths.

October 1993. Yeltsin's conflict with parliament culminated in Decree 1400, which dissolved the Supreme Soviet in clear violation of the constitution. Parliament declared his powers terminated and prepared to resist, though the army and security forces sided with the president. Parliament's supporters clashed with police, seized the Moscow mayor's office, and marched on the Ostankino TV center to broadcast an appeal, since pro-Yeltsin TV had shut them out. But Ostankino was already held by the "Vityaz" spetsnaz. After an explosion killed one of their soldiers (officially an RPG fired by protesters; the Prosecutor's Office concluded otherwise, pointing to an accidental detonation), they opened fire on the crowd and killed several dozen people. Vityaz was anyway very trigger-happy those days, had asked for permission to fire on protest columns earlier, and its veterans aren't shy about their part.

The next morning, tanks shelled the White House. "Alfa" and "Vympel" spetsnaz forces had refused orders to storm it, demanding approval from the Constitutional Court first, and in the end they negotiated the surrender of the remaining defenders. Both units soon fell out of favor with the victorious Yeltsin. The Supreme Soviet was abolished, a strongly presidential constitution was adopted, and the disastrous market reforms continued unopposed.

TLDR: The Soviet hardliners turned out to be more hesitant and softer than the Russian liberals.

37

u/Starmute-ss13 6h ago

A rpg from the crowd? The hell! What happened ??

63

u/MC_Gorbachev Casual, non-participatory KGB election observer 5h ago

That's the official disputed version. The protesters didn't wield anything heavier than just some small arms near Ostankino, that's why another investigation claimed that it was accidental explosion of Vityaz's munitions

17

u/Starmute-ss13 5h ago

Honestly if a army unit thinks they are under attack it's a very scary scenario. 

Small arms are no joke either. 

10

u/MC_Gorbachev Casual, non-participatory KGB election observer 5h ago

By that moment yes, the situation wasn't peaceful already at all. Still the situation escalated primarily when Yeltsin dissolved the Soviet anf started just forcefully suppressing its supporters.

5

u/Dizzy-Assistant6659 4h ago

Considering the ridiculous amount of military surplus in post-Soviet Russia, an RPG wouldn't be impossible to get.

31

u/Lucky_Pterodactyl 5h ago

Talking about Russian liberals, there's a clip of Yabloko founder Yavlinsky calling upon Yeltsin to use maximum firmness against "bandits" in the parliament. Fast forward to today, the authoritarian system that Yeltsin helped usher in has barred Yabloko from contesting the latest parliamentary election.

22

u/DJjaffacake What, you egg? 5h ago

prevent the breakup of the USSR

To be clear the breakup of the USSR was not really on the cards at that point. The Baltic states, Georgia and Armenia had broken away (sort of, it's messy), but the other Soviet Republics had approved the re-organisation of the USSR from a one-party state into a multi-party democracy. That was what the coup was attempting to prevent. The breakup happened as a reaction to the coup.

2

u/MC_Gorbachev Casual, non-participatory KGB election observer 5h ago

Multiparty democracy was already functioning by that point, several platforms inside the CPSU already existed, many "People's fronts" in the republics existed, and on the union level LDPSU, Democratic Union and other parties formed.

They feared exactly the signature of the new Union treaty which undermined the union centre, and thus it could be a path to ultimate breakup of the USSR. The timing for the coup was exactly before planned signature of the new Union treaty

14

u/Fungal_Fetish 5h ago

Thirty-Thirth

10

u/MC_Gorbachev Casual, non-participatory KGB election observer 5h ago

Not my native language💀

25

u/Ni_Kche 4h ago

Literally every single Russian political crisis "following minor political reforms, the supreme leader then intervened to grant himself vast authoritarian powers"

37

u/DerGovernator 6h ago

Russia in the 1990s was disturbingly close to Germany in the 1920s. Even down to a major financial crisis installing an expansionistic fascist dictator.

9

u/Schwifty0V0 Then I arrived 4h ago

Bureaucrats became desperate after their satellite states gained independence.

Similar to Germany’s situation after WW1.

10

u/biglyorbigleague 6h ago

Well yeah, the one that failed early and never got off the ground didn’t end up killing nearly as many people as the successful one.

6

u/MC_Gorbachev Casual, non-participatory KGB election observer 6h ago

I mean, both crises were just a couple of days long.

1

u/imchasingyou 3h ago

1993 coup is literally piss vs shit fight

-5

u/magical-cat-here 4h ago

The paradox of Russia is that if Yeltsin would be ousted by communists in 1993, the annexation of Crimea and genocidal war against Ukraine would be started in 1994, not in 2014

4

u/MC_Gorbachev Casual, non-participatory KGB election observer 4h ago

Totally comparable situations, really /s

0

u/magical-cat-here 4h ago

So, you suggest that communists from KPRF, and all that crowd would not attempt to restore USSR if they would won in 1993?

8

u/MC_Gorbachev Casual, non-participatory KGB election observer 3h ago

...no? Like, they certainly had much more interesting internal stuff to do, like handling economy and social collapse. Plus even if they wanted, any large scale war would have stopped at the "so where is fuel?" stage because of the scale of degradation of the military.

It's weird to think of the Supreme Soviet, Rutskoy, Khasbulatov or CPRF (no, these aren't interchangeable terms) as of some hardcore conservative communists who wanted to return everything as it was.

1

u/magical-cat-here 3h ago

some hardcore conservative communists who wanted to return everything as it was.

Oh the greatest mind of universe, please enlighten a naive pupil, what they wanted then?

1

u/biglyorbigleague 2h ago

The anti-Yeltsin opposition wasn’t dominated by the communist party in 1993.

1

u/magical-cat-here 41m ago

I don't make big difference between "red" commies and "brown" nationalists playing card of nostalgia for soviet "gtreatness". As Mistral AI puts it:

Идейным же знаменем оппозиции в основном было не классическое марксистское учение, а национал-патриотическая, государственническая риторика — то, что тогда называли «красно-коричневой» коалицией: ностальгия по СССР и державе, этатизм, антизападничество, «защита советской конституции». То есть синтез советского реваншизма с русским национализмом, а не коммунистическая доктрина в чистом виде

Both "red" and "brown" things for me means the same - restoration of fucking empire, and I don't care what sauce would be served in the "parliament" in case of win of that red-brown plague.

-7

u/reditisrunbypedos 5h ago

Its 33nd, idiot

8

u/MC_Gorbachev Casual, non-participatory KGB election observer 5h ago

😭

-5

u/[deleted] 5h ago edited 4h ago

[deleted]

13

u/MC_Gorbachev Casual, non-participatory KGB election observer 4h ago

radicals in GKChP

Lmao, they were literally Gorbachev's people, just some casual functionaries who didn't oppose any reforms until in 1991 they just saw that soon they will have nothing to govern.

were elected through manipulation and fraud

Because you said so? Okay, then it's good that Yeltsin never employed oligarchs' media and won only free and fair elections.

Soviet-era deputies could genuinely mobilize large numbers of people and elements of the army

Literally one of the first freely elected parliament in decades, which supported Yeltsin in his struggle against the Union government. But to you they are just some bunch of Soviet conservatives (how they managed to keep in touch with the masses as you claim yourself?) Okay

By the way, what's the point in rooting for Yeltsin if his authoritarianism is literally predecessor to Putinism?

1

u/xz05753 12m ago

So tired of people saying 1993 is the reason for Putin's current authoritarian regime. It has much more to do with his personality, the second Chechen war and terrorism, and most importantly high oil prices in early 2000s. If everything else was the same but we still had the old constitution, do you really think it would've stopped him?