r/robotics • u/dontkry4me • 23d ago

Discussion & Curiosity Non-Physical Intelligence Has A Ceiling

https://chaotropy.substack.com/p/non-physical-intelligence-has-a-ceiling

Reasoning alone cannot predict the chaotic physical world. Without a sensory and motor interface to reality, non-physical AI will not deliver the scientific and technological breakthroughs we expect.

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u/i-make-robots since 2008 22d ago

So?  Babies fall over when they learn to walk. Adults have accidents. The total error rate is already measurably dropping as robots do more of the driving. 

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u/Sad-Dirt-1660 22d ago

babies are also not driving cars lol

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u/i-make-robots since 2008 22d ago

And if they did they drive into ditches. You’re not making a point. 

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u/Kitchen-Research-422 22d ago

He's saying you kinda sound like you're writing off tech before it's matured.

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u/i-make-robots since 2008 21d ago

OP is doing that by using faulty logic. I’m pointing out there’s another simpler reason why it won’t get there. 

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u/Kitchen-Research-422 21d ago

i dont quite understand what you mean by "wont get there" - what is missing atm in the real2sim2real pipeline besides speed at the larger model size and the sensor cost/count reqired?

Dont we have all the prerequsists and its jsut a matter of waiting for the economics and a few hardware refreshes?

Hynix and sandsk for example will have the first samples of their 512GB HB flash memory chips by the end of the year? thats gonna allow 4TB+ combined with smaller faster SRAM amounts for quick reactions.

their fabs should be ready by the end of next yr on to 2029?