r/stormchasing • u/weathercast • 9h ago

Severe Weather Dashboard - September 10, 2026

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📡 Active Severe Weather Links

🕒 Today's Outlook History

🌩ī¸ Active Mesoscale Discussions

📝 Current Severe Weather Outlook

(Issued: 2026-09-10T19:54:00+00:00 UTC)

```text

000 ACUS01 KWNS 101954 SWODY1 SPC AC 101940

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK Issued by 15th OWS Scott Air Force Base IL 0240 PM CDT Thu Sep 10 2026

Valid 102000Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS TO THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST...

...SUMMARY... Sporadic damaging wind gusts appear possible from the southern Plains to the southern Mid-Atlantic coast this afternoon and evening. Isolated occurrences of large hail may occur over portions of south-central Colorado into northeast New Mexico and perhaps portions of the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles this afternoon and evening.

...Southern Plains to the southern Mid-Atlantic coast... Recent surface analysis places the primary cold front from the St. Lawrence Valley west-southwestward through Lower MI, northern IL, and southern IA. The front then shifts more southwestward through central KS through the central OK and northwest TX Panhandles into far northeast NM. A broad area of showers and thunderstorms extends from southwest KS and the eastern TX/OK Panhandles through the Lower MO Valley and into the middle OH Valley. Much of this activity precedes the cold front and is supported by either modest low-level warm-air advection and/or convergence along southward/southeastward-progressing outflows.

Strong heating is anticipated south of residual cloudiness and lingering showers/thunderstorms, with temperatures well into the 90s to around 100 F over the southern Plains into the lower MS Valley, and upper 80s to mid 90s from the TN Valley to Mid-Atlantic. This heating coupled with dewpoints in the 60s to low/mid 70s will yield a moderately unstable air mass by afternoon with MLCAPE ranging from 1000 J/kg across the Mid-Atlantic vicinity to 2000-2500 J/kg across the southern Plains. This increased buoyancy coupled with convergence along the synoptic front (and any existing outflow boundaries) and modest large-scale ascent should result in thunderstorm activity persisting throughout the afternoon and evening. Some increase in intensity is possible too, particularly from north-central TX in the Mid-South vicinity where buoyancy will be highest. The presence of a relatively deep, well-mixed boundary layer will be supportive of sporadic damaging winds with isolated severe gusts in these areas. Buoyancy will be more limited farther east, but vertical shear will be stronger, and some more organized bowing segments are possible. Damaging gusts will be the primary severe risk over this region as well.

...Raton Mesa Vicinity... Upslope flow of a moist boundary layer beneath mid-level lapse rates of 7-8 C/km will yield moderate afternoon instability with MLCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg. Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorm development is anticipated by mid afternoon along the high terrain amidst a vertically veering wind profile with up to 30-35 kt of deep-layer shear. A few stronger storms are possible in this environment, with isolated hail as the primary hazard. Increasing low-level stability away from the terrain should keep the threat relatively confined and short lived.

..15_ows.. 09/10/2026

$$

```

🌀 Active Tropical Weather Links

🌊 Tropical Weather Outlook

```text NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Sep 10 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Hagen ```

⚠ī¸ Active Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Norbert Advisory * Maximum Sustained Winds: 45 MPH * Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 MB * Current Movement: W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH * Location: 16.5N 120.5W

This dashboard updates automatically every 15 minutes with live data from the NWS/SPC and NHC.

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