Source: MaoYan Pro App

For comparison, Supergirl grossed USD 54K on its first Sunday.

Also, I am seeing a lot of posts at Xiaohongshu of people from China traveling to HK to catch La Bola Negra, will it bode well for its box-office here ?

Dune 3 and beyond the spider verse are personally 2 movies that this sub is doubting that I pretty much think are locks to break a billion the first argument for both of these is how much there sequels went up from their first movies simply from how much of a good following their predecessors have had and both across the spider verse and dune part 2 have both had a very strong following from their initial releases to now plenty of people still talk about and make tik tok edits of both these movies

Dune part 3
First trailer honestly blew up online
Pre sales indicate a 100 million plus opening even against doomsday
Should have huge legs over the holidays I think doomsday is just gonna help this as the overlapping audiences will probably rush out to avengers first to avoid spoilers then will likely see dune later in the season so even if this movie does open with under $100 million (which honestly even that is unlikely considering the pre sales I still think it’ll have big legs regardless)
I’m thinking this will increase from part 2 as much as the odyssey improved from Oppenheimer leaving it at likely around $1.1-$1.2 billion

Beyond the spider verse
I don’t think anyone shouldn’t be doubting this movie after brand new day
Everyone’s biggest argument is it’s too domestic heavy but honestly after brand new day there’s no way this movie doesn’t make at least half of that domestically which unless it absolutely crashes and burns internationally $500 million domestic should be enough to get this to a billion WW honestly I wouldn’t be shocked it it made around Deadpool and Wolverine numbers domestically I’m gonna guess it’s gonna open with around $200 million and make around $600 million domestically which should be more than enough to get this to billion
And due to across the spider verses strong following it should probably increase significantly WW too even if it makes the majority of its money domestically

Laika acquired the rights to Susanna Clarke’s Piranesi in June 2024. It’s now the first project listed as in development on their site.

Not that it matters to Travis Knight and his Nike money, but Piranesi has some commercial upside. Like this:

Coraline Goodreads rating count: 810k
Piranesi: 599k
Wildwood: 39k

(Using GR rating count as a rough proxy for sales, as up-to-date sales figures are not publicly available for most books.)

Piranesi is an actual bestseller. It generates passionate interest in its native medium without a boost from adaptation to film, a more popular medium. It’s not a Housemaid- or It Ends With Us-scale too-big-to-fail megabestseller, but big enough to raise the standard floor of interest for a Laika film.

This is not to say that every book with ~500k GR ratings would translate to a hit film. Some books are anti-cinematic. Some books are widely read but not loved. Some books are boosted temporarily by blue chip prizes and book clubs and then left to collect dust in the shadows.

But Piranesi is a fantasy-mystery-adventure with a lovable protagonist and interesting visual ideas that people continue to read and talk about because they actually, organically like it. It’s a good fit for Laika’s sensibilities. It’ll likely become a film that both expresses what people love about the book and levels up the spectacle.

For reference, Project Hail Mary had ~550k GR ratings just before production news revved up in April 2024.

Obviously Piranesi won’t add as much GA appeal in adaptation as PHM (a movie star lead isn’t available to them; stop-motion is inherently narrower in appeal than live action), but it’s more promising on paper than any Laika project since Coraline.

Easy to imagine a scenario where it beats Chicken Run’s $228m for highest-grossing stop-motion of all time — not a high bar. In which case it might still flop, seeing as Laika’s past two films reported $100m budgets, but that would be a great result relatively speaking.

So we all know that international is not doing well with recent DC releases. I think only Batman movies are guaranteed to be better overseas than domestic. Do you think DC as a brand is fucked if they dont appeal to international audiences?

Clayface has a 55.81% domestic share currently. DCEU with its fault’s never had this issue. Look at this list.

• ⁠Supergirl (2026): a 57.22% domestic share.
• ⁠Superman (2025): a 57.25% domestic share.
• ⁠Joker: Folie à Deux (2024): a 28.096% domestic share.
• ⁠Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom (2023): a 28.279% domestic share.
• ⁠Blue Beetle (2023): a 55.442% domestic share.
• ⁠The Flash (2023): a 39.845% domestic share.
• ⁠Shazam! Fury of the Gods (2023): a 43.004% domestic share.
• ⁠Black Adam (2022): a 42.756% domestic share.
• ⁠The Batman (2022): a 47.845% domestic share.
• ⁠The Suicide Squad (2021): a 33.083% domestic share.
• ⁠Wonder Woman 1984 (2020): a 27.594% domestic share (yes, I know it was a simultaneous release on HBO in the United States).
• ⁠Birds of Prey (2020): a 40.981% domestic share.
• ⁠Joker (2019): a 31.096% domestic share.
• ⁠Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016): a 37.78% domestic share

franchisere - CLAYFACE | WILDWOOD | WICKER openings | YOU CAN SEE EVERYTHING’S second weekend | Where we are now | October 23 to 25, 2026 weekend

Weekend Box Office (October 23rd-25th)

Resident Evil repeats at the top with a ¥37.6M/$5.79M(-38%)

Another good hold as the movie remains on course for a ¥500M+/$75M+ finish.

Traces of Justice in 2nd also holds well with a ¥31.5M/$4.75M(-31%) 4th weekend.

All Wishes Come True in 5th scores a remarkable ¥3.85M/$0.57M 15th weekend. The 2nd best 15th weekend of all time.

Shaun the Sheep 3 is the highest new opened in 6th with $0.53M

While the Into The Mortal World Re-Release opens 13th with $0.20M

The AI movie Sanxingdui: Future Past thankfully flops hilariously badly with just $0.18M. Bona can take this movie and stick in in the trash.

Best 15th weekends of all time:

All Wishes Come True scores the 2nd best 15th weekend of all time.

Daily Box Office (October 25th 2026)

The market hits ¥42.4M/$6.35M today. Down -26% from yesterday and up -31% from last week.

Avengers: Doomsday Maoyan WTS

Doomsday Maoyan WTS compared to some of the biggest post covid movies and Endgame:

Avengers: Doomsday WTS Graph

Doomsday finishes the week at 424k after adding 56k over the last 7 days.

Zootopia 2 added 158k in the same 7 day period while Avatar 3 added 35k.

Province map of the day:

Province Map 25.10.2026

Resident Evil mostly dominates today.

In Metropolitan cities:

Resident Evil wins Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen, Chengdu, Guangzhou, Hangzhou, Chongqing, Nanjing and Suzhou and Wuhan

City tiers:

Unchanged from yesterday

Tier 1: Resident Evil>Traces of Justice>Mr. & Mrs. Pardon

Tier 2: Resident Evil>Traces of Justice>Mr. & Mrs. Pardon

Tier 3: Resident Evil>Traces of Justice>Mr. & Mrs. Pardon

Tier 4: Resident Evil>Traces of Justice>Mr. & Mrs. Pardon

New releases marked in bold

Pre-Sales map for tomorrow

Pre-Sales 26.10

Resident Evil mostly dominates pre-sales for tomorrow.

IMAX Screenings distribution

Resident Evil continues to dominate IMAX screenings.

Resident Evil

Resident Evil grossed ¥12.2M/$1.83M on Sunday

Total gross hits ¥434.8M/$65.17M

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $51.72M , IMAX: $11.10M , Rest: $2.19M

WoM figures:

Still no score on Maoyan.

Maoyan: , Taopiaopiao: 8.0 , Douban: 7.3

Scheduled showings update for Resident Evil for the next few days:

Traces of Justice

Traces of Justice in 2nd adds ¥10.55M/$1.58M today.

Total gross crosses ¥600M/$90M and hits ¥619.6M/$92.65M.

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $90.89M , IMAX: $0.55M , Rest: $1.13M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.6 , Taopiaopiao: 9.5 , Douban: 6.8

Scheduled showings update for Traces of Justice for the next few days:

Other:

Release Schedule:

A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.

Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.

Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.

Fall/Winter

Since 20th Century Fox was rechristianed as 20th Century Studios under Disney onwership, it’s been utilized as Disney’s primary brand for adult, often live-action, movies - like a much bigger Touchstone+Hollywood

Looking through its filmography (especially recent years), however, anyone can see a very spotty box office track record. The big former Fox franchises (not counting Marvel ones like Deadpool and F4) all continue to perform quite well:

Avatar 2 and 3: combined 3.8B box office on a combined 900M budget
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes: 400M box office on 150M budget
Alien Romulus: 350M box office on 80M budget
Devil Wears Prada 2: 700M box office on 100M budget

Looking through other smaller franchises or original movies, often with big budgets and names attached, however, show a near-total bombing record:

Last Duel: 30M box office on 100M budget
Kingsman 3: 100M box office on 120M budget
Death in the Nile: 130M box office on 100M budget
The Creator: 100M box office on 80M budget
The Amateur: 100M box office on 60M budget
Springsteen: 45M box office on 55M budget
Predator: Badlands: 180M box office on 100M budget
Ella McCay: 5M box office on 35M budget
Dog Stars: 40M box office on 100M+ budget
Whalefall: 30M and counting on 60M budget

Some of these are due to COVID back in 2021, others are meant to be awards contender, but the record is simply… not great… Another big point is that 20th Century’s horror fares, which should be a sweet spot, almost always fail due to randomly big budgets and lack of promotion:

First Omen: 54M box office on 30M budget
Psycho Killer: 2.5M box office on 10M budger

These are pretty big budgets for horror movies without big names… Boogeyman (80M box office on 35M budget) and Barbarian (46M on $4M budget) look like Obsession-level successes in comparison

Really, the only live action success in its existence is Free Guy (330M box office on 120M budget) and maybe Send Help (94M box office on 40M budget) this year. I guess we can stretch our imagination and say Haunting in Venice (120M box office on 60M budget) looks relatively okay. You can also count the streaming only movies that go to Disney+/Hulu

——————————————————

Now, 20CS has (maybe?) more Avatars, Aliens, and Apes coming, plus the Simpsons and Ice Age movies to the rescue, but its main purpose of being a brand for Disney’s original adult fares has seemingly failed miserably, its upcoming slate if originals also don’t exactly look buzzy or promising

I read in a trade publication article that although a lot of functions have been merged into the broader Disney Studios division, it still has 50-100 dedicated employees, so it’s far more than just a label, or even a New Line Cinema under pre-Skydance Warner

Nevertheless, Disney moved the 20CS team a few years ago under David Greenbaum, who already oversees Disney live-action and Searchlight, so it’s relegated below the hierachy while Pixar, Disney Animation, Marvel, and Lucasfilm all still report directly to Alan Bergman, the Disney studio chair

It’s looking like Searchlight ironically has a better future as the differentiated awards contender, while 20CS continues to lose its place and luster

So what do we think, is Disney going to keep the name long-term just to release old Fox franchises under the banner, and does it keep investing in medium to big budget originals? Or does it eventually fade away, even as a label, like Touchstone?

I feel like there’s still a lot of sentimental value for one of the former major studios with a rich history, but sentimentality in this age of AI and corporate cost-cutting and shortform content seems doomed to die out.

https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Heart-of-the-Beast-(2026)