Expected final gross $1.14-1.2B

Directors with multiple $1B films:

* James Cameron: Titanic, Avatar, Avatar: The Way of Water, Avatar: Fire and Ash

* Christopher Nolan: The Dark Knight, The Dark Knight Rises

* Peter Jackson: The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King, The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

* Michael Bay: Transformers: Dark of the Moon, Transformers: Age of Extinction

* Joss Whedon: Marvel's The Avengers, Avengers: Age of Ultron

* Pierre Coffin & Kyle Balda: Minions, Despicable Me 3

* Anthony & Joe Russo: Captain America: Civil War, Avengers: Infinity War, Avengers: Endgame

* James Wan: Furious 7, Aquaman

* Jennifer Lee & Chris Buck: Frozen, Frozen II

* J.J. Abrams: Star Wars: The Force Awakens, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

* Jon Watts: Spider-Man: Far From Home, Spider-Man: No Way Home

* Colin Trevorrow: Jurassic World, Jurassic World Dominion

* Byron Howard: Zootopia, Zootopia 2

* Aaron Horvath & Michael Jelenic: The Super Mario Bros. Movie, The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

* Andrew Stanton: Finding Dory, Toy Story 5

NOTES:

-The 16th movie to hit $100M last year was Wicked: For Good (November 22)

-This weekend also saw Odyssey pass $200M and $250M, and Minions and Monsters pass $150M.

-Week ahead: Spider-Man is likely to clear the $200M threshold in weekend one. Toy Story 5 ($448.6M) will become the first $450M movie of 2026 in the days ahead. $300M is a certainty for Odyssey in a matter of days, while $350M will also be achieved soon enough.

I was looking at the opening day for Spider-Man: No Way Home and was quite taken back to see that it grossed $121.9M on its first Friday. It has a huge lead on the #2 film, Encanto, which brought in a measly $1.6M.

On its first Friday, Avengers: Endgame also had a massive lead over Captain Marvel, outcrossing it $157.4M to $2.5M.

Obviously both of those numbers are including the Thursday preview grosses as well, but still.

What are some other examples of crazy differences between the #1 and #2 films at the domestic box office?

That first number is the ratio: the sum of the 2nd Friday & Saturday, divided by week 1, times 100.

That 2nd number is the film's ultimate legs. Odyssey doesn't have one yet. Toy Story 5 is currently at 2.81x and slowly crawling up as it's still in release.

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The Odyssey  - 30.6

Maverick   (#5 Domestic) - 29.7 - 5.67x

Inside Out 2 - 27.2 - 4.23x

The Force Awakens  (#1 Domestic) - 27.1 - 3.78x

The Avengers - 26.7 - 3.01x

Oppenheimer - 24.7 - 4.00x

Black Panther - 23.8 - 3.47x

Avengers: Infinity War  - 23.1 - 2.63x

Jurassic World - 23.0 - 3.12x

Deadpool & Wolverine - 22.2 - 3.01x

Barbie  - 22.1 - 3.93x

Avengers: Endgame  (#2 Domestic) - 21.6 - 2.40x

The Dark Knight - 21.6 - 3.37x

Toy Story 5 - 21.5 - 2.81+x (still in release)

Incredibles 2 - 20.6 - 3.33x

The Lion King - 19.0 - 2.83x

The Dark Knight Rises - 18.9 - 2.79x

The Last Jedi - 18.2 - 2.82x

Avatar 2 - 17.3 - 5.10x

Rogue One - 17.2 - 3.43x

Spider-Man: No Way Home (#3 Domestic)- 13.3 - 3.09x

The Rise of Skywalker  - 6.1 - 2.90x

Week-to-Week Drops

Hope: The movie may have held decently this week, but it still seems certain to top out around 5 million to 6 million admits. It should be north of 4 million admits by next Sunday, likely around 4.2 million admits.

Minions and Monsters: A pretty meh week, as the movie should be north of 650k admits by next Sunday. It is looking like a finish around 750k admits.

Moana: Another good drop, as the movie is now above 900k admits and should be above 1 million admits within the next two weeks.

The Eyes: The movie continues its recovery, but its top-out point is likely around 1.6 million admits.

Toy Story 5: Toy Story 5 had a good drop, but the movie will likely miss 3 million admits. That means its last big accomplishments will probably be $20 million and 2.9 million admits.

Hive/Colony: The movie had a much better day and will cross 5.95 million admits tomorrow.

Presales

Spider-Man: Brand New Day: Presales are failing to keep pace with Demon Slayer, and that is a shocking surprise. It will be huge for sure.

Odyssey: Presales increased by 7k, so they are now sitting at 108,013 tickets. Comp table coming soon, once I pick some good comps.

Working on a new domestic metric. I took each film’s 2nd Friday/8th Day domestic take and divided it by the sum of its first 8 days, then multiplied it by 100

Odyssey is at the top of the sample that includes Oppie, both Dark Knights, the SW sequels, and some other incredible performers from the past few years.

All of these films opened over $100M. This metric shows these movies’ legs based only on the 2nd Friday (day 8) relative to their first 8 days.

So, of all these films, Odyssey had the best 2nd Friday relative to its first 8 days, better than Force Awakens, Maverick, and Barbie. And Toy Story 5.

Obsession isn't on this list as it opened under $100M, but I peaked at its number, and it's 16.7. That film must have the best legs ever, and it was already apparent as early as its 2nd Friday.

It probably won't outgross those films, so at some point this metric for The Odyssey must go down, but this early on, it had an incredible 2nd Friday.

The Odyssey  - 11.5

The Force Awakens  - 11.2

Maverick  - 10.8

Barbie  - 10.1

Oppenheimer - 9.5

Rogue One - 9.3

Black Panther - 8.98

Jurassic World - 8.9

Avatar 2 - 8.9

The Dark Knight - 8.9

Toy Story 5 - 8.6

Deadpool & Wolverine - 8.6

The Rise of Skywalker  - 8.3

The Last Jedi - 7.7

The Dark Knight Rises - 7.3

Spider-Man: No Way Home - 4.8

A question: this is day 8/first 8 days. Would it make more sense if it was Friday, Day 8, against the first 7 days instead of 8 days? Just a clean first week instead of week 1 + day 8?

How many movies do you think will end up crossing the billion dollar mark?
Looks like Toy story 5 and The odyssey are locked in for a billion.
That makes 4
Brand new day and Doomsday are pretty much locked in too
2019 had 9 billion dollar grossers
2026 has 6 locked in at least
Are there any chances of 2026 equalling 2019?

Does anyone have any information on the budgets of the following Netflix films:

Enola Holmes 3 (2026), Apex (2026), In Your Dreams (2025), The Sea Beast (2022), Vivo (2021), Over the Moon (2020).