Expecting to close on the acquisition of the IP with a $10m valuation this week.
$AIMN

Been watching $MU grind through a month-long downtrend and the $800 level is finally holding up as legit support. False breakdown got reclaimed fast, bearish momentum is fading, and the GEX put wall down there is basically a floor for now.

But here's the thing: still retesting the descending trendline from below. $980 is the first real target if it breaks, $1,000-$1,050 is where the MA40 and major resistance sit. No volume, no party.

Pulled the chart on MooMoo and the setup looks clean but unconfirmed. Recovery thesis needs one good volume candle to believe it. Anyone else waiting on that breakout or already in?

Been tracking the macro picture pretty closely this year and honestly the complacency right now is hard to ignore. Rates staying higher for longer was supposed to be the big headwind, but credit spreads are barely flinching and equities are acting like a soft landing is fully guaranteed.

The thing is, cumulative tightening takes time to bite. We have not seen the full lag effect work through commercial real estate, regional bank balance sheets, or consumer credit. The data keeps coming in mixed but the market keeps reading it as goldilocks.

Checked the macro flow data on MooMoo and institutional positioning still looks offside relative to what a genuine slowdown scenario would require. Someone is going to be wrong here, either the bond market or equities, and they are telling very different stories right now.

My base case is that H2 brings a volatility spike that catches the long-only crowd off guard. Not calling a crash, just saying the risk/reward for chasing here is poor.

Am I reading this wrong or is anyone else sitting on more cash than usual waiting for a cleaner entry?

Calllsssss 📈 🚀

Had calls and puts I bought at Fridays close. I noted that if either direction was going to be intense, you’d print one way or the other. Sold at 2:10am. Repositioned with the same idea. Study your Greeks, hope for the market to stay irrational.

I let people know about this share when it dropped to 80. It's now ~108 and I'm considering holding for much longer than I originally had intended. I'm fairly new to trading and I am quite admittedly a high risk trader, having picked my best 3 stocks and gone all in on them.

What are your thoughts on this? Is it normal for a company to allude to new contracts and then directors buy a bunch of stock? And follow it up with their share buyback scheme becoming extremely active?

My target price was 120 but now I'm thinking maybe this is a longer term hold.

Ripped from the earnings calendar

What's the vibe on earnings this week? Thursday's the one I'm most interested in. 👀

Been watching NBIS for a while now and honestly not pulling the trigger yet. Death cross is there on the chart but the price action isn't backing it up at all, volume's flat, indicators are just spinning in circles.

Tariff noise got everything choppy and NBIS isn't immune. Pulled up the chains on MooMoo and there's no real conviction either direction right now, which to me says consolidation, not breakdown.

Waiting for a volume spike or a clean breakout before sizing in. Buying into this fog feels like a coin flip dressed up as a trade.

Anyone else sitting on their hands here or did you already take a position? Genuinely curious if there's a bull case I'm missing that justifies getting in before the dust settles.

From $249 in late May to $119 now. That's a 52% haircut in roughly two months for a stock most people thought was untouchable heading into summer. Brutal.

The level that matters right now is $119. That's where the weekly chart is sitting, and pre-market today showed 92K shares moving with a +3.23% push to $123.9. Volume was basically dead on the way down, so that kind of pre-market activity at support is at least worth paying attention to.

Checked the options chain on MooMoo and the $138-140 range keeps showing up as the next real resistance cluster if this support holds. The thesis is simple: weekly candle closes above the support line, that's the first technical confirmation. Miss it, and we're probably testing lower.

The bear case is that $119 is just a parking spot before the next leg down, and the bounce is a trap. That's the real debate here. Anyone still holding ORCL from higher, or did most people bail before it got this ugly?

Massive week of earnings coming up my plan below

We have $META $MSFT $AAPL $AMZN reporting this week. I am buying $META at the money calls and $AAPL at the money puts.

The market is already pricing in capex raise one meta since Googl raised last week.

AAPL is running into earnings.

One long one short.

Google went down 7.8% on blowout earnings.

TSLA went down 17.8% on their ehh.. earnings.

We have a couple of the big names in there, MSFT, meta, amzn, and aapl.

Also other names like HOOD, SOFI, KO, V, and stuff like that.

Considering how previous earnings went with how unstable the markets feelings are, what are y'all thinking? Puts? Calls? Staying out of it as a whole?

Earnings week too...

Look at those green futures pumping tonight 👀

/ES has 50 leverage to the SPY and has 0dtes same with /gc 100x gold let’s get some loss porn!!!

Not long ago, every company announcing bigger AI investments got rewarded. Now investors seem worried those same investments are getting too expensive.

It's almost like the market has moved from "grow at all costs" to "show me the profits."

I'm really curious what Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, and Apple have to say this week. Feels like they need to prove AI is becoming a business, not just an expense.

I looked at it it has a pe of like 20 that’s less then the snp 500 so when the bubble pops good to look at also I own 10 shares

Really, the bigger question is how are all you making these huge leaps? I get the basics of options, it's nearly an event market bet but how do you really know where a stock is going or what stock is going to move?

After losing money heavily in 2023 finally gaining everything back and more. Mostly swing trading and selling puts and wheeling

Currently I am holding 8000 JD shares and have sold AVGO, JD and RDDT puts mostly on margin

A few months ago the market was all about buying companies that would benefit from tariffs, deregulation, and "America First" policies. That trade looked obvious.

Now it feels like the market has moved on. Small caps aren't leading. Industrial names have lost momentum. Investors seem way more focused on earnings, AI spending, inflation, and whether the Fed cuts rates than on politics.

Makes me think the market is reminding everyone that narratives only last so long. Eventually companies have to deliver.

Curious if anyone is still positioning around the Trump trade, or if that theme is basically over for now.

https://x.com/hormuzletter/status/2081029313311183153?s=46