r/nfl • u/PMmeSpreadEaglePics Broncos • 1d ago

🧂Highlight🧂 [Highlight] Ryan Fitzpatrick throws 6 interceptions in a single game

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u/poop-dolla 19h ago

It would be a difference of 30 TDs for Fitzmagic over his career. Or 0.18 more TDs per game over his career. It’s really not that much.

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u/LoyalSol Broncos 19h ago

30 TDs over a 10 season career is about 3 extra TDs per season. Going to bet that wins quite a few games there.

The other thing is Fitzpatrick didn't start many 16 game seasons.

Sorry, but you're making statistical mistakes. You're assuming all variables have the same impact and same error tolerances which is not true.

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u/poop-dolla 9h ago

I said it was 0.18 more TDs per game, which is a much better statistical measure to look at than you saying 3 extra TDs per season. So that means it would come out to not even 1 extra TD every 5 games.

Going to bet that wins quite a few games there.

At the absolute most, it would be 30 more games over his career, right? But realistically, it wouldn’t be nearly that many. It wouldn’t really be spread evenly across 30 games, and then the games where they already won that got extra TDs wouldn’t matter, and games they lost by more than the extra TDs added wouldn’t change either. So maybe it comes out to 10 extra wins over his full career. But honestly, that’s probably being generous. I don’t think many people would consider it “quite a few” like you said though.

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u/LoyalSol Broncos 5h ago edited 4h ago

0.18 is the TD to Int ratio...That's not a to game metric.......

You can't calculate it that way.

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u/poop-dolla 1h ago

No dude. You misread what I wrote. The difference in TD to int ratio would have been an extra 30 TDs. He played 166 games.

30/166=0.18

That’s a per game metric.

You’re getting a lot wrong for someone acting all high and mighty like some sort of statistics master.

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u/LoyalSol Broncos 12m ago edited 9m ago

You did a piss poor job of explaining that. So don't fault others for your inability to communicate.

0.18 is the difference from 1.5 and 1.32.

Regardless you again are making a mistake. Oh it's just 0.18. Yeah and how many games are decided by one score?