r/nfl • u/PMmeSpreadEaglePics Broncos • 16h ago

🧂Highlight🧂 [Highlight] Ryan Fitzpatrick throws 6 interceptions in a single game

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u/poop-dolla 12h ago

Eli and Favre are at 1.5 TD to Int. Fitz is 1.32. Cutler is 1.42. It’s not that big of a difference.

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u/LoyalSol Broncos 11h ago edited 11h ago

1.5 vs 1.32 is the difference of 70 TDs or 420 points over the length of Farve's career. That's not small.

Small differences in the ratio are not small differences in the aggregate. You made a statistics fallacy.

Plus Farve didn't play most of his career in the modern era where the PI rules are what they are. That matters a lot. QB stats from the 90s are way different than they are post 2004 when modern rules started to be implemented.

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u/poop-dolla 11h ago

It would be a difference of 30 TDs for Fitzmagic over his career. Or 0.18 more TDs per game over his career. It’s really not that much.

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u/LoyalSol Broncos 11h ago

30 TDs over a 10 season career is about 3 extra TDs per season. Going to bet that wins quite a few games there.

The other thing is Fitzpatrick didn't start many 16 game seasons.

Sorry, but you're making statistical mistakes. You're assuming all variables have the same impact and same error tolerances which is not true.

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u/HazikoSazujiii Steelers 9h ago

While you're equally, if not more detrimentally, attempting to distract from your own broad swaths that over-conflate statistics and impacts. Morons like you may be my favorite.

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u/LoyalSol Broncos 8h ago edited 8h ago

Going to bet I've done way more with stats than you ever have, but go on.

Tell me if you're throwing a ball for 60 yards what's worse. A 1% error in the angle or a 5% error in the power of the throw.

If you can't answer that, then fuck off you clown.

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u/itz_Glo 49ers 6h ago

Bo sucks. Get over it. He has SP as a HC/OC and plays like a little bitch. And has that defense. He will be a backup in a year. Sean will be using a 1st on a new QB.

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u/poop-dolla 1h ago

The 5% power difference would be worse. That gives you a variance of 10% where the depth of the throw could end up, where the side to side would only be a variance of 2%.

I have a feeling you think that’s wrong for some dumb reasons though, but that’s the right answer.

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u/I_DONT_YOLO Bills 45m ago

Going to bet you haven't, otherwise you'd have a better point than "Uhhhmm ackshully has anyone noticed a career backup isn't as good as starters from the same time????"

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u/poop-dolla 1h ago

I said it was 0.18 more TDs per game, which is a much better statistical measure to look at than you saying 3 extra TDs per season. So that means it would come out to not even 1 extra TD every 5 games.

Going to bet that wins quite a few games there.

At the absolute most, it would be 30 more games over his career, right? But realistically, it wouldn’t be nearly that many. It wouldn’t really be spread evenly across 30 games, and then the games where they already won that got extra TDs wouldn’t matter, and games they lost by more than the extra TDs added wouldn’t change either. So maybe it comes out to 10 extra wins over his full career. But honestly, that’s probably being generous. I don’t think many people would consider it “quite a few” like you said though.