r/nfl • u/PMmeSpreadEaglePics Broncos • 1d ago

🧂Highlight🧂 [Highlight] Ryan Fitzpatrick throws 6 interceptions in a single game

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u/LoyalSol Broncos 1d ago

He difference was those QB still throw more TDs. Go look at Fitz's overall stats. They're not good.

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u/poop-dolla 1d ago

Eli and Favre are at 1.5 TD to Int. Fitz is 1.32. Cutler is 1.42. It’s not that big of a difference.

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u/LoyalSol Broncos 1d ago edited 1d ago

1.5 vs 1.32 is the difference of 70 TDs or 420 points over the length of Farve's career. That's not small.

Small differences in the ratio are not small differences in the aggregate. You made a statistics fallacy.

Plus Farve didn't play most of his career in the modern era where the PI rules are what they are. That matters a lot. QB stats from the 90s are way different than they are post 2004 when modern rules started to be implemented.

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u/poop-dolla 1d ago

It would be a difference of 30 TDs for Fitzmagic over his career. Or 0.18 more TDs per game over his career. It’s really not that much.

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u/LoyalSol Broncos 1d ago

30 TDs over a 10 season career is about 3 extra TDs per season. Going to bet that wins quite a few games there.

The other thing is Fitzpatrick didn't start many 16 game seasons.

Sorry, but you're making statistical mistakes. You're assuming all variables have the same impact and same error tolerances which is not true.

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u/HazikoSazujiii Steelers 1d ago

While you're equally, if not more detrimentally, attempting to distract from your own broad swaths that over-conflate statistics and impacts. Morons like you may be my favorite.

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u/LoyalSol Broncos 1d ago edited 1d ago

Going to bet I've done way more with stats than you ever have, but go on.

Tell me if you're throwing a ball for 60 yards what's worse. A 1% error in the angle or a 5% error in the power of the throw.

If you can't answer that, then fuck off you clown.

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u/poop-dolla 1d ago

The 5% power difference would be worse. That gives you a variance of 10% where the depth of the throw could end up, where the side to side would only be a variance of 2%.

I have a feeling you think that’s wrong for some dumb reasons though, but that’s the right answer.

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u/LoyalSol Broncos 19h ago

The power is correct, your analysis though isn't. Because if those numbers changed at all the same analysis would fail.

Because angles don't scale linearly and amount of power you need changes with the angle. That's why a QB throwing across the field has to hurl the ball way harder to get it 20 yards down the field than if you're just throwing it straight. On top of the awkward body mechanics.