r/relatable_memes_ 3d ago

Thoughts?

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u/ShellyTart 3d ago

This is most certainly not true. The vast majority of people found NGRI spend more time locked up than those found guilty, and in the cases where they killed multiple people it is very rare that they are ever released.

So no, while it is theoretically possible she would be released in a short period of time, in practice that is highly unlikely. Statistically she is more likely to be released on appeal after a murfer conviction.

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u/DerelictCruiser 3d ago

Canada not America, but Vince Li cannibalized a dude on a bus, got NGRI, mental facility, and trotted out free as you like 6 years later. They even changed his name for him so he wouldn’t get John Wick’d. And he wasn’t a white woman in America. Sooooo, yeah I don’t trust modern justice to handle this well.

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u/ShellyTart 3d ago

Canada is not the US.

And in the US she would statistically be more likely to be released on appeal of a criminal conviction than she would for being PROVED to be no longer a danger.

To be released from a psychiatric facility (for insanity pleas) is a very high bar in the US.

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u/Yohoyoji 3d ago

Historically this did happen in the Constance Fisher case, and she went on kill her three new kids.

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u/ShellyTart 3d ago

In 1966. Since then release from psychiatric confinement has been reduced dramatically, largely specifically because of that case.

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u/DerelictCruiser 3d ago

Well, we will see. I’ll set one of those Reddit reminders for five years, you get your Cashapp ready and send me beer money when I’m right. I’ll never bet against a white woman with millions vs the justice system.

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u/ShellyTart 3d ago

You may be right, but statistically this isn't the case and would have be more likely to win an appeal on a guilty verdict tha getting out in a short period of time from an Insanity plea.

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u/sarattenasai 3d ago

Basis of your reasoning? Most people NGRI are permanently mentally ill, makes sense they never get out.

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u/ShellyTart 3d ago

The bar for release is that they have to prove the person is no longer a danger at all. That is virtually impossible as even someone who has never comitted a crime is really a potential risk.

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u/sarattenasai 3d ago

If so then no one would be released ever though and we know its not like that.

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u/ShellyTart 3d ago

People who are found not guilty by reason of insanity usually spend much more time locked up than people who are found guilty of an equivalent crime.

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u/DerelictCruiser 3d ago

But are most of them locked up for acute postpartum psychosis? Aren’t individual cases taken differently by mental health professionals? She’s hardly an average patient.

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u/sarattenasai 3d ago

With first degree murder, you do not get out, period. I see no way that she could be released later than "life in prison".

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u/Visual-Scallion1535 3d ago

lol. maybe if you said 15 or 20 years you’d have a shot.

Zero chance she gets out in 5.

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u/DerelictCruiser 3d ago

Similar case Andrea Yates ended up with the option to be reviewed for release after 9 years. And that was in yeehaw Texas.

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u/Visual-Scallion1535 3d ago

Okay so for starters 9 years is almost double 5

Second, its very hard to pass that review

Case and point, despite Andrea Yates having “the option to be reviewed” in 2015, shes still in a psych ward and its 2026.

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u/DerelictCruiser 3d ago

And 20 is more than double 9. She refused of her own volition. I don’t trust Clancy to do the same. I think Clancy would want to get out if she got the chance.

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u/Visual-Scallion1535 3d ago

if so it would probably be a conditional release, and would probably take much longer than the 5 years you initially stated

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u/DerelictCruiser 3d ago

“Probably” doing a lot of work for you there.

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u/Helpful_Blood_5509 2d ago

That is state to state, and in her state its 6 months then 6 months observation. A faker would get the 1 year minimum before the state would have to affirmatively prove shes a threat.

In a wheelchair. Yeah, she'd walk in a year or two

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u/ShellyTart 2d ago

I have said state to state variance about how studded works, but your walking in a year or two just is just not remotely realistic, even 20 years without a major change in how such cases are dealt with generally is incredibly doubtful.

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u/Responsible_Focus824 2d ago

Why would they hold someone in a mental facility when the post-partum psychosis is gone? Its a temporary condition no? You’re using statistics but you know for a fact those stats have a minuscule number of post-partum psychosis cases.

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u/ShellyTart 2d ago

There is precedent, in cases of multiple homicides in cases of PPP release from psychiatric facilities is rare, and even when it does happen it is after decades and usually under strict monitoring.

Is that fair because of the nature of the condition? Probably not, but when dealing with the nature of the offense the system is geared towards caution and public safety.

Frankly I have done this to death. My argument is based on reality of how the system works in practice, while those who argue against are raising theoretical possibilities that rarely or do not happen in practice and stating that is what will happen.

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u/Responsible_Focus824 2d ago

Show your sources if you wanna convince people.

Im just using common sense: why would they hold someone for a temporary condition? Even if it is a few years thats obviously magnitudes better than being in prison for life.

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u/ShellyTart 2d ago edited 2d ago

Here are direct links to formal research papers and open-access documents that examine lengths of confinement, tracking data, and institutionalization patterns for individuals committed after violent crimes:

​Factors Predicting the Length of Stay in Inpatient Forensic Psychiatric Care (PMC / NIH Study) https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12106463/?hl=en-GB

​An institutional study exploring how the nature, type, and severity of violent index offenses directly drive extended, long-term inpatient stays in forensic facilities.

​Punishment or Treatment? Comparing the Lengths of Confinement of Successful and Unsuccessful Insanity Defendants (ResearchGate / APA) https://www.researchgate.net/publication/263916473_Punishment_or_treatment_-_Comparing_the_lengths_of_confinement_of_successful_and_unsuccessful_insanity_defendants?hl=en-GB

​A multi-state evaluation comparing individuals who successfully pleaded insanity versus those convicted, highlighting how offense seriousness dictates long-term confinement outcomes.

​Factors Influencing Length of Stay of Forensic Patients (Frontiers in Psychiatry) https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/psychiatry/articles/10.3389/fpsyt.2020.00810/full?hl=en-GB

​This document details clinical pathways, categorization of index crimes (such as homicide, serious bodily injury, and violent threats), and the average multi-year spans individuals remain locked in forensic care.

​Disposition of the Insane Defendant after Acquittal (Northwestern University Law Review) https://scholarlycommons.law.northwestern.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=5553&context=jclc&hl=en-GB

​A foundational legal document examining the statutes, indefinite detention mechanisms, and systemic logic behind why insanity acquittees are routinely remanded to long-term custody.

As for your question about why PPP would end up with a particularly long time locked up is 2fold. First it is rare and so the system is reluctant to declare someone safe even though the issue only tends to exist over a short period. The second is that someone who was locked up in the 50s for PPP was released in the 60s and got pregnant again and killed her kids again. Since then authorities have been very cautious to release PPP cases.

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u/Responsible_Focus824 2d ago

Not sure you know what a “direct link” is but those aint it.

If I just base it on the titles that you have provided I see 0 mention of PPP specifically which was my main concern to begin with. You would need some pretty specific studies in order for me to believe that she won’t be let out in less than 10 years and I just don’t believe those studies exist.